visual politic Community Saturday 20th
of April will go down in history as one
of the most important days of 2024 after
months and months of Deadlocks
accusations and tough negotiations the
House of Representatives finally gave
the green light to continue military and
financial assistance to Ukraine we are
talking about a huge spending package of
some 60 billion dollar that will very
soon start flowing over the Battlefront
in Ukraine trumpism furious with the
decision taken by the House of
Representatives could not ultimately
prevent what one way or another is going
to become a huge political success for
Joe Biden and more importantly for the
defense of Ukraine we have been working
in good faith Around the Clock every
single day for months and weeks and over
the last several days quite literally
around the clock to get that job done
now the speaker who was put in place by
trumpism is having to deal with harsh
criticism but what does this new Aid
package to Ukraine mean will it be
enough how far does the commitment set
by Congress go how could this measure
change the direction of the war well
we're going to take a look at that right
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now months of
Terror I think it's safe to say that the
last few months have been some of the
most difficult of the entire War for
Ukraine the disruption of much of the
arms supply has left them on the ropes
the consequence of inaction every day in
Ukraine are are dire in keev they've
been living with the fear that the US
Congress would not approve the $60
billion Aid package to Ukraine requested
by the Biden Administration without the
money and especially without American
weapons the situation on the front lines
was getting very difficult and remember
that this is something that Ukrainian
President Vladimir zelinski himself has
not hesitated to acknowledge in a recent
interview with the Washington Post he
could not have been clearer if there is
no us support it means that we have no
air defense no Patriot missiles no
camers for electronic warfare no 155 mm
artillery rounds it means we will go
back Retreat step by step in another PBS
interview he was even more emphatic
without this help we have no chance of
winning Russian Artillery can fire 10
shells for every one fired by Ukraine
and it's certainly not just the
ukrainians CIA director William Burns
has been very clear about what could
happen without us help check it out
there was a very real risk that the
ukrainians could lose on the battlefield
by the end of 2024 ammunition missiles
even anti-aircraft systems everything
has been in short supply in recent
months good evidence of this is that in
early April the Russians managed to
destroy the largest ke power plant
because the ukrainians simply did not
have enough anti-aircraft capacity they
ran out of shells in fact the situation
was so bad that the Russians have not
only made some advances and caused heavy
losses among the Ukrainian ranks but
also seem to have started preparing for
a new offensive but visual politic
Community now things have changed the
Pentagon and the Ukrainian armed forces
have been working together for months to
define the new military requirements all
that was missing was the funding and now
at last the green light is on a huge
Avalanche of new military equipment
deliveries to Ukraine will soon begin
starting with the most pressing supply
of all listen
up game
change as Supreme Allied Commander has
already said the close of 2023 and the
beginning of 2024 has been terribly hard
for Ukraine the shortage of ammunition
has made it very difficult for the
long-suffering Ukrainian troops for
example its artillery systems went from
firing 10,000 shells per day to only
2,000 and this is actually more
significant than it might seem to us at
first glance the number of shells is
absolutely key for defending the front
line in fact the Ukrainian withdrawal
from the city of Aviva had much to do
precisely with the inability to protect
the Ukrainian defense lines since they
did not have enough artillery to counter
the Russian attacks and stop their
advance but now fortunately things could
be starting to change again and not only
due to us funding in recent months the
Czech Republic has led an initiative to
purchase ammunition from around the
world which along with local production
being financed by the European Union
itself is causing ammunition to start
arriving in Ukraine again in even
greater quantities than expected for
example while the Czech government
initially located 8 00,000 projectiles
that could be purchased for about $1.5
billion now another 700,000 units have
been found at a cost of about $1.8
billion so Allied money is now flowing
in to fund these operations and
obviously the search for new supplies
continues which will surely cause that
figure to
increase of course the operation is not
immediate deliveries will progressively
arrive in Ukraine over the next few
months but with that in mind the
Ukrainian military began to to increase
the use of its current stockpile and now
following the approval of the US Aid
package the restrictions will
practically disappear for quite a while
in other words to the shagon of the
Russians the Ukrainian guns are going to
Roar again because after the green light
from Congress it is almost certain that
the White House and the Pentagon will
send hundreds of thousands of artillery
shells to Ukraine these shells will be
in addition to the check plan and other
deliveries from the European Union in
total we're talking about millions of
shells that would end Ukrainian
shortages for more than a year for
example it is estimated that Ukrainian
troops could gain fire just over 6,000
shells per day triple what they have
been firing in the first months of 2024
and yes they will likely still fall
short of the estimated 10,000 or so
shells Russia is estimated to fire each
day but Ukraine has a much higher
accuracy rate and a lower error rate in
its favor that would practically even
the playing
field in the same vein given that they
will now have ammunition the Ukrainian
Army has set to work to get its
artillery teams back to working at full
capacity and best of all they are doing
it at home for example the m777 towed
howitzers have begun to be repaired in
Ukraine with parts and spare parts
largely from Ukrainian companies in
other words in recent months many local
companies have been gearing up to be
able to repair the War equipment within
the country and manufacture the spare
parts needed naturally this is making
the process much faster well the point
is that these are two m major changes
that is the arrival of large quantities
of ammunition on the one hand and the
repair domestically of much of the
artillery equipment they use most often
on the other may give the ukrainians a
chance to stabilize the front while new
more Advanced Equipment arrives and new
war plans are prepared this is why
artillery is so important in this war it
is basically the way to secure and
stabilize the front line while the rest
of the military equipment is being
prepared but that is not the end of the
good news in recent months the Ukrainian
industry has greatly expanded the
production of drones armed with
explosive devices today it is estimated
