Hello sports betting friends, this is Professor MJ from Canada.
We lost the free MLB pick from yesterday, as we took the Cubs for the first five innings
against the Orioles.
Chicago led 2-0 through two innings, but they ended up allowing one run in the third and
a couple more in the fourth innings, while failing to score any more runs themselves.
So, since the score was 3-2 in favor of Baltimore after five innings, the bet lost.
Despite the nice 29-16-2 record, things have been falling apart lately.
Let's hope for a quick rebound, and after this short break I will share with you a good
value wager in Major League Baseball for July 13.
For Wednesday July 13, I like the San Francisco Giants at -120 odds for the entire game against
Arizona.
This pick is backed by a betting system called "The Blowout #1", which goes like this: if
Team X beat the same opponent the day before by a margin of at least 8 runs, bet Team X
to keep hammering them.
In the current case, San Francisco prevailed by a 13-0 score last night against those same
Diamondbacks, so I am betting on a repeat this afternoon.
By following those rules over a seven-year period, we would have earned a profit of 49.19
units, from risking just one unit per wager, over 930 bets.
That amounts to a 5.3% ROI.
Let me say a few more words about the DBacks versus Giants meeting in
a bit.
The last 21 times that Arizona played in the Bay
Area, they have posted an abysmal 4-17 record.
Zac Gallen has been one of the best starting pitchers for the DBacks this year, but he
has been fading of late.
Indeed, over his past 5 outings, he has posted a 4.97 ERA while his team compiled a 2-3 record
in those games.
Moreover, Gallen has not enjoyed much success against the Giants historically.
In 7 starts against San Francisco, he is 1-4 with a 5.50 ERA.
Things have been even worse on the road, as evidence by his 6.41 ERA in San Francisco.
Meanwhile, the Giants will go with a commitee of pitchers for this game, including possibly
John Brebbia and Sam Long, who have done a fine job in 2022.
All right, let's hope we stop the losing streak at one, after winning our bet Monday but losing
on Tuesday.
I'm Professor MJ, and I invite you to subscribe to this sports betting YouTube channel hosted
by a guy owning a PhD in statistics.
Thank you for watching and see you tomorrow!