THIS IS ILLEGAL. >> ALL IN, STARTING RIGHT NOW.
>> ALL IN, STARTING RIGHT NOW.
>> GOOD EVENING, I'M CHRIS
HAYES.
U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE,
ANTHONY BLINKEN, GIVING A
STRIKE ASSESSMENT ON WHERE
THINGS STAND TO END RUSSIA'S
WAR OF AGGRESSION AGAINST
UKRAINE.
THIS IS NOT, I WOULD HAVE TO
SAY, PARTICULARLY ENCOURAGING.
THIS COMES ONE DAY AFTER
REPORTS OF SOMETHING
APPROACHING THE OUTLINES OF THE
DIPLOMATIC DEAL WAS BEING
SKETCHED OUT.
SINCE THE INVASION BEGAN, THERE
HAS ALMOST BEEN, IMMEDIATELY,
SOME LEVEL OF TALKS BETWEEN
UKRAINIAN, AND RUSSIAN
OFFICIALS.
ULTIMATELY, IT SEEMS, THERE ARE
THREE LIKELY WAYS THAT THIS
CONFLICT ENDS.
ONE, WOULD BE AN OUTRIGHT
MILITARY DEFEAT FOR RUSSIA.
IT WAS TREMENDOUS LOSSES, THAT
THE ARMY JUST KIND OF IMPLODES
ON ITSELF.
AND, IT IS DEFINITELY THE CASE
THAT THE INVASION HAS BEEN A,
WILDLY COSTLY, ENTERPRISE FOR
RUSSIA, IN JUST THREE WEEKS.
NEW YORK TIMES REPORTS, 7000
RUSSIAN TROOPS HAVE BEEN KILLED,
IN LESS THAN THREE WEEKS OF
FIGHTING.
THAT IS ACCORDING TO
CONSERVATIVE U.S. ESTIMATES.
PENTAGON OFFICIALS SAY A 10%
CASUALTY RATE, INCLUDING DEAD
AND WOUNDED FOR A SINGLE UNIT,
RENDERS IT UNABLE TO CARRY OUT
COMBAT RELATED TASKS.
WITH MORE THAN 150,000 RUSSIAN
TROOPS INVOLVED IN THE WAR IN
UKRAINE.
RUSSIAN CASUALTIES, ONE
INCLUDING THE ESTIMATED 14 TO
21,000 INJURED, OR NEAR THAT
LEVEL.
THE SECOND POSSIBILITY HERE,
AND THE SECOND POSSIBLE INTO
THE WAR, WOULD BE THE OPPOSITE.
AN OUTRIGHT MILITARY DEFEAT FOR
UKRAINE, A VICTORY FOR RUSSIA,
WITH A FULL SCALE OCCUPATION OF
THE COUNTRY, AND INSTALLATION
OF A PUPPET GOVERNMENT,
FRIENDLY TO THE KREMLIN.
AFTER ALL WE JUST SAID, THE
RUSSIAN MILITARY IS, STILL,
MUCH LARGER THAN UKRAINE'S.
IT'S BLOODY, AND BRUTAL AS IT
HAS BEEN, BUT THE RUSSIAN ARMY
CONTINUES TO MAKE SMALL AMOUNTS
OF PROGRESS.
HONESTLY, EVEN THAT, WOULD NOT
MEAN AN END TO ANYTHING.
THE HIGH LIKELIHOOD EXISTS OF
SOME KIND OF LONG-RUNNING
INSURGENCY, WHICH IS HARDLY A
RESOLUTION.
AND, ALSO, THE OCCUPATION,
FUNCTIONALLY, OF A COUNTRY ON
THE BORDERS OF NATO, IN EUROPE,
WOULD BE VIEWED AS A LEGITIMATE,
BY THE SAME COALITION OF
COUNTRIES, AMONG OURS, AND
OTHERS, THAT HAVE CONDEMNED,
AND SANCTIONED RUSSIA.
ESSENTIALLY, IT WOULD CREATE AN
DURING COLD WAR.
A NEW ONE, FOR AS LONG AS THE
SITUATION WAS NOT DEFINITIVELY
RESOLVED.
THE THIRD WHERE THIS CONFLICT
CAN END, IS WITH SOME
DIPLOMATIC SOLUTION.
A CEASE-FIRE, OR WITHDRAWAL OF
RUSSIAN TROOPS.
SOME AGREED UPON PATH FORWARD.
THERE IS REAL QUESTION, OF
WHETHER OR NOT THAT IS ACTUALLY
ACHIEVABLE.
AND WHETHER RUSSIA IS AT ALL
INTERESTED IN THAT OUTCOME, AT
LEAST NOW.
THERE IS SOME HISTORY HERE AS
WELL THAT'S WORTH REFERENCING.
DURING RUSSIA'S VIOLENT
INTERVENTION IN SYRIA, ON
BEHALF OF THE ASSAD REGIME,
THERE WAS ENDLESS ROUNDS OF
DIFFERENT KINDS OF THESE TALKS
IN WHICH RUSSIA PLAYED A ROLE.
IN 2016, A RUSSIAN FOREIGN
MINISTRY SPOKESWOMAN SAID THAT
THE COUNTRY WAS DRAGGING OUT
THE PEACE PROCESS TO ALLOW ITS
ALLIED PRESIDENT, ASSAD, TO
GAIN AN ADVANTAGE.
BUT, THAT APPEARS EXACTLY WHAT
THEY DID, AND EXACTLY WHAT IT
LOOKS LIKE THEY MAY BE DOING
NOW.
STALLING WITH PEACE TALKS, WILL
THEY CONTINUE TO BRUTALIZE
CIVILIANS.
THIS IS WHAT SECRETARY BLINKEN
SAID ABOUT THAT POSSIBILITY
TODAY.
>> WE SUPPORT UKRAINE'S EFFORTS
TO TRY AND DE-ESCALATE THROUGH
DIPLOMACY, TO REACH A
CEASE-FIRE, AND OF COURSE, THE
WITHDRAWAL OF RUSSIAN FORCES.
WE APPRECIATE THE EFFORTS OF
OTHER COUNTRIES, INCLUDING
FRANCE, GERMANY, ISRAEL, TURKEY,
AND OTHERS.
BUT, AGAIN, FROM WHERE I SIT,
THE DIPLOMACY REQUIRES BOTH
SIDES ENGAGING IN GOOD FAITH,
TO DE-ESCALATE, AND I DO NOT
SEE SIGNS RIGHT NOW THAT PUTIN
IS PREPARED TO STOP.
ON THE CONTRARY, IT IS THE MOST
RECENT REMARKS, JUST YESTERDAY,
AND SUGGESTS THAT HE IS MOVING
IN THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION.
>> UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT,
VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY, PLEADING
HIS CASE FOR MAJOR RUSSIAN
GOVERNMENTS TODAY.
HE WAS SPEAKING BEFORE THE
GERMAN PARLIAMENT.
HE WAS OPEN ABOUT WANTING TO
SIT DOWN, FACE TO FACE, WITH
RUSSIAN PRESIDENT, VLADIMIR
PUTIN.
THE NECESSARY LEVEL OF TALKS,
NEEDING TO END THIS WAR.
AGAIN, WE'VE SEEN PUTIN SYRIA
PLAYBOOK, WHERE HE ACTS OUT THE
TALKS, WILL BUTCHERING THE
POPULATION, AND WE ARE WATCHING
THIS HORRIFIC DECIMATION OF THE
CIVILIAN POPULATION, AND THE
BOMBING OF SHELTERS, AND
HOSPITALS, INDISCRIMINATE MASS
DESTRUCTION AND DEATH, RAINING
DOWN ON UKRAINIAN MEN, WOMEN,
AND CHILDREN.
EARLY THIS EVENING, THE
UKRAINIAN AMBASSADOR TO THE UN,
DIRECTLY CHALLENGED HIS RUSSIAN
COUNTERPART ABOUT THESE CRIMES.
