Hello health champions today I'm going to talk about the coronavirus covid-19 in terms
of how fast it's growing and where we are on that growth curve because the
numbers are going up faster than ever and the government is even considering
stronger protective measures but are we doing enough coming right up hey I'm Dr.
Ekberg I'm a holistic doctor and a former Olympic decathlete and if you
want to truly master health by understanding how the body really works
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anything the quarantine that President Trump is considering that would be
illegal to travel in and out of those states that he's considering and it it's
been met with tremendous critique both from some people to say that he hasn't
done enough that all of these measures should have been done long long time ago
that and said there will not be a quarantine but instead they're gonna
have a very strong travel advisory here are the current corona cases by nation
as of March 28th and the top countries so we have Korea Netherlands Switzerland
Great Britain Iran France Germany Spain and China which is where the outbreak
started they had about 80,000 cases but since then they have been surpassed by
Italy and the United States so Italy had over 90,000 and the US has over 120,000
these numbers don't tell the whole truth because it depends on where you are on
that growth curve and it of course it also depends on the population so China
obviously has the largest population but other than that the United States has
about the same population as all the other countries put together so if we
instead look at the numbers of number of cases per 1 million people now we find
that the United States is about 300 something the world average is this
dotted line at about 85 and italy has over 1500 cases per 1 million whereas
China even though they are at the end of their growth curve they have grown and
they have shrunk they are about about in the 50s somewhere
Spain is over 1500 we have Germany France and Iran somewhere in the middle
Great Britain not so much but Switzerland has the highest number of
cases per 1 million with over 1600 we have the Netherlands and then Korea
which is the other country that was relatively early infected with high
numbers never hit very very high they ended up around 170 or so so China and
Korea are some of the success stories if you will where they are at the end of
their they have past the peak and yet their numbers didn't get extremely high
you probably heard about flattening the curb and what is that all about well it
means that if we don't control the spread if we have a doubling effect on
that spread and every person goes to in fact to other people and we don't
control it at all then there would be a very very rapid rise that will have a
tremendous number of infected cases of active cases at the same time and if
that number of cases exceed the capacity of the medical system to handle the
critical cases then anything above that capacity would basically be a casualty
if they were critical and they couldn't get the help then they would perish so
the biggest goal in the restrictions is to not have too many cases at once but
to flatten the curve to delay the infections so that we would have fewer
people at any one time be infected and then hopefully the healthcare resources
would be enough to care for those critical cases there are a lot of
unknowns around this virus and some people are suggesting that it's possible
that it might be more like a flu virus that it's going to be a recurring thing
and in that case it's not so much about preventing the spread as delaying it but
again there's a whole lot about this that we don't know when we look at the
kerbs we have to keep in mind if they're showing us total cases or new cases
because most of the curves we see they're pointing straight up like this
red line and they're representing total cases and
so every day the cases are added to the previous day's cases and that's going to
make the curb very sharp if that situation eventually gets resolved then
that curve is not going to come down it's going to flatten and on the other
hand if we have a curb that represents the new cases every day then that curve
once it's resolved is going to end up down towards zero again so just keep
that in mind when you look at a curve what is it representing is it total
cases or is it new cases here are the new cases for the United
States so at the beginning of the month we had a handful of cases and then it
turned into a few hundred and then just about a week ten days ago we got into
the thousands of cases per day and since then as you see pretty much every day
the we have more new cases than the preceding day so that indicates that we
still have an exponential growth that there is a doubling growth function here
and the only thing that we can look at to give us some hope is that the
doubling rate is slower than it used to be so there was a while when the double
was every day and then every couple of days and then every 3-4 days and
eventually now I believe it's around six or eight days that it's doubling so
there is some progress but as long as it's doubling then it's still growing
very very fast in Italy they have probably hit the peak meaning it's far
from over but they don't have a doubling rate anymore that the number of cases
about ten days ago the number of new cases about ten days
ago is the same roughly the same level as it is today so hopefully their curve
will start turning downward when we look at China this is a month earlier so in
February they had their peak at the of January beginning of February and now
at the already at the beginning of March they were down to where they were
getting very few new cases and with South Korea now we're looking at March
again and they had their peak at the end of February beginning of March so they
went through the process a lot faster than China they were infected a good bit
later but they were pretty quick to hit their peak and then come down so they
haven't reached zero or extremely few cases they still run a couple of hundred
cases every day but they have definitely come past their
peak so here is a growth curve and the peak is where it's critical that's what
we want to flatten China past its peak and they were at the end of that about
March first South Korea have passed their peak and now at the end of March
they are at the end of their curve even though there's still quite a few cases
occurring Italy hopefully are hitting right as we speak have hit their peak
and are heading downwards but the u.s. we don't really know where it is it came
a little bit later and the growth rate is still very very fast so we still have
a doubling rate and nobody knows exactly when that peak is going to hit but there
are no official sources that think it's going to happen in the next few weeks
but rather probably several weeks or maybe even longer
the administration has received a lot of critique of not doing enough early on at
first it seemed like oh well this is a Chinese problem and this is a European
problem and now we know different that every country every region every
province every County pretty much has infections so it's just a matter of time
of when is it getting out of control so when are we supposed to introduce those
stronger measures when are we going to get really really serious when
going to do those things that we would have to do in an extreme crisis and if
we're smart we want to do it at the early stages when it might get out of
control that's like prevention or maybe when it's getting out of control we
don't want to wait until it's almost out of control or totally out of control or
monumentally out of control we want to be smart and proactive we don't want to
be reactive we don't want to do things just because we have to because we have
no other options because it's just so far gone this whole pandemic comes at an
enormous price we have different kind of costs we have lost income from not being
able to work we have lost productivity which affects
companies and nations we have human suffering and we'll have tremendous loss
of human lives and then there's even more trickle-down effect we have people
experiencing mental health problems they get anxious they get nervous they get
irritable both from the tension of the whole situation but also from having
their routines disrupted so instead of going about their daily lives and being
productive and doing things they enjoy and and I can create things now they're
cooped up at home and they often have an increased workload because they're
telecommuting but all their children are home so now they have to do some home
schooling and there's more friction and more stress than normal and that is also
taking its toll and we also want to consider the lives lost from non Corona
causes that we may have quite a few people who are having non Corona medical
emergencies that are now going to fall by the wayside that we may not have
those resources available to care for those people or to prioritize those
people because the health care system is already overwhelmed by all the critical
cases of corona infection so I would urge everyone watching this video to
follow all of the official guidelines restrict travel restrict social
interaction and take it seriously take personal responsibility don't just do
the minimum that you have to but go above and beyond and do everything that
you can to contain this spread and on a positive note someone they call mr. P
was released after recovering from the corona virus from a hospital in Italy
and he was a hundred and one years old and here's the interesting part about
that he was born in 1919 in the middle of the Spanish flu epidemic that claimed
some 50 million lives so his real name and picture were not disclosed but I
think it's a great testament to human endurance and survivability when someone
can live that long and even live through two of these pandemics and here is the
suggestion on what not to do this lady is trying to tell us I think to not
smoke and not eat cake because it's full of sugar and sugar
will diminish your immune system if you enjoyed this video make sure you take a
look at that one also thank you so much for watching and I'll see you in the