China—A Marxist Leninist State
Believes war with the US is inevitable
But is there a way to beat them at their own game?
Welcome to China Uncensored, I’m Chris Chappell.
Is war with China inevitable?
According to the United States' most senior military officer, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs
of Staff Army General Mark Milley , China believes yes—war with the US is inevitable.
And Milley places the blame squarely on Marxist ideology.
Here he is in a recent interview with the Government Executive Media Group.
At least their military, and perhaps others, have come to the conclusion that war with
the United States is inevitable. I think that's a very dangerous thing.
But they come out of a Marxist ideology, Marxist thought processes, and in Marxism,
they believe in historical determinism, they believe in a linear approach to history.
And in particular the war could be over Taiwan.
Let me ask you this sir, do you agree with those who are saying
the United States needs to significantly increase the speed in which we arm Taiwan?
I do. Because, you know I think that, you know, president Xi, head of the Chinese Communist Party,
he gave several speeches, both recently and in the past couple of years,
and he set a date, of 2027, where he said explicitly in open press,
for the Chinese people's liberation military, the army, navy, and air force,
to be ready to have the capability to attack and seize the island of Taiwan by force.
So, I couldn’t find exactly what General Milley said. I never saw Xi Jinping make a
public statement about the military being “ready to have the capability” to invade Taiwan by 2027.
In February, the head of the CIA said US intelligence said he said that.
But I’ve never heard Xi Jinping put a specific year to it.
However, he has absolutely publicly said he’s willing to use force to take Taiwan.
And over the years we’ve seen a rapid increase in military aggression against Taiwan. With Chinese
warplanes entering Taiwan’s air defense identification zone on a regular basis.
In fact, during a recent trip to the US by Taiwan’s
President Tsai Ing-wen , China sent a swath of military vehicles near Taiwan.
And the reason President Tsai was in the US is because she was transiting
to Belize and Guatemala, two of the very few countries left in the
world that still recognize Taiwan diplomatically.
The Chinese Communist Party has been using a variety of pressure tactics
to get countries around the world to break ties with Taiwan. Most recently, at the end of March,
Honduras kicked Taiwan out, in favor of the People’s Republic of China.
On her way back to the US, President Tsai also met with US Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy.
Of course Beijing said it would fight back if the meeting happened.
Which, as always, the threat was all talk.
But a war over Taiwan is a very real possibility.
Experts say a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be a bloody, logistical nightmare.
One the US might not be guaranteed to win.
So why is Taiwan so important? I’ll tell you more after the break.
Welcome back.
If you want to support this show, consider buying
one of these amazing West Taiwan travel posters from our merch store, over at.
Taiwan has become the center for focus, for both the US and China. Both sides see Taiwan
as critically important to its national interests. And might be willing to shed blood to ensure it.
So why is Taiwan so important?
For the Chinese Communist Party, it’s pretty clear.
At the end of the Chinese Civil War in 1949, Mao Zedong’s Communist guerilla
forces seized control of Mainland China. The former government, the Republic of China,
fled to Taiwan as their main base of operations. And even though China
has tried to invade in the past, the stalemate has continued to this day.
If Xi Jinping were to orchestrate the conquest of Taiwan,
he would have achieved something even Mao Zedong couldn’t do.
But the US also has tremendous interests in Taiwan. There are basically four big reasons.
The first is Taiwan’s strategic location. It’s part of what’s
called the first island chain. It’s this wall of islands from Japan, to Taiwan,
to the Philippines. The US has many strategic military bases on the first island chain.
Essentially this prevents China’s military from projecting power out into the Pacific.
But if the Communist Party takes Taiwan, they can send their military unobstructed out into
the Pacific, as well as solidify their control of the South and East China Seas.
Another reason Taiwan is so important is because it has 23 million people living there. Taiwan is
a thriving democracy, the greatest repudiation of the Communist Party’s claims that Chinese
people can’t handle democracy. If the Communist Party took over, it would become a wasteland.
