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  • 00:01

    A bit of a reprieve I guess from people that were really kind of on tenterhooks of what the Russians are going to do this week.
    A bit of a reprieve I guess from people that were really kind of on tenterhooks of what the Russians are going to do this week.

  • 00:06

    Still a lot of questions of how much and how much longer these flows are going to last. But I have to wonder at 40 percent is
    Still a lot of questions of how much and how much longer these flows are going to last. But I have to wonder at 40 percent is

  • 00:12

    that enough to prevent an energy crisis next winter and the resumption of large Robin's stream gas flows. It's definitely
    that enough to prevent an energy crisis next winter and the resumption of large Robin's stream gas flows. It's definitely

  • 00:22

    good news for the market. But it's back to back at 20 percent which is which is definitely sufficient to have this storm ahead
    good news for the market. But it's back to back at 20 percent which is which is definitely sufficient to have this storm ahead

  • 00:30

    of the winter. And what do we expect that if 40 percent capacity continues flows capital continues for the rest of the year.
    of the winter. And what do we expect that if 40 percent capacity continues flows capital continues for the rest of the year.

  • 00:40

    Demand has to be curtailed by 5 percent. And that could see that could see the stress levels to 67 percent 67 percent. What an
    Demand has to be curtailed by 5 percent. And that could see that could see the stress levels to 67 percent 67 percent. What an

  • 00:50

    end de facto one which is against Europe dog and off 80 percent 80 percent towards once and or for the winter and 90 percent to
    end de facto one which is against Europe dog and off 80 percent 80 percent towards once and or for the winter and 90 percent to

  • 01:01

    what end of end of the year. So it is not looking really sufficient at the moment. And in case if Russia Russia resumes
    what end of end of the year. So it is not looking really sufficient at the moment. And in case if Russia Russia resumes

  • 01:10

    its hundred plus then hundred percent capacity that could see those stories never coming back to 80 percent. So it is no
    its hundred plus then hundred percent capacity that could see those stories never coming back to 80 percent. So it is no

  • 01:18

    should not funded. Boston is required to avoid any crisis in the energy crisis in Europe. Wow. That's almost that you have to be
    should not funded. Boston is required to avoid any crisis in the energy crisis in Europe. Wow. That's almost that you have to be

  • 01:28

    at your very best just to avoid it. Just to stay afloat. Just to stay afloat. What are the alternatives though. I mean. Well
    at your very best just to avoid it. Just to stay afloat. Just to stay afloat. What are the alternatives though. I mean. Well

  • 01:35

    that's a big if right. If we get to 100 percent on flows if we don't know where it is. Where does Europe cut its energy. Well
    that's a big if right. If we get to 100 percent on flows if we don't know where it is. Where does Europe cut its energy. Well

  • 01:44

    Budapest Andre you realized that it's going to be tough and they have started taking action. So initially European Commission has
    Budapest Andre you realized that it's going to be tough and they have started taking action. So initially European Commission has

  • 01:54

    asked to do so. Is new member states to reduce their gas consumption by 15 percent. And yesterday the U.N. EU has planned
    asked to do so. Is new member states to reduce their gas consumption by 15 percent. And yesterday the U.N. EU has planned

  • 02:01

    planned to delist 15 percent of gas consumption from the jump from August this year to March next year by 15 percent. And this
    planned to delist 15 percent of gas consumption from the jump from August this year to March next year by 15 percent. And this

  • 02:15

    this could be mandated by 26 oxygen diamonds next week next week. If things did you read shock. But did you. It shocked me.
    this could be mandated by 26 oxygen diamonds next week next week. If things did you read shock. But did you. It shocked me.

  • 02:25

    From here onwards because they are seeing the real interest that Russia could halt on this disrupt gas routes to Europe. Funding
    From here onwards because they are seeing the real interest that Russia could halt on this disrupt gas routes to Europe. Funding

  • 02:35

    is not an option for Russia as well because the VIX do also economically think that their revenues are going to be hurt. So
    is not an option for Russia as well because the VIX do also economically think that their revenues are going to be hurt. So

  • 02:41

    not completely cut but even a 20 percent capacity. Russian President Putin is also saying that if done is not delivered on
    not completely cut but even a 20 percent capacity. Russian President Putin is also saying that if done is not delivered on

  • 02:53

    time the no fly list can be reduced to 20 percent of the capacity. And if that deadline is I think that there is a short
    time the no fly list can be reduced to 20 percent of the capacity. And if that deadline is I think that there is a short

  • 03:00

    term risk that gas prices would rise again. And you're seeing a lot of competition between Asian buyers of
    term risk that gas prices would rise again. And you're seeing a lot of competition between Asian buyers of

