you donates over its right may so it was a guy of who isn't etc election alice
and he got a lot of streak red in two thousand eight
there's no immediate they're telling tonight buddy at fourteen out of fifty
states right
of course in the polling world that means that hey you know what you do a
song right
now of course he is predicting that president mama's gonna wait now he
doesn't say that's it it's over reson of others in ways that means that
it's not a
accommodate our apartment
all he does is he crunches the numbers and he says present all bomb what is
likely to win
given the polls he looks the polls
lissa are indicated his
network relevant historically another lectures
figures then interest in our system makes sense
disquieting in on this kind of like in a campaign
or bottle is not like math ok joe scarborough like math
anne says but the new map your ideologue in fact watch
makefield recesses a seventy three point six percent chance that
president wonderland
anybody that thinks
that vis raised
anything by the cost of right now
these side
and ideal on
they should be kept away from typewriters
uh... computers laptops and microphones for the next ten days adventure
defense
also have
and is not meet silvers eggplant
that president all bomb what still win by seventy three percent
if that's and i hope all bob lorenz
here's a sample of island in the polls i have risen again i'm going to go below
the factors antecedents and again seventy three percent
now by the way it is moved up
so if you can't do math who's been jumped joel
for death or whatever idealize like that but lately infants don't want to rico's
or
bob partisan an auden ballots
guide at you its
unbelievable what clowns that now then political writes an article
may silver
could be hour one mn term celebrity
keep defense awesome like if he gets this water all were going to call on
bias
went to kansas city you want so bomb by the way he has not been on who should
wear or if he does is selling keeping a job cell
he's just telling you the statistics the polling and the math dot is the world
so
uh... nate silver dissipates lecomba is a fight back a little bit
first is that something is very reasons as well
i'm sure i'm a lot riding on the outcome meaning like etiquette and judge me
based on my prediction serous
you know the name again and he says of also shorter too much credit at the
prediction is right
and too much blame if it is wrong
and that sounds just right
uh... so
undeterred address the low all these pune is david brooks waves and say odds
of red allies because the challenges their worldview
their world view is we call everything even wait we say proponents say this and
democrats say that and that's we leave it at that
he'd actually bring in fax into the equation
that's not
fair and balanced journalism no no no you know either fax and you just talk
about opinion accident pinion one
so it makes silver had enough andy's as i end of this
beijo
how about you twelve thousand bucks out
so he says this weed out
says that if you think it's a toss-up let's bet if obama wins you don't have
thousand olson american red cross
everyone the winds i did deal
as cover of course is no deal
is the candy or getting well then
may try to baghdad is is about that a right here
let's make two thousand
tailoring image and write as good a shape that would've at like you put your
money where your mouth is
if you think it's a joke and you can possibly
and whenever i'm joe scarborough had said
that you would be shocked if all bomb or what
but wait a minute
wives in via sydney silver gives you numbers on why he thinks present all
mama's gonna win based on polls
but it's not biased if you say i don't know where you pull it out here as
product shock of all bob always
what is that not a joke
why are you got an idea like
well of course you are and that's why you don't like me sobers numbers if
you're a republican you hate fax c_n_n_ numbers you gain science the eight matt
so that's why they can't stand the silver or gold is numbers in there
directly project that diagonal dispel laverty
and that's what made silver as i don't think so bad guy
package such not go ahead
and what these pundits keep going back to the debt the national racist looks
like it's going to defeat yes it does
but i don't know if you know this
we have in the electoral college
we don't
beside the presidency based on popular vote
if you don't know call upon more george bush they'll let you know
contour soldiers sadly stupid
and they go on there and pond camera on television every day
barrett's themselves
over and over again