what's up guys in this video I'm going
to share with you five predictions bold
predictions for Amazon merch Sellers and
the whole program really for 2023 I've
been selling on Amazon merch since April
I think was when I got my first sale of
2017 so you could say I'm a pretty
seasoned veteran here closing in on my
sixth year and I I'm using everything
that I've seen everything that I have
learned to project the future and give
you five really good predictions so
let's get right to it
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my first prediction is that there will
be more tear-ups the reason being is
that they seem committed to expanding
the potential of Amazon merch they
understand that when you allow your
sellers to upload more designs on more
products which is clearly a priority
because they have you know for anybody
it's not in the program yet you may or
may not know that like when we upload a
design to Amazon merch on demand
initially we have to make it available
for sale on at least one product when
you do that though behind the scenes
their software will automatically
oftentimes enable that design for sale
on additional products and marketplaces
for us automatically okay so they're
clearly trying to increase their market
share right and one way of doing that is
what they're already doing with the
automated software but that's almost
like a signal that they you know
understand that yeah like in order to
expand it's like well they should let
more sellers on the platform so I mean
this is almost tied to hopefully they
let more people in
beyond that that they do more tear-ups
they also used to do these uh tear-ups
which again anybody on the outside
looking in this means that you can list
more designs for sale Amazon merch Works
in a tier system where when you start
you can only list 10 designs when you
get teared up you go from 10 to 25 you
get teared up again you go to 100 then
500 then a thousand and it just keeps
incrementally increasing
so they really slowed down the tear-ups
in 2022 and made them less predictable
because people who were eligible it felt
like they got skipped pretty often in
2022 I know Marielle my girlfriend she
got skipped a bunch just trying to get
to tier 1000 and now she's been eligible
for tier 2000 she can't get teared up
again and I don't know when it's going
to come you know what I mean so I think
there's going to be more tear-ups I
think whatever was going on this past
year
they'll either you know unless it was
intentional which I can't imagine why uh
that they'll fix it and we'll get back
to a regular tear-up schedule
okay so I expect to see a lot more of
these pretty merch uh little monster
emojis being dished out and people
celebrating in the Amazon merch Facebook
group Linked In the description I expect
to see a lot more of them with smiling
happy faces and congratulations
everywhere this year in 2023
my next prediction prediction number two
and you guys might like this one you may
also hate it I don't know it depends on
where you stand I think we will get
earlier access to advertising meaning
right now it feels like tier 500 is when
a lot of people are getting access to
ads it's not instantaneous like you
would probably expect it to be
it's I mean Amazon merch is they do
their own thing really I mean they they
they they don't have like streamlined
workflows and processes it really feels
like they kind of do what they want when
they want and it's all good I mean they
can do whatever they want right it's
it's it's nice just to be able to make
money as an Amazon merch seller I am
truly happy to have that uh to have that
option
um that being said like when it comes to
advertising access there are plenty of
tier 500 sellers tier 1000 sellers that
still don't have access but there are a
lot of people that got access in tier
500 which is why I lean towards that
kind of being
when there's an expectation to being
able to access ads here's the thing
Amazon's absolutely killing it with
their advertising Revenue now this
expands Beyond just Amazon merch even
though this video is kind of scoped to
Amazon merch uh but look right here from
us from a um like earnings report for
their stock Amazon disclosed its Q3 so
third quarter earnings Thursday with its
ads business generating 9.5 billion
dollars contributing to an overall net
sales total of 110.8 billion During the
period
9.5 billion dollars in one quarter okay
their ads platform is making them more
and more and more and more and more
money
with time
and it's clear that they want us to
advertise and of course they do right
they're getting something for nothing
you know they're monetizing visibility
which is not like a real tangible thing
of course it results in real tangible
dollars for us the sellers as we make
sales uh but Amazon of course gets a
larger piece of each sale that comes
through the uh their platform if an ad
was involved so I think it makes a lot
of sense since we know Amazon loves
money right and their stock has not been
doing too hot lately so they need more
money
um to increase their advertising
platforms footprint by letting more
Amazon merch sellers into the
advertising platform and one easy way to
do that is to let tier 100 sellers
advertise even maybe tier 25 sellers I
don't think they'll ever give it to tier
10 sellers because I don't think they I
think they understand that like you
don't want to overwhelm people that are
new to the platform uh so I think you
know they'll probably hold off on tier
10. if I had to guess
let me know you what you think in the
comments too I'd love to hear from you
guys uh by the way before we get to
prediction number three check out my
free print on demand mini course it's
linked in the description it'll help you
get started with uh your Amazon merch
business your print on demand business
all I need is your email address and I
will send you one lesson a day and my
Amazon merch Facebook group is linked
down there so you can join a community
of sellers all trying to succeed and
thrive in the Amazon merch space
prediction number three I predict more
terminations yes because it doesn't
matter what year it is right
there's always people trying to game the
system trying to fly too close to the
Sun and take their merch account for
granted we all see it we all see it all
right
I predict they will be even more
Vigilant in Banning these people because
look at that you know they they rolled
out enhanced brand content or a plus
content whatever you want to call it to
all of the Amazon merch listings by
default now so all of our listings you
scroll down and where our little
description used to be we see the full
you know enhanced brand content one of
the pictures is this one behind me okay
what do you notice about this picture
NASA MTV uh 101 Dalmatians uh roll is
that Rolling Stones I forget the the
mouth with the tongue out uh stranger
things they they're we we knew that this
already existed but like they have
Partnerships with big Brands and they
don't want to look like clowns the way
that Redbubble does right you know how
Redbubble we did a video where they
announced their partnership with Netflix
and stranger things and those of us that
like already sell on Redbubble that
actually look at the platform were like
wait a second you you mean now we can
sell Netflix stranger things on
Redbubble it's like did did Netflix's
lawyers take 10 seconds to look at
Redbubble prior to signing that
agreement people have been doing that
for a long time and Redbubble probably
owes Netflix quite a bit of money so
Amazon merch they want to be taken
seriously they're not clowns like
Redbubble sorry just being honest let's
be honest here uh so they're gonna be
stricter about terminations that's my
prediction
prediction number four this is a bold
one all right
but I I just I think Amazon knows that
Merch this this merch business man
there's so much money to be made
and there's money to be made in
expansion right they've been
aggressively expanding into new
marketplaces you know when I joined
merch it was just us Market just
standard t-shirt and premium t-shirt
that was it two product types one market
now we know there's 14 product types
there's six markets why not add a
seventh Marketplace perhaps expanding
into South America and maybe start with
Brazil right and I I mean I I'm not like
a world traveler I know that Europe made
a lot of sense because you can kind of
set up even in just one location and
fulfill to multiple countries I doubt
South America is even remotely close to
being that simple that being said Brazil
in terms of Amazon international
marketplaces would make a lot of sense
they have a population of over 200
million people Amazon Brazil already
launched at amazon.com.br it launched in
2021
who knows guys you know what I mean I we
know that Amazon wants to aggressively
expand their brand their footprint their
merch business their everything else
business I think we could see another
international marketplace in 2023 let me
know your thoughts
and prediction number five this one is
not as bold of a prediction at face
value but let me elaborate I think we're
gonna make lower earnings
and yeah they're not all positive uh
they're not all positive predictions you
could say we're gonna make lower
earnings by the way because
maybe we need to lean more on
Advertising I don't I mean that's just a
thought it's possible as an FBA seller
we certainly saw that transition feel
like it was really taking place you know
2018 2019 that you really needed to lean
more on ads and stop doing some of the
uh you know other methods that you may
have done for product launches to boost
your sales right away and boost your BSR
right away you know like I don't know I
don't want to call them black hat
they're not black hat they're not bad
but they're not like what Amazon
intended for us to do because Amazon
wants to make as much money as possible
so they're like oh hey how about using
our advertising platform instead but I
think we'll make lower earnings because
of that maybe we need to lean more on
ads we already know that they increased
their cut of our t-shirt sales for
standard t-shirts in the U.S market
so we used to make five dollars 23 cents
I forget the date it's like early early
January depending on when I release this
video actually it probably already took
effect so we will now be making
4.89 on a 1999 standard t-shirt
it stings but you know this is the third
time I've seen it happen it just it is
what it is and you gotta at least
respect them because yeah costs have
probably gone up
um you know the world you know the
geopolitical landscape's definitely
getting a little crazy here and we know
that this is a international print on
demand business where they handle the
marketing really because it's the Amazon
brand that oftentimes helps us convert
and make these sales you know our
listings are sold as Amazon like sold by
Amazon not sold by us which certainly
helps our conversion rate
they handled returns they handle
customer service they handle fulfillment
you know what I mean so I mean I'm not
trying to take their side and be like
you know I wish we could make more money
and not less but you know it is what it
is 4.89 per sale
they should just make it a clean five
dollars that would have been nice easy
for accounting
um but also the other side of this guys
is just that like
look at interest rates man interest
rates are going up I anticipate this
trend to continue because the trend had
been since you know the 1980s that
interest rates are continuing to decline
and now it almost feels like the ebb and
flow aspect is flipping to interest
rates going up to fight inflation to you
know prevent a peasant Revolt as the US
dollar inflates away it's buying power
and it makes it harder and harder The
Squeeze gets Tighter and Tighter on
normal people to live right to just pay
for basic things you need to to live
they don't want a Revolt they don't want
people in the streets and this is what
they do you know this is how you get
dollar strength which means you need
less dollars to buy things after doing
what central banks do and you know
inflating the buying power away they did
a little too fast because we're still
going to always have inflation but they
did a little too quickly
and as a result of that you know
a strong dollar typically results in
reduced demand it reduce it typically
results in layoffs that's really what
the Federal Reserve is aiming to do you
know with what they you know what they
control which is interest rates
um without going on a long tangent
basically layoffs reduce demand reduced
demand helps fight inflation and what
that would theoretically in a roundabout
way roll up to in this case is reduce
demand for our T-shirts because these
are just novelty t-shirts they're not
something that like you have to have a
lot of times they're being bought as you
know an affordable gift that being said
maybe it benefits us because a 20
t-shirt is actually a great gift idea
and if monetary conditions are tight
who knows maybe it does actually end up
benefiting t-shirt sellers I guess we
will see but I wanted to throw that out
there as a prediction
um
so yeah let me know what you think in
the comments Below guys but thanks for
watching check out my full Amazon merch
course if you are selling on Amazon
merch and you need a little bit of help
along the way no worries I can Fast
Track you to replicating my success as a
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description guys thanks for watching
please like And subscribe and I'll see
you at the next one
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