Appearing on MSNBC on Monday, Republican pollster, Frank Lance, once again, reiterated the fact
that if Donald Trump chooses to announce that he's running for the 20, 24 Republican presidential
nomination prior to this year's midterms, it could end up costing Republicans, both
the house and the Senate.
In fact, once, uh, said explicitly, if he does announce he could actually cost the Republicans,
the house as well as the Senate.
If the election is about the economy, Republicans win both.
If the election is about Donald Trump, