>> THEY ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE. >> Reporter: MORGAN RADFORD, NBC
NEWS, NASHUA, NEW HAMPSHIRE.
>>> WE TURN, NOW, TO NBC NEWS
ANALYST, FORMER DEMOCRATIC
SENATOR, CLAIRE McCASKILL OF
MISSOURI, AND ANDREA MITCHELL.
GOOD MORNING TO BOTH OF YOU.
PAPER IS HAVING A MOMENT.
PAPER BALLOTS IS ALL THE RAGE.
WE MAY ACTUALLY KNOW THE RESULTS
TONIGHT.
TONIGHT. >> IT WILL BE EXCITING.
>> WHO HAS THE MOMENTUM?
THIS IS A RACE THAT FEELS IN A
WAY LOCKED THE BERNIE SABLDNDERS
BUT THE REST IS WIDE-OPEN.
>> BERNIE SANDERS GOT 60% OF THE
VOTE HERE FOUR YEARS AGO.
60%.
60%. HE’S NOT GOING TO COME ANYWHERE
NEAR 60%.
NEAR 60%. >> IT’S HIS NEIGHBORHOOD, BY THE
WAY.
WAY. >> HE CAMPAIGNED HERE.
HE HAS A HUGE FOLLOWING HERE.
BUT WHAT WE HAVE IN THIS RACE IS
SOMETHING MUCH MORE WIDE-OPEN
THAN WHAT WE’VE SEEN IN A LONG
TIME, IN A DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY.
IT WILL NOT BE OVER TONIGHT.
A LOT OF THE VOTERS HAVE TO
WEIGH IN.
WEIGH IN. AND IF THE CANDIDATES THAT ARE
NOT FOR FREE COLLEGE AND
MEDICARE FOR ALL, BEGIN TO
COALESCE, YOU WILL SEE CLOSE
CONTESTS DOWN THE LINE.
>> THERE’S A PROGRESSIVE LANE.
YOU PUT SANDERS AND WARREN IN
THAT LANE.
THAT LANE. THE REST OF THEM YOU CALL THEM
MODERATES OR CENTRISTS OR WHAT
THEY WOULD CALL THEMSELVES.
NOT THE SANDERS AND WARREN LANE.
BUT LET’S TALK ABOUT JOE BIDEN.
THEY DIDN’T EXPECT IOWA AND
NEW HAMPSHIRE TO BE WINNING
STATES FOR THEM.
THEY’RE TRYING TO GET TO NEVADA
AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
BUT DID THEY EXPECT THIS KIND OF
DISMAL FINISH IN IOWA AND WHAT’S
SHAPING UP TO BE NOT A GREAT
FINISH IN NEW HAMPSHIRE?
>> NOT AT ALL.
THEY COULD PLACE FIFTH,
CERTAINLY FOURTH.
CERTAINLY FOURTH. AND THE FACT IS, THEY’RE
BEGINNING TO HAVE THAT FEELING
OF A LOSER.
WHEN YOU SAW THAT QUINNIPIAC
POLL THAT SHOWS HE HAS LOST 22
POINTS IN AFRICAN-AMERICAN
SUPPORT, HE TALKED ABOUT SOUTH
CAROLINA AS BEING HIS FIREWALL.
THAT’S NO LONGER THE CASE.
MIKE BLOOMBERG HAS MOVED INTO
POSITION.
POSITION. AND HAVING LOST SO MUCH OF THE
AFRICAN-AMERICAN SUPPORT, JOE
BIDEN IS ALMOST ON FUMES,
REALLY.
REALLY. THIS IS A REAL PROBLEM FOR THEIR
CAMPAIGN.
CAMPAIGN. >> I WAS GOING TO SAY, THEY SAY
THEY’RE GOING TO SUPER TUESDAY,
WIN, LOSE OR DRAW.
>> WITH WHAT MONEY?
>> THAT’S THE QUESTION.
CAN THEY GO THE DISTANCE?
>> EVERYONE WHO DOES WELL WILL
RAISE MONEY OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
DAYS. THIS COMES BREAKNECK SPEED.
NEXT WEEK, SOUTH CAROLINA.
AND THE FOLLOWING WEEK.
AND THE BIG, BIG SUPER TUESDAY,
WITH LOTS OF DELEGATES.
MONEY MATTERS HERE.
AND WHETHER THE LOW DONATIONS
COME IN ENTHUSIASTICALLY AFTER
TONIGHT, THAT’S WHAT THE
CANDIDATES WILL BE LOOKING AT.
>> ANDREA YOU REFERENCED THE
QUINNIPIAC POLL.
QUINNIPIAC POLL. IT’S GOTTEN ATTENTION BECAUSE
HERE COMES MICHAEL BLOOMBERG.
HE’S SPENT HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS
OF DOLLARS TIGZ SS ADVERTISING.
IT’S SHOWING UP IN THE POLLS.
HE’S NUMBER TWO OR THREE IN THIS
NATIONAL POLL, UP ON THE SCREEN
YOU CAN SEE IT.
SO, BLOOMBERG IS REALLY MAKING A
RUN FOR IT HERE.
>> HE’S MAKING A RUN FOR IT.
BUT THE FACT IS, YOU KNOW, HE’S
NOT A GREAT RETAIL POLITICIAN,
DESPITE 12 YEARS AS NEW YORK
CITY MAYOR.
CITY MAYOR. HE HAS SOME PROBLEMS.
THE STOP AND FRISK ISSUE WITH
MINORITY COMMUNITIES.
MINORITY COMMUNITIES. HE HAS TO PROVE HIMSELF, AS
WELL.
WELL. THE AD THAT MADE IT APPEAR THAT
BARACK OBAMA WAS ENDORSING HIM.
THAT WAS A POWERFUL AD.
THE ADVERTISING STRATEGY HAS
BEEN BRILLIANT.
BEEN BRILLIANT. AND THE PROBLEM IS GOING TO BE,
THE OTHER CANDIDATES, THE
MODERATE CANDIDATES ARE GOING TO
COALESCE EVENTUALLY, AND WILL
COME OUT OF NEW HAMPSHIRE, WITH
WAY TOO MANY CANDIDATES.
BUT IT WILL EVENTUALLY COME TO
BE BERNIE VERSUS THE OTHERS.
AND THE BERNIE PEOPLE WILL BE
PASSIONATE.
PASSIONATE. THEY ARE PASSIONATE.
A HUGE CROWD HERE LAST NIGHT.
AND THEN, YOU’LL HAVE A DIVIDED
DEMOCRATIC PARTY.
DEMOCRATIC PARTY. AND IT’S A RECIPE FOR A DISASTER
AGAINST DONALD TRUMP, AGAINST A
BROKERED CONVENTION, AND BERNIE
HAVING A MRURPLURALITY.
>> YOU HAD PRESIDENT TRUMP HERE
WITH 11,000, 12,000 PEOPLE,
PACKING A STADIUM, WHICH REALLY
IS A REALITY CHECK FOR WHAT
DEMOCRATS ARE FACING.
>> WELL, KEEP IN MIND FOUR YEARS
AGO, THERE WERE ABOUT 250,000
PEOPLE THAT VOTED IN
NEW HAMPSHIRE.
NEW HAMPSHIRE. YOU LOOK AT THE RALLIES AND YOU
WONDER HOW MANY OF THOSE FOLKS
ARE ACTUALLY FROM NEW HAMPSHIRE.
WE’LL SEE.
WE’LL SEE. THAT’S THE OTHER THING WE HAVE
TO WATCH TONIGHT, SAVANNAH, IS
TURNOUT.
TURNOUT. WHAT WILL THE TURNOUT BE ON THE
DEMOCRATIC SIDE?
DEMOCRATIC SIDE? AND WILL YOU SEE MISCHIEFMAKING
BY REPUBLICANS THAT CALL
THEMSELVES INDEPENDENT.
THEMSELVES INDEPENDENT. >> IN THE PRIMARIES.
>> AND VOTING FOR SOMEONE THEY
THINK TRUMP CAN BEAT.