OF M. WHAT DOES HE SEE? AND WHAT ARE THE POLITICAL RAMIFICATIONS ALL TODAY? ON FLASHPOINT.
ALL RIGHT. I WANT TO START THIS
MORNING BY RELEASING THE RESULTS
OF A NEW LOCAL 4 POLL DONE BY
THE GLENGARRY GROUP IN A VERY
CLOSELY WATCHED CONGRESSIONAL
RACE IN MICHIGAN, AND THAT’S IN
MICHIGAN SEVENTH DISTRICT
SEVERAL WEEKS AGO. OF COURSE, WE
HOSTED THE DEBATE BETWEEN ELISSA
SLOTKIN AND TOM BARRETT. AND
HERE’S WHERE THAT RACE STANDS AT
THE MOMENT SLOTKIN WITH A SIX
POINT LEAD, BUT OF COURSE, ALL
POLLSTERS HAVE BEEN NOTING A GOP
SURGE OF LATE AND DOES TOM
BARRETT HAVE A LITTLE MORE PLAY
ON HIS SIDE. LET’S BRING IN OUR
POLLSTER RICHARD ZUBA. RICHARD,
IT IS THE LEAD FOR SLOTKIN IN
THIS VERY COMPETITIVE DISTRICT,
BUT YOU’RE UPSHOT HERE IS THAT
BARRETT HAS SOME ROOM TO GROW.
HE SURE HE SURE DOES. AND
THERE’S A REASON THIS IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT ARE MOST HIGHEST
PRICE RACE IN THE COUNTRY. YOU
KNOW, WE’VE GOT A SIX POINT LEAD
, BUT BARRETT CAN PICK UP THREE
POINTS SIMPLY BY BRINGING HOME
THE LEFTOVER REPUBLICANS WHO
HAVEN’T QUITE COMMITTED TO HIM
YET. THAT MAKES THIS RACE A TWO
OR THREE POINT RACE. AND YOU
KNOW, I’VE DESCRIBED THIS
DISTRICT AS IF MOST DISTRICTS
ARE 100 PIECE PUZZLE. THIS
DISTRICT IS A 1000 PIECE PUZZLE
MOVING PIECES HERE. WELL AND
IT’S AND IT’S REDISTRICTED. SO
WE’RE JUST SORT OF BASING OUR
EXPECTATIONS ON SOME UNKNOWNS.
WELL WE ARE AND ANY SHIFT ANY
LITTLE SHIFT IN THE FINAL TWO
WEEKS REALLY DRAMATICALLY
CHANGES THIS DISTRICT AND I
THINK ONE OF THE MOST
FASCINATING ELEMENTS OF OUR
NUMBERS IS THAT THERE IS A
LIBERTARIAN CANDIDATE IN THIS
RACE THAT IS GETTING 3% OF THE
VOTE. AND IF THAT CONTINUES THAT
BECOMES A BIG ROADBLOCK TO TOM
BARRETT OVERTAKING ELISSA
SLOTKIN WHEN WE ALWAYS TALK
ABOUT INDEPENDENCE, DECIDING THE
ELECTIONS WHAT YOU’RE STARTING
TO SAY HERE THEN, IS WHAT I
GUESS WE WOULD CALL SOFT
REPUBLICANS AND WE’VE WATCHED
THE SPLIT IN THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY THAT’S DEVELOPED. UM SOME
OF THEM ARE GOING TO HOLD THE
KEY TO WHAT HAPPENS AND NOT JUST
THIS RACE, I ASSUME, BUT OTHERS
IN OUR STATE AS WELL. WELL THEY
ARE AND THESE SOFT REPUBLICANS
THAT WE’RE SEEING, YOU KNOW.
REPUBLICANS ACROSS THE STATE
STRUGGLING WITH ARE PRIMARILY
WHAT WE CALL MODERATE REPUBLICAN
WOMEN, AND THEY’RE BEING DRIVEN
ON THE ABORTION ISSUE. ABORTIONS
HAVING AN ENORMOUS INFLUENCE IN
THIS RACE RIGHT NOW, RICHARD THE
OTHER THING THAT YOU AND I HAVE
TALKED A LOT ABOUT HIS VOTER
ENGAGEMENT. YOU KEEP TALKING
ABOUT HOW IT JUST KEEPS PEGGING
THE METER AS YOU ARE NOW
WATCHING THE RETURN OF THESE
ABSENTEE BALLOTS AT THIS TRAORE
DIN ERI RATE. WHAT’S YOUR TAKE
ON WHAT WE’RE WATCHING. WELL
FIRST OF ALL, I THINK WE’RE
LOOKING AT HISTORIC TURNOUT FOR
A MIDTERM IN 2022. WE HAVE A
MOTIVATION TO VOTE IN THIS
DISTRICT OF 9.6 AND A 10 POINT
SCALE THAT’S IN YOUR HOUSE, A
LAND THAT IS HUGE. BUT IN TERMS
OF THE ABSENTEES, THESE ABSENTEE
VOTERS ARE LARGELY DEMOCRATIC
VOTERS. I FOUND IT VERY
INTERESTING THAT THE BASE
DEMOCRATIC VOTERS WHO ARE GOING
TO VOTE ABSENTEE 47% OF THEM
HAVE ALREADY TURNED IN THEIR
BALLOT. HMM THAT’S THAT’S AN
EXTRAORDINARY RETURN RATE. UH
THIS IS GOING TO BE A DOWN TO
THE WIRE RACE. THIS IS GOING TO
BE DECIDED ON ELECTION NIGHT.
AND IF THERE IS A NATIONAL SHIFT
OF ANY SORT IN THE FINAL
WEEKEND, IT’S GONNA PLAY OUT IN
THIS DISTRICT AND I WANTED TO
SAVE THIS FOR LAST. WE HAVE FELT
THAT BECAUSE I’VE GOT A
CONVERSATION COMING UP A LITTLE
BIT LATER ON THIS MORNING ABOUT
WHAT’S GOING ON WITH THE
AMERICAN ECONOMY. AS AS THE AS
THAT ISSUE KEEPS RISING AS
INFLATION JUST REFUSES SO
STUBBORN IN TRYIN ABATING AT ALL
. WE HAVE FELT A TURN TOWARD THE
GOP HAS FELT STRONGER
NATIONWIDE, HASN’T IT OVER THESE
LAST TWO WEEKS? WELL THAT
APPEARS TO BE THE CASE THAT THEY
ARE GAINING BASED ON THE
INFLATION CONVERSATION IN THE
ECONOMY CONVERSATION IN THIS
DISTRICT. I THINK THERE’S A VERY
INTERESTING DYNAMIC TO WATCH.
AND THAT IS ELISSA SLOTKIN IS
RUNNING A VERY INTERESTING KIND
OF, UH, SIDE ISSUE TO THIS TO
THE INFLATION ISSUE. TALKING
ABOUT MANUFACTURING JOBS AND
BEATING CHINA AND IT’S GIVING
HER SOMETHING TO TALK ABOUT THAT
OTHER DEMOCRATS IN THE COUNTRY
DON’T HAVE AS A COUNTER TO
INFLATION. FASCINATING RICHARD.
KEEP YOUR PHONE CLOSE HERE IS
OVER THESE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS