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  • 00:00

    So one thing I like to waste a lot of time doing while I should be making videos is watching
    So one thing I like to waste a lot of time doing while I should be making videos is watching

  • 00:04

    nature documentaries.
    nature documentaries.

  • 00:06

    There is one in particular that I have been thinking about a lot recently which is a story
    There is one in particular that I have been thinking about a lot recently which is a story

  • 00:10

    about a colony of honey bees defending their hive from a hornet.
    about a colony of honey bees defending their hive from a hornet.

  • 00:14

    Since these particular bees didn’t have stingers or any other kind of offensive weaponry
    Since these particular bees didn’t have stingers or any other kind of offensive weaponry

  • 00:18

    they came up with an ingenious solution to deal with the unwanted guest.
    they came up with an ingenious solution to deal with the unwanted guest.

  • 00:22

    They swarmed the hornet and started jiggling their little bee bodies to create heat.
    They swarmed the hornet and started jiggling their little bee bodies to create heat.

  • 00:27

    The genius came from the fact that the bees could survive in temperatures up to 47 degrees
    The genius came from the fact that the bees could survive in temperatures up to 47 degrees

  • 00:31

    celsius, whereas the hornet could only survive up to 45 degrees so if the little bee ball
    celsius, whereas the hornet could only survive up to 45 degrees so if the little bee ball

  • 00:37

    could generate temperatures of 46 degrees they could slowly cook the hornet alive while
    could generate temperatures of 46 degrees they could slowly cook the hornet alive while

  • 00:42

    narrowly avoiding death themselves.
    narrowly avoiding death themselves.

  • 00:45

    Nature is pretty metal.
    Nature is pretty metal.

  • 00:46

    Now I promise I have a point here, which is that these bees couldn’t use offensive weaponry,
    Now I promise I have a point here, which is that these bees couldn’t use offensive weaponry,

  • 00:50

    so instead they inflicted pain upon themselves because they knew it would inflict more pain
    so instead they inflicted pain upon themselves because they knew it would inflict more pain

  • 00:55

    upon the hostile invader.
    upon the hostile invader.

  • 00:57

    This is the same logic that countries use when they impose sanctions on other countries
    This is the same logic that countries use when they impose sanctions on other countries

  • 01:01

    that they see as hostile belligerents.
    that they see as hostile belligerents.

  • 01:03

    There has obviously been a lot of talk in the news about sanctions recently, and even
    There has obviously been a lot of talk in the news about sanctions recently, and even

  • 01:08

    before the hostile Russian invasion of Ukraine, sanctions are often cited as the reason economies
    before the hostile Russian invasion of Ukraine, sanctions are often cited as the reason economies

  • 01:13

    like, North Korea, Venezuela, or Cuba have struggled to prosper economically.
    like, North Korea, Venezuela, or Cuba have struggled to prosper economically.

  • 01:18

    This all begs the question though, what are sanctions?
    This all begs the question though, what are sanctions?

  • 01:21

    Short of being a bad thing that one country does to another country, not many people stop
    Short of being a bad thing that one country does to another country, not many people stop

  • 01:25

    to consider the detail of what these sanctions involve, or how they’re any different from
    to consider the detail of what these sanctions involve, or how they’re any different from

  • 01:30

    something like basic trade restrictions.
    something like basic trade restrictions.

  • 01:32

    These economic hostilities may be seen as more palatable alternatives to military hostilities,
    These economic hostilities may be seen as more palatable alternatives to military hostilities,

  • 01:37

    especially when dealing with nuclear power, but will they be as effective?
    especially when dealing with nuclear power, but will they be as effective?

  • 01:42

    And could this all just push a cornered nation into the arms of systems that undermine the
    And could this all just push a cornered nation into the arms of systems that undermine the

  • 01:46

    global status quo?
    global status quo?

  • 01:47

    To find out, we as always need to understand the answers to some very important questions.
    To find out, we as always need to understand the answers to some very important questions.

  • 01:53

    First and foremost
    First and foremost

  • 01:54

    What are sanctions?
    What are sanctions?

  • 01:55

    How are they used to inflict damage on countries?
    How are they used to inflict damage on countries?

  • 01:58

    And more pressingly, How do they hurt
    And more pressingly, How do they hurt

  • 02:13

    the economies
    the economies

  • 03:07

    doing
    doing

  • 03:17

    the sanctioning?
    the sanctioning?

  • 03:19

    Alright, every time we cover a current issue I have to give the big disclaimer, which is
    Alright, every time we cover a current issue I have to give the big disclaimer, which is

  • 03:25

    that nobody can predict the future, least of all economists.
    that nobody can predict the future, least of all economists.

  • 03:29

    It is entirely possible that sanctions work exactly as intended and Russian leadership
    It is entirely possible that sanctions work exactly as intended and Russian leadership

  • 03:34

    simply shrugs off the suffering of their economy and continues with their hostilities.
    simply shrugs off the suffering of their economy and continues with their hostilities.

  • 03:39

    But with that out of the way.
    But with that out of the way.

  • 03:40

    Sanctions are simply diplomatic actions taken by governments or multilateral organizations
    Sanctions are simply diplomatic actions taken by governments or multilateral organizations

  • 03:44

    against other states in order to protect international law and safeguard against security threats,
    against other states in order to protect international law and safeguard against security threats,

  • 03:49

    be they real or perceived.
    be they real or perceived.

  • 03:52

    Sanctions can take many forms.
    Sanctions can take many forms.

  • 03:54

    There are military sanctions that can range anywhere from a country kicking another country's
    There are military sanctions that can range anywhere from a country kicking another country's

  • 03:57

    foreign military base off their soil, all the way to banning the international travel
    foreign military base off their soil, all the way to banning the international travel

  • 04:01

    of military personnel.
    of military personnel.

  • 04:03

    There are diplomatic sanctions, usually involving the expulsion of foreign dignitaries and embassies.
    There are diplomatic sanctions, usually involving the expulsion of foreign dignitaries and embassies.

  • 04:08

    There are even things like sports sanctions where sovereign nations are barred from recognition
    There are even things like sports sanctions where sovereign nations are barred from recognition

  • 04:13

    in international sporting events like the Olympics.
    in international sporting events like the Olympics.

  • 04:16

    But of course, the one you are all interested in are the economic sanctions.
    But of course, the one you are all interested in are the economic sanctions.

  • 04:21

    Economic sanctions normally involve a restriction outright ban on either trade, currency flows,
    Economic sanctions normally involve a restriction outright ban on either trade, currency flows,

  • 04:27

    investments, corporate governance, or some combination of all of these things.
    investments, corporate governance, or some combination of all of these things.

  • 04:31

    We mostly think of trade restrictions but these other limitations are often much more
    We mostly think of trade restrictions but these other limitations are often much more

  • 04:35

    appropriate.
    appropriate.

  • 04:36

    For example, a foreign businessman might be barred from being an executive in a company
    For example, a foreign businessman might be barred from being an executive in a company

  • 04:41

    if they are a citizen of a restricted country like North Korea.
    if they are a citizen of a restricted country like North Korea.

  • 04:44

    It’s also important to note that not all sanctions are absolute.
    It’s also important to note that not all sanctions are absolute.

  • 04:48

    Some sanctions simply target specific industries or perhaps even specific groups or individuals,
    Some sanctions simply target specific industries or perhaps even specific groups or individuals,

  • 04:53

    for example, the USA has no sanctions against the country of Bangladesh, but it does have
    for example, the USA has no sanctions against the country of Bangladesh, but it does have

  • 04:58

    sanctions against individuals associated with a specific paramilitary force within the country
    sanctions against individuals associated with a specific paramilitary force within the country

  • 05:03

    itself.
    itself.

  • 05:04

    Now you might ask what is the difference between economic sanctions and regular old trade restrictions?
    Now you might ask what is the difference between economic sanctions and regular old trade restrictions?

  • 05:10

    Australia taxes the import of American-made cars, but obviously, Australia is not sanctioning
    Australia taxes the import of American-made cars, but obviously, Australia is not sanctioning

  • 05:15

    the United States.
    the United States.

  • 05:16

    Well the difference really comes from the motivation, Australia taxes the import of
    Well the difference really comes from the motivation, Australia taxes the import of

  • 05:21

    foreign cars because it wants to protect its local car industry, unfortunately, nobody
    foreign cars because it wants to protect its local car industry, unfortunately, nobody

  • 05:25

    has told our politicians that we don’t have a local car industry anymore but you know,
    has told our politicians that we don’t have a local car industry anymore but you know,

  • 05:30

    let them believe they are putting up the good fight I guess.
    let them believe they are putting up the good fight I guess.