>> I WOULD LIKE TO QUOTE FROM
INTO THE ABYSS.
A DOCUMENTARY ABOUT
EXECUTIONERS OF THE DEATH
PENALTY.
ONE GUARD BEGAN TO CRY, AND
SHAKE, UNCONTROLLABLY WHEN, I
QUOTE, THE EYES OF ALL OF THE
INMATES HE, HAD EXECUTED BEGAN
FLASHING BEFORE HIM.
AND OF QUOTE.
AMBASSADOR, DO THE EYES OF
UKRAINIAN CHILDREN, WOMEN, AND
ELDERLY, KILLED BY THE RUSSIANS,
FLASH BEFORE YOU?
IF THEY DO, YOU MAY CONSIDER
HOW TO SPONSOR A DECISION TO
HELP YOU DEAL WITH PERPETRATION,
INDUCTED TRAUMATIC STRESS.
>> YOU CAN SEE WHILE AMIDST THE
GROUND AND CRUELTY OF THIS WAR,
THERE IS NO REAL DIPLOMACY TO
BE HAD.
ONE MAJOR FACTOR, THAT COULD
INFLUENCE PROGRESSIVE
NEGOTIATIONS, ONE WHERE THE
OTHER, IS WHERE CHINA STANDS ON
ALL OF THIS.
OF COURSE, REPLETE WITH LATE
INTERVENTION, CHANGING THE TIDE
OF WAR FROM THE FRENCH HELPING
IN THE AMERICAN REVOLUTION, TO
THE U.S. ENTERING AND WORLD WAR
II ATTACK ON PEARL HARBOR.
THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF THE
AMPLIFYING RUSSIAN
DISINFORMATION ABOUT THE WAR,
AND THAT RUSSIA HAS,
SPECIFICALLY, AS CHINA FOR
MILITARY, AND ECONOMIC AID.
OTHERS HAVE NOTED, CHINA HAS
NOT ISSUED AN OFFICIAL
CONDEMNATION OF THE USE OF
FORCE, BY RUSSIA, LIKE THEY DID
OTHER, SIMILAR CIRCUMSTANCES.
THE CHINESE AMBASSADOR TO THE
U.S., DENYING THIS IN A
WASHINGTON POST OP-ED BY SAYING,
QUOTE, IN A PHONE CALL WITH
PUTIN ON THE SECOND DAY OF THE
CONFLICT, SHINY'S PRESIDENT XI
JINPING EXPRESSED CHINA'S
DESIRE TO SEE RUSSIA, AND
UKRAINE, HOLD PEACE TALKS AS
EARLY AS POSSIBLE, AND RECEIVED
A POSITIVE RESPONSE.
TOMORROW, PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN
WILL SPEAK TO PRESIDENT XI, AND
SECRETARY BLINKEN PREVIEW TODAY
HOW THE U.S. IS APPROACHING
THIS CONVERSATION, WHILE
CONFIRMING THE CHINA'S THINKING
ABOUT DOING MORE TO HELP THE
RUSSIAN INVASION.
>> WE BELIEVE CHINA, IN
PARTICULAR, HAS A
RESPONSIBILITY TO USE HIS
INFLUENCE WITH PRESIDENT PUTIN,
AND TO DEFEND THE INTERNATIONAL
RULES, AND PRINCIPLES, THAT IT
PROFESSES TO SUPPORT.
INSTEAD, IT APPEARS THAT CHINA
IS MOVING IN THE OPPOSITE
DIRECTION, BUT REFUSING TO
CONDEMN THIS AGGRESSION, WHILE
SEEKING TO PORTRAY ITSELF AT
THE NEUTRAL ARBITER.
THEY ARE CONCERNED TO DIRECTLY
ASSISTING RUSSIAN, WITH THE
MILITARY SYSTEMS HOUSTON
UKRAINE.
PRESIDENT BIDEN, SPEAKING TO
PRESIDENT XI TOMORROW, AND WILL
MAKE, CLEAR CHINA WILL BEAR