so the stage is cert the principal players are now in place within the next
several hours we are going to witness history again a second handshake between
the leaders of North Korea and the United States this time in Hanoi let's
get some expert analysis on the summit from Min Jung hoon professor at the
korea national diplomatic academy thanks for joining us this morning professor
my pleasure so with the Hanoi summit about a start
analysts are weighing in with their own predictions of what might happen some
optimistic Sun less so what do you expect to happen
during this summit well I think that there are some mixed expectations about
his second summit in Hanoi and I also in there decide where the optimistic people
but a little bit cautious because they always so what happened the last year in
Singapore in June so and I think that that there was there pretty historic
this summit last year but did a little bit lack of progress in terms of the
implementing the inquiry in graduation measures on the Korean Peninsula so and
after the first summit there was some kind of stalemate between the two
countries and now we got the second summit so the I think that it's time
that the two countries make real progress in terms of implementing the
what they got and the first two summit but they are still they have some kind
of the other there they get some attentions and they try to get the what
they want from the other side so still the in terms of the considering that
those are the things I think that the other day would make some progress but
the other that progress could have be a little bit distant what moderate right
and president Trump appears to be dampening expectations ahead of this
summit initially he said after Singapore that North Korea had essentially agreed
to fully denuclearize now he's just saying
he's in no rush to see that happen is quite the about-face from him does that
suggest like you touched upon there has been a significant lack of progress
since Singapore yes I think so but the other I want to point out that how much
the people establish the expectation line or the other threshold of the day
or their their immolations about the first summit could they be different
when the first I want to point out that the the first summit was the history in
itself you know so in the meeting the to the the current tub leaders of the two
countries knows correct us it's historic and symbolic in itself and but the I
said a little bit lack of progress because in terms the the implementing
the real deal implementing agreements about between the two countries you know
specifically they're the encouraging measures some little bit years so long
pace and about about it so when the up to the first summit no many people
expected that the the in the creation the measures would go fast but they
didn't so that's why I said a little bit Thea their lack of progress or their
moderate expectations well now I think that the president Trump the recognize
the other liberal pessimistic voices in Washington so they the president Trump
tried to the other show his audience and us that he would not be rush to make
some kind of get to some kind of political benefit from this summit and
he got some he was he got some kind of his own the other timetable and and in
terms they had negotiation waited that was good you know chairman Kim he tried
to did the slow down his pace and tried to get that as much as possible from his
counterpart from those Korea yes well we mustn't
downplay the fact that it's it's good news that the leaders of North Korea in
the u.s. are finally talking to each other and the fact that there hasn't
been any nuclear tests or or missile tests for the last couple of years
that's something Pompeo and Trump and both been really hitting on but
president Trump's critics of which there are many in the United States are
concerned that he might try and give up too many concessions to North Korea in a
bid to win some foreign policy victory among his base especially with the 2020
presidential election around 18 months ago 18 months away are you concerned
that President Trump might concede too much ground to Kim jong-un during this
on it no I don't think so the you mentioned that the project Trump
may consider the his political gain for the other his reelection in 2020
but you know think about how much time we left before 2020 so if he tries to
get the other small things then the second summit and then how could he men
eh the other left left time was a living time like the other one in a one year
and the happen have one in half years yeah so too much time and I don't think
that the u.s. of voters would wait and just remind what they got in the the
previous year they're only to 2019 so in terms of thinking about such a time to
span the time gap president Trump's president realms need to get the the
progress watching toward the 2020 so probably the T second summit would be
the starting point in terms of getting real progress from North Korea and then
he needs to move forward and probably at the 30 summit later this year the who
knows and the fourth of summit there earlier the next year and in terms of
the other repeated at the summits where they had the Chairman came North Korea
the trailer-truck were to get the more realistic and the progress toward India
the comparative democratization okay we've been focusing mostly on the u.s.
angle to this but let's talk about North Korea before we let you go has a North
Korea in your mind given any indication that it's willing to put some meat on
the bones so to speak in regards to making some concessions to the US ie
giving a full and detailed inventory of its stockpiles or perhaps even giving
part of its weapons of mass destruction to the United States well I'm not
completely sure did whether Chairman Kim is ready to give up
the other history entire the other nuclear programs and then the collider
capability to the United States because it's just still the initial stage of the
negotiation with the United States so just to the focusing on the adhesive
coming summit and I think that the North Korea is ready to talk with the United
States about dismantling young and the Khalifa's motifs and the freezing H
production of the and the clear and the missile of missiles or something like
that that could be the other decent expectations about what North Korea is
ready to the ruling kisi over there they give up in wit and further getting the
realistic theater benefit from the United States so I think that if the two
countries are succeed India they're getting agreement just between the other
younger nuclear facilities at dismantling the nuclear facilities and
the phrasing and and some kind of the declaration to ended the Korean War and
establishing the Legion of office and they're expanding their humanitarian aid
that could be a decent he had the results and provide some people
we'll also think that there could be at a success poll the summit this time yeah
there's plenty of ways they can make small steps that could be deemed a
success but as we know both sides are playing their cards close to their chest
at the moment we we don't know what they've been discussing at their
working-level negotiations or what this Hanoi declaration might look like a
professor we appreciate your insights I hear you're coming back to speak to us
again later during our 10:00 a.m. newscast so we'll see you then thank you
thank you