  • 05:32

    The world trade organization's primary function is actually to combat restrictions like this
    The world trade organization's primary function is actually to combat restrictions like this

  • 05:36

    that are levied for economic benefit.
    that are levied for economic benefit.

  • 05:38

    The reasoning is that international trade is almost always a net positive on countries
    The reasoning is that international trade is almost always a net positive on countries

  • 05:42

    that embrace it, but it does require trusting your trading partners.
    that embrace it, but it does require trusting your trading partners.

  • 05:46

    If a country gives up food security to focus on manufacturing it wants to be sure that
    If a country gives up food security to focus on manufacturing it wants to be sure that

  • 05:51

    its trading partners hold up their end of the bargain to buy their manufactured goods
    its trading partners hold up their end of the bargain to buy their manufactured goods

  • 05:55

    and sell them food without any restrictions.
    and sell them food without any restrictions.

  • 05:58

    The World Trade Organisation is basically the global kindergarten teacher telling all
    The World Trade Organisation is basically the global kindergarten teacher telling all

  • 06:01

    of the world's economies to share their toys so that everybody can have fun.
    of the world's economies to share their toys so that everybody can have fun.

  • 06:06

    They will intervene if a country stops trading for economic reasons, but they will not intervene
    They will intervene if a country stops trading for economic reasons, but they will not intervene

  • 06:10

    if a country stops trading for political or militaristic reasons, in other words, they
    if a country stops trading for political or militaristic reasons, in other words, they

  • 06:15

    won’t intervene in sanctions.
    won’t intervene in sanctions.

  • 06:18

    Sanctions can have exactly the same net result as trade restrictions with the only difference
    Sanctions can have exactly the same net result as trade restrictions with the only difference

  • 06:21

    being that the motivation behind the restrictions is political not economic.
    being that the motivation behind the restrictions is political not economic.

  • 06:26

    This starts to expose the first big problem with sanctions.
    This starts to expose the first big problem with sanctions.

  • 06:29

    There is a reason that countries take trade deals so seriously, which is that if they
    There is a reason that countries take trade deals so seriously, which is that if they

  • 06:34

    fall apart they can do a lot of damage to the participants, and the global economy as
    fall apart they can do a lot of damage to the participants, and the global economy as

  • 06:38

    a whole.
    a whole.

  • 06:39

    Normally sanctions are going to be far more severe than trade restrictions which means
    Normally sanctions are going to be far more severe than trade restrictions which means

  • 06:43

    their side effects will be more severe too.
    their side effects will be more severe too.

  • 06:46

    The sanctions imposed on Russia in the last month are the most aggressive ever placed
    The sanctions imposed on Russia in the last month are the most aggressive ever placed

  • 06:50

    on a major global economy, this is what they did.
    on a major global economy, this is what they did.

  • 06:53

    They blocked Russia from purchasing high-tech goods, like computers and machinery from participating
    They blocked Russia from purchasing high-tech goods, like computers and machinery from participating

  • 06:58

    nations.
    nations.

  • 06:59

    They blocked the purchase of military equipment from participating nations.
    They blocked the purchase of military equipment from participating nations.

  • 07:02

    They froze the assets and put travel restrictions on ten individuals who were identified as
    They froze the assets and put travel restrictions on ten individuals who were identified as

  • 07:06

    the primary beneficiaries of Putin's regime.
    the primary beneficiaries of Putin's regime.

  • 07:09

    These are the guys that are having their yachts seized all over the world.
    These are the guys that are having their yachts seized all over the world.

  • 07:12

    And the big one was that they blocked major Russian banks from international transfers
    And the big one was that they blocked major Russian banks from international transfers

  • 07:16

    to and from participating nations.
    to and from participating nations.

  • 07:19

    This was later followed up with restrictions placed on their access to the SWIFT network.
    This was later followed up with restrictions placed on their access to the SWIFT network.

  • 07:23

    The SWIFT network is easiest to think of as the internet of banking, it's a cooperative
    The SWIFT network is easiest to think of as the internet of banking, it's a cooperative

  • 07:27

    network of hundreds of banks that makes passing money around the globe as simple and standardized
    network of hundreds of banks that makes passing money around the globe as simple and standardized

  • 07:32

    as sending an email.
    as sending an email.

  • 07:33

    Just like the internet, there are alternatives, but just like the internet, it’s very hard
    Just like the internet, there are alternatives, but just like the internet, it’s very hard

  • 07:37

    to do business without.
    to do business without.

  • 07:39

    Russian companies are going to find it extremely difficult to do business under these circumstances,
    Russian companies are going to find it extremely difficult to do business under these circumstances,

  • 07:44

    which is going to be bad for them, but also bad for the rest of the world.
    which is going to be bad for them, but also bad for the rest of the world.

  • 07:48

    So it’s probably best to start with caution and consider
    So it’s probably best to start with caution and consider

  • 07:52

    What can go wrong with sanctions
    What can go wrong with sanctions

  • 07:54

    Russia is a major supplier of food and energy in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East sanctions
    Russia is a major supplier of food and energy in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East sanctions

  • 08:00

    limiting trade means that these countries will go without.
    limiting trade means that these countries will go without.

  • 08:03

    Russia and Ukraine account for over 30% of the world's wheat supply.
    Russia and Ukraine account for over 30% of the world's wheat supply.

  • 08:08

    Ukrainian farmers are too busy harvesting Russian tanks to tend to their crops right
    Ukrainian farmers are too busy harvesting Russian tanks to tend to their crops right

  • 08:12

    now and banking restrictions are cutting off Russian farmers from the financial services
    now and banking restrictions are cutting off Russian farmers from the financial services

  • 08:15

    they need to receive payment for selling their crops internationally.
    they need to receive payment for selling their crops internationally.

  • 08:19

    This is threatening to hit vulnerable nations like Egypt, Kazakhstan, and Turkey particularly
    This is threatening to hit vulnerable nations like Egypt, Kazakhstan, and Turkey particularly

  • 08:23

    hard because they have grown dependent on these grain exports to feed their populations.
    hard because they have grown dependent on these grain exports to feed their populations.

  • 08:28

    These nations had nothing to do with the invasion, most of them didn’t even participate in
    These nations had nothing to do with the invasion, most of them didn’t even participate in

  • 08:34

    imposing sanctions, but they are going to be real victims here.
    imposing sanctions, but they are going to be real victims here.

  • 08:37

    It’s important to remember that a lot of these countries weren’t in the best economic
    It’s important to remember that a lot of these countries weren’t in the best economic

  • 08:41

    shape even before this got kicked off.
    shape even before this got kicked off.

  • 08:44

    Just like the bees sanctions are going to hurt everyone in the hope of hurting the hornet
    Just like the bees sanctions are going to hurt everyone in the hope of hurting the hornet

  • 08:49

    more.
    more.

  • 08:50

    Another example of this explains why Europe was so apprehensive about cutting off Russian
    Another example of this explains why Europe was so apprehensive about cutting off Russian

  • 08:54

    banking connections.
    banking connections.

  • 08:55

    Europe has billions of dollars in Russian debt which now can’t be repaid because Russian
    Europe has billions of dollars in Russian debt which now can’t be repaid because Russian

  • 09:00

    financial institutions have no way of sending the money to them.
    financial institutions have no way of sending the money to them.

  • 09:03

    There is another major issue that probably isn’t getting enough attention either, and
    There is another major issue that probably isn’t getting enough attention either, and

  • 09:06

    that’s asset seizures, and no I don’t mean the superyachts that are making headlines,
    that’s asset seizures, and no I don’t mean the superyachts that are making headlines,

  • 09:11

    I mean the stuff that Russia is seizing from the west.
    I mean the stuff that Russia is seizing from the west.

  • 09:15

    The world's largest airline company is the Dublin-based AerCap which owns and operates
    The world's largest airline company is the Dublin-based AerCap which owns and operates

  • 09:20

    over 1,000 jets around the world, never heard of it?
    over 1,000 jets around the world, never heard of it?

  • 09:23

    Well, that’s because they just rent the planes out to regular airline companies who
    Well, that’s because they just rent the planes out to regular airline companies who

  • 09:27

    don’t have the capital or the desire to buy their own planes.
    don’t have the capital or the desire to buy their own planes.

  • 09:31

    There are a lot of airlines in operation today that do not own any of their own planes and
    There are a lot of airlines in operation today that do not own any of their own planes and

  • 09:35

    rely exclusively on companies like AerCap to lease them their fleets.
    rely exclusively on companies like AerCap to lease them their fleets.

  • 09:39

    One of the biggest of such airlines is the Russian-based Aeroflot.
    One of the biggest of such airlines is the Russian-based Aeroflot.

  • 09:43

    Aeroflot and other Russian-based airlines have no practical way of paying the leases
    Aeroflot and other Russian-based airlines have no practical way of paying the leases

  • 09:47

    on the planes in their possession which would normally mean that these companies would just
    on the planes in their possession which would normally mean that these companies would just

  • 09:51

    take back their planes, but you know, good luck taking an airplane from a Russian airport
    take back their planes, but you know, good luck taking an airplane from a Russian airport

  • 09:56

    at the moment.
    at the moment.

  • 09:57

    Russia is set to effectively steal over 10 billion dollars worth of foreign-owned planes.
    Russia is set to effectively steal over 10 billion dollars worth of foreign-owned planes.

  • 10:02

    In the short term, this might give Russian airlines a boost to their balance sheet, but
    In the short term, this might give Russian airlines a boost to their balance sheet, but

  • 10:06

    nobody is ever going to lend them planes again, and that effectively puts a time limit on
    nobody is ever going to lend them planes again, and that effectively puts a time limit on

  • 10:11

    how long these companies can continue to operate.
    how long these companies can continue to operate.

  • 10:14

    It also means that companies like AerCap are now facing bankruptcy after having billions
    It also means that companies like AerCap are now facing bankruptcy after having billions

  • 10:19

    of dollars in assets wiped out overnight.
    of dollars in assets wiped out overnight.

  • 10:21

    This could have knock-on implications for the entire airline industry, especially budget
    This could have knock-on implications for the entire airline industry, especially budget

  • 10:25

    carriers, because if these rental companies go out of business then so too do the airlines
    carriers, because if these rental companies go out of business then so too do the airlines

  • 10:30

    that utilize their planes, so if you were planning a post lockdown holiday you might
    that utilize their planes, so if you were planning a post lockdown holiday you might

  • 10:35

    want to get on it sooner rather than later.
    want to get on it sooner rather than later.

  • 10:37

    Now if you weren’t planning an overseas trip it might have been because you blew your
    Now if you weren’t planning an overseas trip it might have been because you blew your

  • 10:41

    entire holiday budget filling up your car at multi-year high prices.
    entire holiday budget filling up your car at multi-year high prices.

  • 10:46

    Following the invasion of Ukraine, oil prices spiked on anticipation of disrupted supplies.
    Following the invasion of Ukraine, oil prices spiked on anticipation of disrupted supplies.

  • 10:52

    Despite being a net oil-producing nation the united states still imports a lot of crude,
    Despite being a net oil-producing nation the united states still imports a lot of crude,

  • 10:57

    primarily to refine and resell all over the world.
    primarily to refine and resell all over the world.

  • 11:01

    Russia is a major oil producer which has historically fueled very thirsty developing nations like
    Russia is a major oil producer which has historically fueled very thirsty developing nations like

  • 11:06

    China.
    China.

  • 11:07

    If they can’t get their oil from Russia, they are going to get it from somewhere else
    If they can’t get their oil from Russia, they are going to get it from somewhere else

  • 11:11

    which can start a bidding war, pushing up the price of oil in international markets.
    which can start a bidding war, pushing up the price of oil in international markets.

  • 11:16

    Ironically prior to these sanctions, Russian oil imports to the united states were at all-time
    Ironically prior to these sanctions, Russian oil imports to the united states were at all-time

  • 11:21

    highs accounting for around 10% of all imported oil, up from less than 4% in 2008.
    highs accounting for around 10% of all imported oil, up from less than 4% in 2008.

  • 11:28

    The primary driver of this increased demand for Russian oil was the fact that America
    The primary driver of this increased demand for Russian oil was the fact that America

  • 11:32

    could no longer import oil from Venezuela because they put sanctions on them.
    could no longer import oil from Venezuela because they put sanctions on them.

  • 11:36

    It’s important to point out that Russia can still technically sell oil and gas internationally
    It’s important to point out that Russia can still technically sell oil and gas internationally

  • 11:41

    because of what is known as a carve-out.
    because of what is known as a carve-out.

  • 11:44

    A carve-out is just an exception to sanctions that are normally reserved for humanitarian
    A carve-out is just an exception to sanctions that are normally reserved for humanitarian

  • 11:48

    goods, or goods that are identified as essential.
    goods, or goods that are identified as essential.

  • 11:51

    Conveniently enough the west has deemed Russian oil and gas essential, but there is still
    Conveniently enough the west has deemed Russian oil and gas essential, but there is still

  • 11:56

    massive social pressure in place for western oil companies to pull out of Russia anyway.
    massive social pressure in place for western oil companies to pull out of Russia anyway.

  • 12:00

    It’s pretty clear to see that sanctions really are a double-edged sword, and in the
    It’s pretty clear to see that sanctions really are a double-edged sword, and in the

  • 12:05

    long term, if countries think there is a chance they could be the next victim of, or even
    long term, if countries think there is a chance they could be the next victim of, or even

  • 12:10

    collateral damage from these types of sanctions, they will be more inclined to pursue policies
    collateral damage from these types of sanctions, they will be more inclined to pursue policies

  • 12:15

    of self-sustainability rather than mutually beneficial free trade.
    of self-sustainability rather than mutually beneficial free trade.

  • 12:19

    Obviously, this isn’t going to make for any flashy headlines right now because it
    Obviously, this isn’t going to make for any flashy headlines right now because it

  • 12:23

    could take decades to play out, but global free trade has been the primary driver of
    could take decades to play out, but global free trade has been the primary driver of

  • 12:28

    wealth creation in the last century, moving away from it could do more damage than any
    wealth creation in the last century, moving away from it could do more damage than any

  • 12:33

    of us realise.
    of us realise.

  • 12:34

    So with such great costs, the question needs to be asked,
    So with such great costs, the question needs to be asked,

  • 12:38

    Will these sanctions work
    Will these sanctions work

  • 12:40

    Well, that depends on what these sanctions are trying to do in the first place.
    Well, that depends on what these sanctions are trying to do in the first place.

  • 12:45

    Sanctions have been placed on countries with one of three goals in mind.
    Sanctions have been placed on countries with one of three goals in mind.

  • 12:49

    To stop international crimes, like human rights abuses in China, and 1960s South Africa.
    To stop international crimes, like human rights abuses in China, and 1960s South Africa.

  • 12:54

    To stop the development of weapons of mass destruction, like the nuclear programs of
    To stop the development of weapons of mass destruction, like the nuclear programs of

  • 12:58

    North Korea and Iran.
    North Korea and Iran.

  • 13:00

    Or in the most severe cases, sanctions can be imposed with the intention to cause regime
    Or in the most severe cases, sanctions can be imposed with the intention to cause regime

  • 13:05

    change, this was first used in Zimbabwe in the 1960s in an attempt to force out the ruling
    change, this was first used in Zimbabwe in the 1960s in an attempt to force out the ruling

  • 13:11

    party and enable fair elections.
    party and enable fair elections.

  • 13:14

    This was eventually achieved more than a decade later, but it came at a staggering human cost.
    This was eventually achieved more than a decade later, but it came at a staggering human cost.

  • 13:21

    Nobody will say it out but a regime change is probably the desired outcome of these current
    Nobody will say it out but a regime change is probably the desired outcome of these current

  • 13:25

    sanctions on Russia.
    sanctions on Russia.

  • 13:27

    Now If the desired result of these sanctions was simply to stop the Russian invasion dead
    Now If the desired result of these sanctions was simply to stop the Russian invasion dead

  • 13:31

    in its tracks, make it pack up, and head back home, I’m sorry they are just not going
    in its tracks, make it pack up, and head back home, I’m sorry they are just not going

  • 13:35

    to do that.
    to do that.

  • 13:37

    Political situations within Russia aside, that’s just not really what sanctions do.
    Political situations within Russia aside, that’s just not really what sanctions do.

