THERE IT IS.
COMING IN SECOND NOW, HURRICANE
IRMA.
WE HAVE THE ADVISORY WE HAVE
BEEN WAITING FOR.
LOOK AT THE SIZE OF THAT.
IRMA IS AN IMPRESSIVE SIGHT.
PRESIDENT TRUMP DECLARED AN
EMERGENCY FOR FLORIDA.
THERE IS IMPORTANT NEWS FOR
STATE AND LOCAL OFFICIALS BUT
FIRST THE LATEST FROM THE
HURRICANE CENTER.
THERE IS NOT GOOD NEWS IN
THE 11:00 HURRICANE ADVISORY
TONIGHT.
IT HAS MAINTAINED THE CATEGORY
FIVE.
IT PROBABLY WILL NOT WEAKEN
MUCH UNLESS IT GOES THROUGH AN
EYE WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE.
THEY ARE VERY HARD TO PREDICT.
THE INTENSITY FLUBBING
SHOATIONS -- FLUCTUATIONS MAY
BE POSSIBLE.
THE STORM SIZE IS GETTING
LARGER.
IT IS CONTINUING TO EXPAND AND
IT IS MOVING TO THE WEST,
NORTHWEST.
THAT IS A CHANGE IN DIRECTION.
BEFORE IT WAS MOVING SOUTH AND
WEST, AND NOW IT WILL TAKE IT
JUST NORTH OF THE GREATER
ANTILLES THERE.
HERE IS THE ABLE P.M.
WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME -- 8:00
P.M.
TIME FRAME.
NEXT STOP THURSDAY.
THIS IS THE TIME FRAME ON
THURSDAY BY THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND THEN RIGHT OVER
TURKS AND CAICOS.
STORM SURGE COULD BE UP TO 20
FEET IN THOSE ISLANDS.
WE HAVE SUCH A STRONG HURRICANE
IT WILL PUSH A HUGE MOUND OF
WATER WITH IT AS IT MOVES
ALONG.
BESIDES THE WIND ISSUE, THERE
IS A SURGE THREAT.
THE RAIN THREAT WILL NOT BE AS
GREAT.
WE GO INTO THE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY TIME FRAMES.
THE EVENING CONE POSITION MOVED
TO THE NORTH AND THAT FORECAST
IS BACK OVER THE WATER.
IRMA WILL STAY VERY CLOSE TO
THE WATER AND MAY NOT ENCOUNTER
CUBA.
IF IT DID, THERE COULD BE SOME
WEAKENING, BUT SINCE THE TRACK
SHIFTED TO THE NORTH THERE IS
MORE OPPORTUNITY TO STAY OVER
THE WATER AND CONTINUE THE
CATEGORY FOUR INTENSITY.
THIS IS THE SUNDAY EVENING TIME
FRAME.
IT IS A SLOWING OF THIS WHOLE
PROGRESSION, FROM FRIDAY
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING,
THAT'S THE DISTANCE THE STORM
WILL TRAVEL.
AS WE HAVE BEEN SAYING COULD IT
GO HERE OR THROUGH THE MIDDLE?
THOSE ARE ALL POSSIBILITIES BUT
THE MODS SEEM TO WANT TO
CONVERGE ON SOUTH FLORIDA.
THERE IS MORE SPREAD THIS
EVENING, SO THE CONFERENCE IS
NOT TERRIBLY HIGH BUT THE
MODELS ALL TURNING AND GOING TO
THE NORTH AND IT ALMOST LOOKS
LIKE THESE ARE BOOK END HERE.
THIS ONE MODEL IS THE GFS AND
THE EURO.
THERE IS SUNDAY.
HERE IN SOUTH FLORIDA WE ARE
RIGHT BETWEEN THE TWO MAJOR
MODELS AND ALL THE OTHER
HURRICANE MODELS COME RIGHT UP
INTO SOUTH FLORIDA.
WE ARE SEEING THIS PATTERN OF
THE MODELS MOVING BACK AND
FORTH.
THE BAD PART IS WE STAY IN THE
MIDDLE OF THAT MOVEMENT BACK
AND FORTH AND EVENTUALLY THAT
MOVEMENT BACK AND FORTH GETS
SMALLER AND SMALLER, STILL
NOTHING TO INDICATE THIS IS
GOING TO CHANGE AND NOT BE A
PROBLEM FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
THAT WAS THE SUNDAY TIME FRAME
AND THE MONDAY TIME FRAME THE
MODELS TAKE IT TO THE NORTH.
HERE IT IS TONIGHT.
IT IS A HUGE, CLEAR EYE WALL.
IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL GO NORTH
TO ANGUILA LATER ON TONIGHT.
IT IS A SUBSTANTIAL STORM
GROWING.
IF YOU PUT IT AS RELATIVELY
SPEAKING WE WILL FEEL IMPACTS.
THERE ARE PLENTY OF HURRICANE
WARNINGS IN EFFECT AND WATCHES
FOR HALF OF CUBA.