>> Yesterday's main show, Cenk apparently discovered that on the damage report I had
taken issue with one of his bold predictions on Chris Cuomo's show. Here's what he showed
on yesterday's main show. >> I'll predict right here for you, Chris.
I think Donald Trump will leave office before his term is up.
He'll be humiliated, embarrassed, and I know him. He's not gonna want to lose-
>> And he's gonna run for the hills. >> You got that bet all day long.
>> Okay, let's get after it. Now so look, Jake has made some good predictions, and this
is in good fun.
I could not disagree more. >> There's a bromance between the two of them.
You've got that bet all day long Jakey you. >> No you stop.
>> In the meantime, let's call them out on the damage.
>> But I I just got a Roku set. Did basically a little bit of channel surfing and I was
like there we are.
>> Yeah. >> And then I turned it on, and it was John
and Brent on Damage Report making fun of me. >> No.
>> So you are so busted. I even took a picture of it okay? They're talking about my predictions.
I've got a new prediction for you John Iarola.
>> I actually missed what was the prediction? >> Yeah no I'm playing, I'm playing. Okay,
so first let's start with the premises for the prediction that Donald Trump will not
be in office by the end of this term. Now, if you watch the the you're not at all surprised
by that.
I've been saying that literally from day one. And but I wanted to say it on CNN and it was
the context of how disastrously Donald Trump is going with his polling numbers, etc. So,
and as I told you from day one, there's a couple reasons why I made that prediction.
One, Donald Trump is not capable of managing himself out of a wet paper bag. So he's never
failed to declare bankruptcy on anything that he's ever run. And it doesn't take that long.
And so I'm actually quite shocked that he's lasted this long and so he's. It's gonna be
an epic debacle and it certainly has been an epic debacle in many ways.
But in part and parcel that prediction was, at some point the economy crashes because
Trump will do such maniacle things that he can't help but crash the economy. So we're
teetering on that edge now. His polling is anywhere between 36 to, at most generous is
43%. Averaging at about 40%.
That is terrible numbers, terrible numbers already. Under any normal circumstance, you
would have no chance at reelection if you're an incumbent polling at around 40%. Now yes,
we do have 14 months left. Now, when everybody, including the Trump administration, believes
that we're going to hit a recession. If we hit that recession, which is again, we're
on the precipice of, nobody's rooting for it, but it's a reality that even the Republicans
acknowledged yesterday we did a story about several Republican senators going No here
comes the recession right.
Then Trump's gonna dip into the 20s. And two set of things that are gonna happen. And again,
all of this I said from the very beginning. And it's coming to fruition, I believe, as
we speak. Look, you've got his legal troubles to begin with. And he's a crook, lifelong
criminal.
I knew he'd continue to be a lifelong criminal and a con man. But when the economy crashes,
that's when the donors run. And that's when the donors tell the Republicans release the
hounds. This guy's not gonna win anyway, he's gonna pull down the rest of the Republican
senators and House members.
And then there's this. So there's the Republicans and they're driving engine being the donors
abandoning him when the market crashes and they already got their tax cuts, it again,
go all the way back to the beginning. I said the one thing they do is tax cuts, and once
they got the tax cuts, they don't need that schlep anymore.
Right? Or that schmuck anymore. And then the last part of it is Trump doesn't like being
humiliated. Do you think he wants to go and lose 40 states? They're gonna get slaughtered
in this next election. So again, you're gonna think I'm overconfident? Yeah,yeah, yeah,
I've heard it 1000 times before.
So, and if you remember, I've been saying all along, he's not going to get impeached.
He's gonna resign. I said, he's gonna wake up. You're gonna wake up one morning about
Trump is gone. What do you mean? He's gone? Yeah, this morning he resigned, and people
are gonna go, what?
Right, so I'm never gonna be moved on, you're gonna be the last day, no I bet somebody tick,
tick, tick. >> Well, I'm glad that you brought up the
tick, tick, tick. No, I want you to have an opportunity to jump in first-
>> Well. >> What do you think, does he make it to election
day does he run for re-election?
>> He runs for re-election gets wiped out. And tries to stay on as long as he possibly
can. Two reasons one, he is addicted to being President. This is a guy who everyone his
whole life has thought is a loser, liar con man sleazy. And then basically he only fools,
a few people here in there, like that's his whole career.
And so now he's in a position of authority where people actually have to be nice to him.
So he's never had anything like that before. So he's addicted to being the President, number
one. Number two is that if he leaves office early, he's gonna get prosecuted and that
was basically like, Bob Mueller has repeatedly said that, I would've done some other stuff
here, but you know what?
I can't indite the President, so. >> So, okay. But, so Matt, those are two reasons
I would turn around on you, okay? So the weaker case is he's addicted to being powerful and
President, but if you get humiliated in the elections, well, you've lost that power. Remember,
he often will run and then go, I would have won.
I mean, I would have done this. I would have done that. But I mean, I didn't want it anyway.
Remember, he's a child. >> Yeah.
>> So I didn't want it anyway, is such a classic Trump move. But the stronger case is. See,
I got frustrated when I realized that Democrats were never going to take action against him,
never going to hold them accountable.
And that was like Cenk. You know, are you sure? I was doubting myself for a second there?
It happens- >> It's a record.
>> Of time. Yes, that's right. And I had not calculated which I should have, the depth
of the weakness of the Democrats, how pathetic they are that they wouldn't challenge him
at all.
But now get a load of this. Trump might resign because he thinks, well, I'm never going to
be prosecuted. Like if he was really worried that he was gonna go to prison afterwards,
then he'd want to hold on for dear life as most fascists do. But he thinks, my God, they're
never gonna prosecute me.
Pelosi and these Democrats and these prosecutors are losers! They're gonna let me get away
with everything! All right, then I'm out of here and I'll pretend I would have won.
>> I do agree with the not prosecuting. I think that Donald Trump could shoot one of
Pelosi's colleagues dead and I don't think that she would do anything about it, unfortunately.
But I disagree with a lot. I know. It's a reference to his
>> No, >> I think he started it and he's the President.
But I disagree with a lot of the rest of what you guys are saying. I can't imagine him stepping
down. I think that would be a humiliation.
I have no doubt that he would spin it as I was forced out by a coup. He's gonna talk
about it for the rest of his life. But I think he's going to run and I think it's going to
be difficult for a number of different reasons. First of all, depends on how we come out of
this primary.
If we have good progressive, significantly easier. If we have Joe Biden, who knows what's
gonna happen on election day. And so that definitely matters. But then also we have
the electoral collage, we have voter suppression, we have all of these things that are designed
to make it more challenging and closer than it should be.
So I don't think we should get too excited about anything. Polls, the economy, I'm not
convinced that if the economy tanks it will hurt him, at least with his base. Maybe with
Independents, sure, maybe that's enough for him to lose. In terms of him stepping out
before the election though, so you mentioned the tick, tick, tick, tick.
So we had had a bet at one point about whether he would make it to the midterms.
>> Yes. >> Which I don't think I ever got paid for.
Do you remember at one point, TYT, we set up a pool, the resignation impeachment pool.
And we each signed up for a month.
>> This is gonna sting. >> So here's the thing. I have to tell you,
your month came and went. >> Really?
>> Do you want to know what month that was? >> It was gonna be, it's early.
>> It's, to be fair, it's October 21. 2017. >> Ooh, it's a while ago.
>> So yeah, I hear you, and that is fair to bring up. I'm not a Republican so I don't
disagree with your facts. >> You didn't pay though.
>> That does make me more Republican. No, look, I didn't know we had a physical bet
but if you look that up, find that up, I'll definitely pay you.
But I have acknowledge that I lost that bet to Anna. So look, I thought for sure that
it would happen before the midterms. I was obviously wrong about that. And so, and if
you time, you also know My timing is often off.
>> So it'll come through but like way later than I realize, okay?
>> Well, actually to that point, the way later. So every remaining TYT employee that signed
up for a month, it's come and gone. >> Mm-hm.
>> Do you know the next, the only person whose time hasn't come and gone yet is Bart in control
room he signed up for August 9th 2024.
>> I think he might win this thing. >> No way. No way.
>> I do hope now. >> Yeah, look guys it was just having fun
see what happens. But here again I give a couple quick two state wide polls to give
you a since of how badly he is gonna get humiliated.
So New Hampshire which his campaign is now talking about how they're gonna win that state
even though they loss it last time. Well in January 2017, so during inauguration you know,
every new President has a bump up even though he lost New Hampshire, he had a positive approval
rating in New Hampshire because Americans are open hearted and they're like, let's give
a guy a chance
>> It's the honeymoon. >> Yeah, honeymoon and he was at just plus
one in New Hampshire, much better than other states, but plus one in New Hampshire. You
know what he's pulling out right now in New Hampshire? Minus 17. Now, Wisconsin, he won
Wisconsin and he got an even bigger bump.
He barely won it. And then at inauguration he's up plus 6. Nice and healthy. He's now
at minus 14. Minus 14 in Wisconsin. So, Wisconsin's gone, Michigan's up minus 11. Iowa is at minus
11. Arizona's up minus seven, Pennsylvania is at minus eight, etc. And the economy hasn't
even crashed yet.
Tick, tick, tick tick. Tick, tick, tick, tick >> Yeah. But but one there's a couple of things
to think about though. One is that. As John was saying, you can't take anything for granted,
especially in today's political environment, but two is that it matters a lot who the Democratic
nominee is because a lot of people in 2016 went and voted for Trump even though they
didn't like him.
>> That's true. >> And that's because the entirety of all
conservative political operations isn't to get a majority to like them or to agree with
them. >> Yeah.
>> That's something that a lot of progressives haven't figured out and again, I was there.
I know how they think.
They literally say to themselves it doesn't matter if a majority of Americans agree with
us. All that matters is if a majority of voters laid out where we want them. That's all that
they care about. >> No, Matt, that's a terrific point. And
the only thing that I'll say I don't even mind being overconfident here.
The only thing that I'll give as a very important caveat is of course it depends on who the
Democrats pick to be their candidate. If they make the same exact mistake they did last
time, yeah, nobody likes Donald Trump, but let's put up an establishment candidate that
tells you big business is great, big media's great, politicians are great, Washington is
great.
Yeah, well, that's the only way you're gonna lose to Donald Trump. Could they make that
same mistake? >> Yeah,
>> I think if it's Biden for a few different reasons, he still would have a better chance
especially because Donald Trump is less popular than he was back in 2016.
But if it's Biden there will be some voters who will not support him. I honestly think
that no matter who they choose, even if they choose Bernie my number one, there will be
some percentage of voters who will not support a major party candidate. So you just you can't
take anything for granted.
>> Well I mean yeah look Illinois when Barack Obama ran for Senate the first time Alan Keyes
was his opponent. Alan Keyes is certifiable. He got 25% of the vote.
>> Yeah. >> Literally crazy.
>> And I just wanna make one point clear, cuz it was in the chromo clip.
Right after you finished talking, they went to the other guy, I'm not familiar with his
name. And he started talking about how he is not hoping for resession. Jake never once
implied that he wanted a recession. They just keep saying that if you predict one, you're
hoping for one, possibly causing one, and that is 100% disingenuous.
>> So that's ingenuous, but in the case of my prediction of Trump leaving office I'm
both predicting it and hoping for it. Not the recession but Trump leaving office. And
look 25% of this country is certifiable. They'll vote for anyone. But I think Trump is gonna
get to that holding on to just not 25%.
And I love that I found that clip on Roku cuz today we're doing the show exclusively
on Roku, Kudo, Zumo and YouTube TV are out, listen TYT.com if you're a member. So everybody,
check us out on Roku, and Pluto, Zumo, YouTube TV.
>> Really fast though, if you do go and you watch on your Roku the damage report, I didn't
burn Cenk today.
But we did have an awesome speech that Bernie gave back in the 90s on military spending.
We updated it with some mind blowing figures from more recent years so take a look at that
episode. The damage work. >> Yeah, and by the way, guys, so when you
go to those channels, it's 24 hour station, we got a cable station just like all the rest
of them.
It has all of our shows on it. So check it out. Check us out anytime on those channels.