We have polls that show me leading
in almost every swing state.
This is our moment.
This is our mission.
While there are 50 states in the US,
just 15 will decide
who will win the election.
You'll hear them be referred to as
the swing states or battleground
states and could be won by
either Joe Biden or Donald Trump.
They represent a total of 221
electoral votes with the ultimate
goal being 270
electoral votes.
These are the ones to keep an eye on
during election night.
Arizona has only voted for a
Democratic candidate once,
Bill Clinton in 1996.
That doesn't sound like the voting
pattern of a swing state.
And yet Arizona is very much
in play this time because Mr. Trump
has never led Mr. Biden in the
state's polling average.
Colorado is a classic swing state.
In the last six presidential
elections it's been evenly split,
voting Democratic and Republican
three times each.
Thank you. To Florida.
We love Florida.
Florida is always unpredictable
and always close.
The most famous example came in 2000
when George W.
Bush was controversially declared
the winner over Al Gore by 537
votes.
How about a message for the country?
I gave that Wednesday night.
Georgia is certainly polling like
a swing state, but the Republican
candidate has won this state in
eight of the last nine elections.
This state has voted for the
victorious candidate in each
of the last four elections,
going Republican and Democratic
twice each.
The polls this time suggests it's a
toss up.
Michigan was one of three Rust
Belt states that delivered Mr. Trump
his surprise election win four years
ago. But the polls show Mr.
Biden leading by a large margin.
Minnesota has voted Democratic in
the last 11 elections,
but with Biden up by mid single
digits, it still qualifies as a
battleground state.
It has gradually come to be seen as
a swing state that leans a teensy
bit Democratic.
Mr. Biden's lead there has
consistently been in the double
digits.
He'll do anything to distract us
from focusing on his failures.
Mr. Trump has made a few campaign
trips to Nevada.
So he clearly feels it's in play.
And he has been particularly vocal
about mail in voting there, implying
without evidence to back him up
that it will lead to massive fraud.
And these mail in ballots, these
mail in ballots are a disgrace.
And they know it.
This state almost always ends
up voting Republican, but the polls
suggest it could be close this time
with Biden holding a very precarious
lead.
Trump won Ohio in 2016
by eight percent and is leading
Biden in the polls, albeit by
a much thinner margin.
It has voted with the winning
candidate in 14 straight elections
going all the way back to 1964.
The president has been hammering Mr.
Biden on fracking, which is a big
issue in the state, accusing him
of wanting to ban it.
In the last debate, Biden said he
would transition away from the
oil industry by 2025.
That said, Mr. Trump has never come
close to leading in the polling
average there.
He left. He abandoned Pennsylvania.
He abandoned Scranton-,.
A period of a surprisingly strong
polling for Mr. Biden there has
technically thrown it into the swing
state column.
But Mr. Biden has faded since
then. And you'd have to think Mr.
Trump would win it comfortably.
This first is tough but Texas is
tougher.
Virginia is a diverse state with
an interesting mix of demographics
on both sides of politics.
Mrs. Clinton beat Mr. Trump by
five percent in 2016,
and there are no signs of a swing
towards the president in Virginia
since then.
Trump won the state by zero point
seven seven percent in 2016,
but Biden has consistently led by
a margin in the mid single digits.
So it certainly remains up for
grabs.
If I don't win this state, I'm going
to come back and I'm going to be
very angry at you.