  • 03:10

    gas with Europe. Right. You have the likes of Japan Taiwan trying to secure supplies before the winter. China though has
    gas with Europe. Right. You have the likes of Japan Taiwan trying to secure supplies before the winter. China though has

  • 03:16

    been absent from the spot market for some time just because they're going through their own Covid restrictions. I have to
    been absent from the spot market for some time just because they're going through their own Covid restrictions. I have to

  • 03:21

    wonder now that we're seeing some economic activity pick up there should I expect a big revival of LNG demand from the
    wonder now that we're seeing some economic activity pick up there should I expect a big revival of LNG demand from the

  • 03:27

    mainland. Yes definitely. The Asian issue biased Guy Johnson and also
    mainland. Yes definitely. The Asian issue biased Guy Johnson and also

  • 03:33

    realizing that there is going to be a supply risk even Jack Japan used to buy by better of LNG God who is on that Latham
    realizing that there is going to be a supply risk even Jack Japan used to buy by better of LNG God who is on that Latham

  • 03:42

    contract basis. But now they have to join from the shock through to this black market which is in. And we're just saying that
    contract basis. But now they have to join from the shock through to this black market which is in. And we're just saying that

  • 03:50

    it's it's it's it's realizing that the demand is going to be very strong for gas market given that given the situation that
    it's it's it's it's realizing that the demand is going to be very strong for gas market given that given the situation that

  • 03:58

    Russia is trying to go up go pipelines supply to Europe. On the other hand China China gas has been because so far and yet
    Russia is trying to go up go pipelines supply to Europe. On the other hand China China gas has been because so far and yet

  • 04:08

    through an air to the bases it has been negative. But but I think this has been a relief for the gas market. But
    through an air to the bases it has been negative. But but I think this has been a relief for the gas market. But

  • 04:17

    it's not good. It's likely that heat waves is increasing electricity demand in China. And in the second half the that the
    it's not good. It's likely that heat waves is increasing electricity demand in China. And in the second half the that the

  • 04:24

    probability is then going to increase. They're going to come out of a Covid Covid situation and things are going down. Life maybe
    probability is then going to increase. They're going to come out of a Covid Covid situation and things are going down. Life maybe

  • 04:33

    in another two three months. So if that situation arises that competition is going to be really force for as for LNG God boats
    in another two three months. So if that situation arises that competition is going to be really force for as for LNG God boats

  • 04:42

    and Europe would have tough time. Yeah. They in fact they did warn about this heat that this heat wave
    and Europe would have tough time. Yeah. They in fact they did warn about this heat that this heat wave

  • 04:49

    in several parts of the country. And that goes into your point on coal here. The lessons learned from that coal crunch that
    in several parts of the country. And that goes into your point on coal here. The lessons learned from that coal crunch that

  • 04:57

    they had and it seems like they're stockpiling coal. Early ISE. Now do you think that trend continues of them producing more
    they had and it seems like they're stockpiling coal. Early ISE. Now do you think that trend continues of them producing more

  • 05:02

    coal. Yes I think that trend is going to continue and this is not a
    coal. Yes I think that trend is going to continue and this is not a

  • 05:09

    recent development. If you look back before before Russia invaded Ukraine b CAC energy crisis in last year as well. And
    recent development. If you look back before before Russia invaded Ukraine b CAC energy crisis in last year as well. And

  • 05:17

    that has seen the cold coal powered global power generation has increased to a record high last year. And according to BP data
    that has seen the cold coal powered global power generation has increased to a record high last year. And according to BP data

  • 05:25

    if you see it the only increase was nearly 8 percent. And this is going to continue for
    if you see it the only increase was nearly 8 percent. And this is going to continue for

  • 05:33

    this year as well as most of the countries like China. China is increasing its domestic production and they are also restocking
    this year as well as most of the countries like China. China is increasing its domestic production and they are also restocking

  • 05:41

    their debt. Also adding new capacity forward for coal fired generation. Europe is doing the same. Germany Italy they are
    their debt. Also adding new capacity forward for coal fired generation. Europe is doing the same. Germany Italy they are

  • 05:48

    restocking that old coal fired power plants. So the gone cold demand is going to be stronger. And you know this trend is
    restocking that old coal fired power plants. So the gone cold demand is going to be stronger. And you know this trend is

  • 05:59

    likely to continue for quite some time. Just do a bunch of. What is not going to do. Crisis in the region
    likely to continue for quite some time. Just do a bunch of. What is not going to do. Crisis in the region

  • 06:07

    and for oil prices. I still think some lingering questions about what came out of President Biden's trip to the Middle East. Are
    and for oil prices. I still think some lingering questions about what came out of President Biden's trip to the Middle East. Are

  • 06:15

    you thinking that OPEC's going to adhere to U.S. requests in terms of boosting capacity. And can they
    you thinking that OPEC's going to adhere to U.S. requests in terms of boosting capacity. And can they

  • 06:24

    see OPEC open. Plus has been very resilient in there season. So and yet it's not been the thing that U.S. is good is asking will
    see OPEC open. Plus has been very resilient in there season. So and yet it's not been the thing that U.S. is good is asking will

  • 06:34

    or big to increase production. It has. It has been dead since long time.
    or big to increase production. It has. It has been dead since long time.

  • 06:40

    Dave will be there that there'll be a modest increase. There is no doubt. But. But it will be just symbolic that they are going
    Dave will be there that there'll be a modest increase. There is no doubt. But. But it will be just symbolic that they are going

  • 06:48

    to increase it. But it will be wants to keep its coalition very intact. And they don't want to disturb Russia as well. So there
    to increase it. But it will be wants to keep its coalition very intact. And they don't want to disturb Russia as well. So there

  • 06:59

    will be a modest modest increase from will be coming coming from the big plus. Not much.
    will be a modest modest increase from will be coming coming from the big plus. Not much.

All

Europe’s Energy Outlook

3,540 views

Video Language:

  • English

Caption Language:

  • English (en)

Accent:

  • English

Speech Time:

97%
  • 6:55 / 7:05

Speech Rate:

  • 164 wpm - Fast

Category:

  • News & Politics

Tags :

Intro:

A bit of a reprieve I guess from people that were really kind of on tenterhooks of what the Russians are going to do this week.
Still a lot of questions of how much and how much longer these flows are going to last. But I have to wonder at 40 percent is
that enough to prevent an energy crisis next winter and the resumption of large Robin's stream gas flows. It's definitely
good news for the market. But it's back to back at 20 percent which is which is definitely sufficient to have this storm ahead
of the winter. And what do we expect that if 40 percent capacity continues flows capital continues for the rest of the year.
Demand has to be curtailed by 5 percent. And that could see that could see the stress levels to 67 percent 67 percent. What an
end de facto one which is against Europe dog and off 80 percent 80 percent towards once and or for the winter and 90 percent to
what end of end of the year. So it is not looking really sufficient at the moment. And in case if Russia Russia resumes
its hundred plus then hundred percent capacity that could see those stories never coming back to 80 percent. So it is no
should not funded. Boston is required to avoid any crisis in the energy crisis in Europe. Wow. That's almost that you have to be
at your very best just to avoid it. Just to stay afloat. Just to stay afloat. What are the alternatives though. I mean. Well
that's a big if right. If we get to 100 percent on flows if we don't know where it is. Where does Europe cut its energy. Well
Budapest Andre you realized that it's going to be tough and they have started taking action. So initially European Commission has
asked to do so. Is new member states to reduce their gas consumption by 15 percent. And yesterday the U.N. EU has planned
planned to delist 15 percent of gas consumption from the jump from August this year to March next year by 15 percent. And this
this could be mandated by 26 oxygen diamonds next week next week. If things did you read shock. But did you. It shocked me.
From here onwards because they are seeing the real interest that Russia could halt on this disrupt gas routes to Europe. Funding
is not an option for Russia as well because the VIX do also economically think that their revenues are going to be hurt. So
not completely cut but even a 20 percent capacity. Russian President Putin is also saying that if done is not delivered on
time the no fly list can be reduced to 20 percent of the capacity. And if that deadline is I think that there is a short

Video Vocabulary

/ˈmanˌdāt/

verb

give someone authority to do something.

/iˈniSH(ə)lē/

adverb

At first; originally.

/dəˈlivər/

verb

To present something to a group, as a speech.

/rəˈd(y)o͞os/

verb

To boil a liquid until it has decreased in amount.

/ˈkwesCH(ə)n/

noun other verb

sentence worded or expressed so as to elicit information. What you ask about; issues. ask someone questions.

/ˌekəˈnämik(ə)lē/

adverb

In an efficient manner.

/ˈdef(ə)nətlē/

adverb

Without question; beyond doubt.

/əˈɡenst/

preposition

in opposition to.

/ˈkapədl/

adjective exclamation noun

Main, or major. expressing approval. Money that is used for a business.

/kənˈtinyo͞o/

verb

To do something without stopping, or after pausing.

/bēˈkəz/

conjunction

for reason that.

/ˌkämpəˈtiSH(ə)n/

noun

Fighting against others to win something.

/səˈplī/

noun other verb

stock of resource from which person or place can be provided with necessary amount of that resource. Specific things needed to perform a certain task. To give or sell goods to others for their use.

/səˈfiSHənt/

adjective

Having or providing enough when needed.

/plan/

adjective verb

Designed or carried out according to a plan. To intend to do something in the future.