  • 13:42

    The first issue is that, Russia probably already knew this was coming.
    The first issue is that, Russia probably already knew this was coming.

  • 13:46

    Sanctions impact different countries differently.
    Sanctions impact different countries differently.

  • 13:49

    In general, countries that are more isolated, less democratic, and have had less time to
    In general, countries that are more isolated, less democratic, and have had less time to

  • 13:53

    prepare are going to be most susceptible to sanctions than countries that are the exact
    prepare are going to be most susceptible to sanctions than countries that are the exact

  • 13:57

    opposite of these things.
    opposite of these things.

  • 13:59

    Russia can feed and power its own population, the experience of the people doesn’t mean
    Russia can feed and power its own population, the experience of the people doesn’t mean

  • 14:04

    much to leadership, and they had time to prepare.
    much to leadership, and they had time to prepare.

  • 14:08

    When Russia invaded Crimea in 2014, they had a series of sanctions imposed on them that
    When Russia invaded Crimea in 2014, they had a series of sanctions imposed on them that

  • 14:13

    were really just heavily watered-down versions of what is being imposed on them today.
    were really just heavily watered-down versions of what is being imposed on them today.

  • 14:16

    Since then they have made a visible effort to bulk up on foreign currency reserves, as
    Since then they have made a visible effort to bulk up on foreign currency reserves, as

  • 14:20

    well as hard assets like gold.
    well as hard assets like gold.

  • 14:22

    Now, being isolated from the global banking system has meant that a lot of those foreign
    Now, being isolated from the global banking system has meant that a lot of those foreign

  • 14:26

    assets are now more or less useless as they are frozen in banks that can’t interact
    assets are now more or less useless as they are frozen in banks that can’t interact

  • 14:30

    with the global economy, but even still the dream of bankrupting Russia into submission
    with the global economy, but even still the dream of bankrupting Russia into submission

  • 14:34

    is probably nothing more than wishful thinking.
    is probably nothing more than wishful thinking.

  • 14:37

    History has shown that sanctions are better used as a threat than as a weapon.
    History has shown that sanctions are better used as a threat than as a weapon.

  • 14:41

    There are countries in the world today that have been sanctioned for years that still
    There are countries in the world today that have been sanctioned for years that still

  • 14:45

    possess a very threatening military, Iran and North Korea being the obvious examples.
    possess a very threatening military, Iran and North Korea being the obvious examples.

  • 14:50

    If Russia continues down a path of hostility it’s going to prioritize military spending
    If Russia continues down a path of hostility it’s going to prioritize military spending

  • 14:54

    over all other spending meaning its citizens will suffer and perversely this could make
    over all other spending meaning its citizens will suffer and perversely this could make

  • 14:59

    it harder to back out of the conflict.
    it harder to back out of the conflict.

  • 15:01

    Iraq was one of the worst sanction failures of all time and the parallels between it and
    Iraq was one of the worst sanction failures of all time and the parallels between it and

  • 15:06

    Russia today are quite frightening.
    Russia today are quite frightening.

  • 15:09

    In 1990, President Saddam Hussein’s invaded Kuwait and triggered the same kind of international
    In 1990, President Saddam Hussein’s invaded Kuwait and triggered the same kind of international

  • 15:14

    condemnation visible today over Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.
    condemnation visible today over Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

  • 15:18

    Of course, Iraq did turn into an active warzone, and Iraqi forces were forced out of Kuwait
    Of course, Iraq did turn into an active warzone, and Iraqi forces were forced out of Kuwait

  • 15:24

    by American troops, but Saddam Hussein refused to comply with the conditions of surrender
    by American troops, but Saddam Hussein refused to comply with the conditions of surrender

  • 15:29

    and so sanctions dragged on.
    and so sanctions dragged on.

  • 15:31

    By the end of the decade, a third of Iraq’s children were malnourished, and poverty was
    By the end of the decade, a third of Iraq’s children were malnourished, and poverty was

  • 15:35

    rife in what used to be one of the wealthiest most prosperous countries in the middle east.
    rife in what used to be one of the wealthiest most prosperous countries in the middle east.

  • 15:40

    Saddam's rule did eventually come to an end but it was a second war that did that, not
    Saddam's rule did eventually come to an end but it was a second war that did that, not

  • 15:45

    the sanctions.
    the sanctions.

  • 15:46

    Iraq demonstrated that if dictators are willing to isolate their countries and starve their
    Iraq demonstrated that if dictators are willing to isolate their countries and starve their

  • 15:50

    people sanctions can simply be ignored.
    people sanctions can simply be ignored.

  • 15:54

    There is the very real possibility that the coming decades will see the eleventh largest
    There is the very real possibility that the coming decades will see the eleventh largest

  • 15:58

    economy in the world, home to more than 140 million people, and the largest nuclear arsenal
    economy in the world, home to more than 140 million people, and the largest nuclear arsenal

  • 16:03

    in the world effectively cut off from the global economy.
    in the world effectively cut off from the global economy.

  • 16:08

    Now while it’s hard I do want to end this video on a positive note, which is that the
    Now while it’s hard I do want to end this video on a positive note, which is that the

  • 16:13

    world has seen firsthand how quickly blatant acts of aggression will be punished by the
    world has seen firsthand how quickly blatant acts of aggression will be punished by the

  • 16:17

    global community.
    global community.

  • 16:18

    Any country with aggressive ambitions will surely be watching this and thinking to itself
    Any country with aggressive ambitions will surely be watching this and thinking to itself

  • 16:22

    that maybe taking an otherwise worthless piece of land is not worth jeopardizing their entire
    that maybe taking an otherwise worthless piece of land is not worth jeopardizing their entire

  • 16:27

    economy.
    economy.

  • 16:29

    For everyone's sake, we can only hope that they make
    For everyone's sake, we can only hope that they make

  • 17:26

    the right choice.
    the right choice.

All verb
waste
/wāst/

word

To use valuable things ineffectively

Do Sanctions Work?

946,647 views

Intro:

So one thing I like to waste a lot of time doing while I should be making videos is watching
nature documentaries.. There is one in particular that I have been thinking about a lot recently which is a story
about a colony of honey bees defending their hive from a hornet.
Since these particular bees didn’t have stingers or any other kind of offensive weaponry
they came up with an ingenious solution to deal with the unwanted guest.
They swarmed the hornet and started jiggling their little bee bodies to create heat.
The genius came from the fact that the bees could survive in temperatures up to 47 degrees
celsius, whereas the hornet could only survive up to 45 degrees so if the little bee ball
could generate temperatures of 46 degrees they could slowly cook the hornet alive while
narrowly avoiding death themselves.. Nature is pretty metal.. Now I promise I have a point here, which is that these bees couldn’t use offensive weaponry,
so instead they inflicted pain upon themselves because they knew it would inflict more pain
upon the hostile invader.. This is the same logic that countries use when they impose sanctions on other countries
that they see as hostile belligerents.. There has obviously been a lot of talk in the news about sanctions recently, and even
before the hostile Russian invasion of Ukraine, sanctions are often cited as the reason economies
like, North Korea, Venezuela, or Cuba have struggled to prosper economically.

Video Vocabulary

/swôrm/

verb

(Of people) to form a crowd and move together.

/ˈstrəɡəl/

verb

To try very hard to do something difficult.

/ˈsaNG(k)SH(ə)n/

noun other verb

threatened penalty for disobeying law or rule. Actions taken to force a country to obey laws. To allow or approve something.

/dəˈfendiNG/

adjective verb

resisting attack. To protect and explain your position in court.

/ˈkəntrē/

noun

An area of land that is controlled by a government.

/ˈtemp(ə)rəCHər/

noun other

degree or intensity of heat present in substance or object. How hot or cold some things are e.g. the weather.

/ˈpräspər/

verb

succeed in material terms.

/ˈrēs(ə)ntlē/

adverb

at recent time.

/ôlˈtərnədiv/

noun other

possibility. Different things you can choose.

/inˈjēnyəs/

adjective

(of person) clever and inventive.

/ˈkwesCH(ə)n/

noun verb

What you ask about; issue. To ask for or try to get information.

/ˈpräməs/

noun verb

assurance that one will do something. make promise.

/inˈflikt/

verb

To make someone endure (something bad).

/səˈlo͞oSH(ə)n/

noun

Way to solve or deal with a problem.

/inˈflikt/

verb

To make someone endure (something bad).