that the ukrainians are already
producing more than 50,000 drones per
month far more than Russia is managing
to produce what's more the goal is that
production will soon reach a rate of 1
million drones per year and yes it is
true that we are talking about a system
that apparently has much less punch the
explosive charge of these drones is a
quarter of that of the artillery shells
that is to say they are not a perfect
substitute but they do help to reduce
the gap between the shots that Ukraine
could make and those that Russia makes
in fact the Ukrainian strategy consists
of the following first they carry out a
heavy artillery attack and when the
Russian troops scatter to protect
themselves the ukrainians launch huge
waves of armed drones and so although
they are less able to hit hard they can
hit more accurately against poorly
protected units the ultimate goal right
now Ukrainian planners hope that this
strategy will allow them to cause up to
100,000 casualties among Russian troops
in fact this happens to be the number of
casualties that is expected to Scuttle
any attempt by mosow to launch a new
offensive in short as far as artillery
and the front lineer concerned things
are starting to change again and of
course following the green light from
the US Congress all kinds of equipment
will soon start arriving in Ukraine an
avalanche of suppliers of all kinds
including many more units of the US Army
tactical system and keep in mind that
Ukrainian troops already have a lot of
perfectly identified potential targets
such as airports air defense systems
command centers and arsenals well now
all these targets will be in the firing
line of the new Strike Force this is
certainly bad news for Russia but it's
not just about the United States given
all the latest upcoming announcements we
could see the largest deliveries of
military equipment of the entire War as
we've already told you here on visual
politic under the leadership of French
president Emmanuel macron Europeans seem
to be about to go the extra mile the
ultimate goal of all plans for keev to
put back on the table the possibility of
resuming the initiative by the end of
2024 or early 2025 and yes precisely
this timeline would perfectly follow the
deadlines established by the Estonian
plan which we have already discussed at
length on this channel of course besides
weapons and money there is another issue
that Ukraine has to solve what am I
talking about well listen
up the human
factor by far the worst thing about the
slowdown in US aids to Ukraine in recent
months is that it has caused a wholly
unnecessary erosion among the Ukrainian
ranks the lack of ammunition and
Equipment has not only greatly reduced
the morale of the troops but has caused
many casualties that could have been
avoided and in Wars ammunition can be
replaced bored or manufactured but
obviously the same is not true for
soldiers after more than 2 years of war
with tens and tens of thousands killed
and hundreds of thousands wounded
Ukraine is facing a significant shortage
of military personnel in fact this
shortage has in forcing them to move
their best units from one part of the
front to another for example the
battalions of the third assault Brigade
which are some of the most powerful
units in the Ukrainian Army have had to
fight in bakut aiva and kipan almost
without a break evidently this greatly
erodes their military capabilities
casualties fatigue lack of morale people
are not robots they are exhausted
physically and psychologically
especially in combat conditions for
example those people who arrived at
military recruitment centers in Fe
February 2022 need rest and treatment in
December 2023 the military asked the
government for half a million additional
soldiers later Ukraine's new
commander-in-chief General alexanderi
reduced that figure but in any case if
one thing is clear it is that troops are
needed therefore the government is now
trying to enact new laws to expand the
recruitment of new military personnel
for example the mobilization age has
been lowered from 27 to 25 and more
incentives for soldiers have been
approved but obviously it is not that
easy the suffering of the war has gone
on too long and most Ukrainian families
have already felt the pain of war in
their family tree new recruits are
becoming fewer and fewer in fact new
laws have also had to be pass to
strengthen recruitments for example an
electronic database is being established
with all men eligible for conscription
the ministry of defense will now be able
to use telephone numbers addresses and
other information from other Ukrainian
government agencies to identify and
locate all eligible persons who have not
yet registered with the recruiting
offices likewise to reduce corruption it
has also been proposed that all persons
with a medical dispensation will have to
undergo a fresh examination even so the
recruitment age in Ukraine is unusually
high 25 years compared to 18 years in
most countries so there is room what's
more support for the government and for
continuing the war remains extremely
high among the Ukrainian population and
of course the arrival of new equipment
and new funding may stem the bleeding we
have seen a stronger and better funded
military will boost morale reduce
casualties and facilitate the
Recruitment and training of new troops
on top of that in recent months the
Ukrainian armed forces have also
achieved some significant successes they
have shot down numerous Russian aircraft
and have not failed to punish the
already meager Russian Black Sea
Fleet visual politic Community the last
few months have been very hard but now
things might stabilize in favor of
Ukraine both Europe and the United
States are ramping up their military
production and in a few months they
could be ready to give much more
assistance to Ukraine things may be
moving too slowly but at least some
progress is being made not surprisingly
Ukraine's attrition is high and things
could get even worse in the coming weeks
after all it is likely that Russia wants
to bring forward some of the offensives
they have planned before Western
assistance arrives in any case these
would be passing wins there is
confidence that in 2025 they could be in
better shape obviously it won't be that
simple the Russians are also on the move
and are practically putting their entire
economy at the service of the war Russia
is reconstituting that Force far faster
than our initial estimates suggested the
Army is actually now larger by 15% than
it was when it invaded Ukraine of course
the Russian army is less well equipped
and its troops have less experience and
training but as you can see they have
not Stood Still on the contrary they are
adding 30,000 new military personnel to
their Armed Forces every month in any
case the most important thing here is
that if Western Aid is restored and
maintained Russia will never be able to
win this War sooner or later the Kremlin
will have no choice but to ask itself a
question how on Earth do we escape from
Ukraine but at this point the question
is for you will the new Aid to Ukraine
alter the course of the war leave us
your impressions in the comments and now
if you found this video interesting
please like it all the best see you soon
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