IceBridge is off to a strong start this year, having completed seven science missions over

outlet glaciers, sea ice, and ice sheets and covering a broad range of territory both east

and west of the Antarctic peninsula.

Until today, the mission had yet to feature a return to the site of last year's discovery

of a massive rift in the Pine Island Glacier, a huge flow of ice that has been called the

weak underbelly of the West Antarctic Ice sheet.

Satellite images show the glacier has not calved yet, but when it does, could produce

an iceberg the size of New York City.

Keep in mind that the main science objective of Operation IceBridge is to study how ice

is changing in polar regions on a much broader scale, not searching out calving events.

But being at the right place at the right time provided a scientific bonus.

IceBridge often passes the scenic Antarctic Peninsula on its way to survey the continent's

ice sheets, glaciers, and surrounding sea ice.

The peninsula's mountains are habitually shrouded by clouds but today we have a clear view.

As we descend, we see vast fields of sea ice.

Large pieces of sea ice are called floes and these formations often collide, creating thick

ridges along their edges, or raft over top of each other.

This ice appears to be thick enough to be 2nd-year ice, or ice which survived a summer

melt season.

Darker, grayer ice appears to be more recent, and might be around 10 cm thick, while the

white ice covered by snow is probably more than 30 cm thick.

The area in the lower center here is so smooth, it might just be a few hours old.

This is frazil ice.

It's granular, like a slushy beverage, and is created by very dynamic conditions of turbulence

in the water.

This is a region of brash, containing sea ice and a few icebergs.

IceBridge measures Antarctic ice from 500 meters above the surface, using radar, laser

altimetry, and with these crisp images from the DMS or Digital Mapping System.

Here we have ice that's holding fast to the shore, and immobilizing icebergs created from

a nearby glacier or ice shelf.

These slabs of ice from continental ice shelves, sticking above the water by perhaps 50 meters

are large and flat enough to be called tabular bergs.

Finally, the slowly setting sun lights up cracks or leads in the sea ice as we head

for home.

Operation IceBridge has now returned to the Pine Island Glacier, not once, but twice in

2012.

And the year-old giant crack in the glacier, poised to create an iceberg the size of New

York City?

Well it's still there, and that iceberg has yet to break free.

But the rift has grown longer, much wider, and spawned a secondary crack.

Before we talk about when that mighty berg will be born, let's take a look at the IceBridge

missions themselves.

IceBridge's first return to the glacier was a high altitude flight over the entire region,

including the Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler glaciers.

After this campaign is over, scientists will be able to compare this broad survey with

previous years' measurements in order to better document the rapid and widespread changes

in the region over time.

For the second mission, NASA's DC-8 flew, as it does for most IceBridge flights, at

500 meters above the ice, and this mission was about creating a brand new set of data.

The flight lines took the team over previously unmeasured tributaries of the glacier, and

also surveyed the bedrock below them, to provide a baseline for measuring change in the future.

So why all this focus on the Pine Island region?

NASA Goddard calving specialist Kelly Brunt says the ice in the region is substantially

thinning and its flow is accelerating.

Ultimately the change that we see in that whole region, not just Pine Island but also

its neighbor, Thwaites Glacier, this change represents the largest input to sea level

rise from an Antarctic source.

The rift has been an intriguing phenomenon to watch over this last year, but is it a

really important event?

When we talk about Antarctica and we talk about the health and state of our ice sheets,

we talk about mass balance.

And what you have on one side of the mass balance equation is accumulation, or snowfall

coming in.

And when we talk about balance, that has to be balanced by things coming out.

And in Antarctica that happens either through surface melt, or basal melt, or the big number,

in Antarctica, which is calving.

Calving accounts for 80 percent of that side of the equation.

So when you see calving in Antarctica, even even calving when we use small states or the

island of Manhattan as a unit of measure - this is generally very normal - it's part of the

process.

However, Brunt says once the glacier calves, the new calving front will be further upstream

from any calving front we've seen in the last 40 years.

I've used the analogy of a fingernail, to talk about calving.

Generally, if your nail breaks in the white, it's normal and you don't worry about it.

If your nail breaks below the white, you think about it, you remember it.

If you lose your whole nail, that's a big deal.

Much of the calving, the 80% of the net loss through calving, can be equated to losing

the white part of your fingernail.

Things that we saw in the early 2000s in the Antarctic Peninsula side, the Larsen A the

Larsen B ... that's equivalent to losing your whole nail.

What's going on in Pine Island is probably that intermediate.

We've broken our nail and it's below the white and it's something to watch and it's something

to monitor over time.

As a byproduct of the recent IceBridge flights, the team got some great views - and measurements

- of the evolving crack, which has been filled in somewhat by blowing snow.

The crack appears to only have a short distance to go before a new iceberg is born.

It's still hard to know when that will happen, but conditions seem to be right.

Sea ice acts as a buttress or a dampener to sea swell that actually protects the front

of these ice shelves or the front of these glaciers from calving.

So the fact that there's no sea ice in front of the Pine Island Glacier right now implies

that it might be in a state that's sort of primed to calve.

After IceBridge heads back home from this campaign, its data will be used to monito

the state of Antarctic ice sheets, while satellites will continue to watch the rift in the Pine

Island Glacier as the melt season continues.

Today's mission was called the Recovery Offshore 01 mission, made up of six parallel lines

spaced at 20 kilometers.

It's called that because we concentrate on the area where the Recovery glacier, which

is a major glacier in this part of east Antarctica, drains into the Filchner Ice Shelf.

It tends to be difficult to get measurements to help us understand the shape of the cavity

of water, ocean water beneath an ice shelf such as the Filchner, especially a big one

like the Filchner.

With our gravity instruments and our radar instruments on board the DC-8 we are able

to collect measurements which allow analysts and scientists to deduce the shape of those

underwater cavities.

And that's important because it by knowing the shape of those cavities, scientists can

begin to get at the interaction of these glaciers with warm ocean waters.

Which, it has been determined within the last decade or two by the glaciological community

that the interaction of these large glaciers and warming ocean waters tend to be quite

important in determining their future behavior.