A REALLY INTERESTING ELECTION GOING ON IN PENNSYLVANIA, IT'S A
SPECIAL ELECTION, THEY ARE GOING TO REDISTRICT THESE DISTRICTS IN
PENNSYLVANIA SO THEY WILL HAVE TO DO IT ALL OVER AGAIN AND THE
TWO GUYS IN THIS RACE MIGHT BE INTERESTINGLY IN DIFFERENT
DISTRICTS TIME AROUND, BUT IT'S A BELLWETHER.
TRUMP WON THIS
DISTRICT BY ABOUT 20 POINTS, SO CAN REPUBLICANS KEEP IT?
THAT
SHOULDN'T BE A DIFFICULT QUESTION, JESUS, HE WON IT BY
20.
TRUMP WENT TO DO A RALLY FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE IN THE
RACE AND HE TALKED FOR OVER AN HOUR BUT HE HARDLY MENTIONED
RICK SACCONE.
WHY?
LET'S GO TO AXIOS TO FIND OUT, JONATHAN SWAN
WRITING --
>>YEAH.
YOU'RE NOT LOSING 20 POINT LEADS ALL ACROSS THE
COUNTRY, INCLUDING PLACES LIKE OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS, BECAUSE OF
RICK SACCONE.
THERE IS ANOTHER FACTOR INVOLVED HERE AND IT
MIGHT BE THE PRESIDENT.
LET'S GIVE YOU MORE CONTEXT HERE.
NATE
SILVER EXPLAINS ABOUT THE DISTRICT --
>> SO THIS IS NOT A PURPLE
DISTRICT, THIS IS A DEEPLY RED
DISTRICTS.
REPUBLICANS, EVEN TERRIBLE CANDIDATES LIKE MITT
ROMNEY, WIN THERE EASILY.
BUT THAT IS NOT THE CASE NOW.
NOW WE
GO TO THE HILL --
>> THAT'S A MONMOUTH POLL, IT'S A LITTLE BIT OF AN OUTLIER, AND
IF YOU TAKE A SMALLER SET OF THE PEOPLE THAT HAVE VOTED IN
PREVIOUS ELECTIONS THEN YOU GET DOWN TO A TWO-POINT ADVANTAGE
FOR LAMB, OTHER POLLS HAVE IT CLOSER, MOST OF THEM HAVE LAMB
WINNING, SOME STILL HAVE SACCONE HOLDING ONTO A NARROW MARGIN,
BUT OVERALL IT'S AT BEST EVEN.
SO YOU'VE LOST 20 POINTS THERE
AT A MINIMUM, IF YOU TAKE THE LAST CONTESTED ELECTION IN THAT
DISTRICT FOR CONGRESS YOU'VE LOST 28 POINTS.
THAT'S A
SIGNIFICANT TREND AND IT ISN'T JUST ABOUT ONE CANDIDATE, BUT OF
COURSE THE REPUBLICANS WOULD LIKE TO BLAME IT ON THAT.
NOW,
YOU COULD SAY RICK SACCONE IS NOT DOING A GOOD JOB OF RAISING
MONEY AND THAT'S RELATIVELY TRUE, CONOR LAMB HAS OUTRAISED
HIM ON A PERSONAL LEVEL, BUT THAT'S DEEPLY MISLEADING BECAUSE
SACCONE HAS MORE MONEY BECAUSE OF INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURES, THE
DARK MONEY FLOWING IN FROM PEOPLE LIKE THE KOCH BROTHERS.
TYT INVESTIGATES HAS A GOOD STORY ABOUT THAT, WE WILL PUT
THE LINK DOWN BELOW.
FROM THAT STORY LET ME QUOTE ALEX KOTCH,
ONE OF OUR REPORTERS --
>>SO MOST OF THE OUTSIDE
MONEY IS GOING TO SACCONE,
SIGNIFICANTLY SO, AND HE HAS A TON OF MONEY SO MONEY ISN'T THE
REAL ISSUE.
ANYONE WHO SAYS OTHERWISE IS AT BEST NOT
WELL-VERSED IN THE FACTS.
SO BACK TO AXIOS NOW, JONATHAN SWAN
EXPLAINS --
>> I JUST EXPLAINED TO YOU WHY THAT IS A PISS-POOR EXCUSE, THAT
IS NOT THE REALITY OF THE MATTER, IT'S NOT MONEY MAKING
THE DIFFERENCE, IT'S NOT SACCONE IN PARTICULAR OTHERWISE YOU
WOULDN'T HAVE MASSIVE SWINGS IN PLACES LIKE KENTUCKY, OKLAHOMA,
KANSAS, THE LIST GOES ON AND ON, DEEPLY RED PLACES LIKE WISCONSIN
FLIPPING, THE GOVERNOR THERE, SCOTT WALKER, SAYING IT'S A
WAKE-UP CALL FOR THE REPUBLIC AND PARTY.
BUT THIS IS A PARTY
THAT IS IN DEEP SLUMBER MODE, AND THEY REFUSE TO WAKE UP TO
THE REAL PROBLEM, WHICH IS DONALD TRUMP.
SO CNN INTERVIEWED
SOME SACCONE SUPPORTERS HERE, THEY ARE REPUBLICANS, LET'S
LISTEN IN ON WHAT ONE OF THEM THINKS TRUMP IS HELPING OR
NOT IN THIS PARTICULAR RACE.
>>I DON'T NECESSARILY LIKE HOW THE PRESIDENT PRESENTS THINGS, I
DON'T LIKE HIS PERSONA, SO TO SPEAK.
THAT'S WHY, WHILE I'M
STILL SUPPORTING SACCONE, IT DID CAUSE ME TO LOOK A LITTLE
TOWARDS CONOR LAMB.
>> IF ANYTHING IF I WERE SACCONE I WOULD TELL TRUMP TO STAY
AWAY BECAUSE HE PUTS HIS FOOT IN HIS MOUTH.
>>YOU ARE SAYING THE PRESIDENT'S SUPPORT FOR SACCONE WOULD MAKE
YOU LESS INCLINED TO SUPPORT HIM?
>> MUCH LESS.
>>THOSE ARE TWO REPUBLICAN VOTERS SAYING THEY ARE LESS
INCLINED TO SUPPORT THE REPUBLICAN, IN FACT THEY ARE
LOOKING AT THE DEMOCRAT BECAUSE TRUMP IS SUPPORTING SACCONE SO
THEY ARE THINK OF FLEEING FROM THE SCENE.
FINALLY WE WILL GO TO
AMY WALTER FROM THE COOK POLITICAL REPORT, THEIR JOB IS
TO LOOK AT THE NUMBERS AND SEE HOW THINGS ARE PLAYING OUT IN
TERMS OF POLITICS, AND THEY SAY --
>> THAT
PART IS OBVIOUS, BUT OF COURSE THE PRESIDENT IS
THIN-SKINNED AND WOULD NEVER ADMIT TO THAT.
SO LIKE THE CHILD
THAT HE IS, OF COURSE HE'S BLAMING EVERYONE BUT HIMSELF.
SO
HE'S OSTENSIBLY GOING TO HELP SACCONE THERE BUT ALL HE DOES IS
TALK ABOUT HIMSELF FOR AN HOUR AT THAT RALLY AND THEN LEAKS TO
THE PRESS THAT IT'S ALL THE CANDIDATE'S FAULT AND NOT HIS.
CLASSIC DONALD TRUMP, AND ONE OF THE MANY REASONS PEOPLE HAVE
SOURED ON HIM AND WHY THESE RED DISTRICTS ARE UP FOR GRABS AND
THE DEMOCRATS LOOK TO BE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE THERE.