One Communist Party official has suggested that the Party needs to
reeducate Taiwanese after they take over Taiwan.
Not a comforting statement from a country that
has “re-education camps” where they torture and kill people.
Which brings me to the third biggest reason Taiwan is important for the US.
If the US fails to defend Taiwan's democracy from falling to China’s authoritarian regime,
the US would no longer be a superpower. And China’s iron grip on Asia would be unbreakable.
According to Australian journalist Michael Shoebridge, “If Beijing were to invade
Taiwan successfully, U.S. inaction would profoundly undercut U.S. power
and show that America and its allies and partners—including Australia—cannot act
together to secure important common interests in the face of CCP action.”
As author Grant Newsham said on our podcast recently, Asia would turn red almost overnight.
And finally, a successful Chinese invasion of Taiwan puts China in
a prime position to threaten the United States directly.
According to the Center for Strategic Studies,
trillions of dollars in shipping goes through the South China Sea.
China would be able to effectively sanction the US if it wanted, by blocking off shipping.
On top of that, Taiwan builds most of the world’s advanced semiconductors.
An invasion would completely disrupt that supply chain.
Remember how bad things were when supply chains were screwed up by Covid? Well that was when
everyone actively trying to fix it. This would be so much worse. America’s technological advantage,
including all the high tech supplies the US military depends on, would collapse.
But since the Chinese Communist Party wants Taiwan so badly,
and the United States has to stop them, does that mean war is inevitable?
Not necessarily. According to General Milley , even though China considers
war inevitable, that doesn’t mean it has to be so.
I don't believe war is inevitable. I don't think it is imminent. But I do think that we need to be
very pragmatic and cautious going forward. We will reduce the likelihood of war if we remain really,
really strong relative to China, and China knows that we have the will to use it if necessary.
So the Communist Party knows that to get Taiwan, it has to convince the people of the United
States that Taiwan isn’t important. It isn’t worth spilling blood over. And if the Chinese
regime can trick Americans into believing the US should abandon Taiwan, then blood will be spilled.
So now you know why Taiwan is so important. And if you hear someone
saying otherwise, you know what to tell them.
And this show would not exist without support from viewers like you. YouTube
frequently demonetizes, suppresses, and secretly unsubscribes people from
this channel. China Uncensored would be out of business if it weren’t for
what I call the China Uncensored 50 Cent Army, fans who support our work.
You can support us too for a small monthly contribution on our exclusive social media
site on Locals. That’s chinauncensored.locals.com.
But as a thank you to the China Uncensored 50 Cent Army,
I answer one of their questions at the end of each episode.
Today’s question comes from, NickAllen1. “Since the Restrict act gives the federal
government the power to outlaw VPNs and any website or app they don't like,
and since FOIA requests don't apply to Restrict Act mandates,
do you think the US government will outlaw Locals, Rumble, Substack and other sites that
circumvent government influenced sites like Facebook, Instagram etc? How can the Supreme
Court not strike this down as unconstitutional? How do the Twitter Files fit into all this?”
An excellent question Nick. We actually covered the Restrict Act in depth on our other channel,
America Uncovered. I’ll leave a pinned comment with the link.
But here’s the short of it. First the good. TikTok itself is not the problem. The problem
is the Chinese Communist Party using American freedoms to undermine American freedom. If you
just ban TikTok, the Communist Party may just roll out something else. So you need legislation
that gets to the root of that problem. That’s what the Restrict Act tries to do.
However, the language in the bill is way too vague and provides a major loophole that
would allow the government to be completely untransparent about how it enforces the law.
And as we know from the Patriot Act, the government does like to overreach.
The good news is the bill hasn’t even gone to committee for review yet, so there’s still plenty
of time to change the language of the bill and fix all the problems with it—especially if you call
your local congresspeople, in both the Senate and the House, and tell them what you think.
But again, I recommend checking out the full episode we did on it.
Thanks for your question and your support Nick.
And thank you for watching. Once again I’m Chris Chappell. See you next time.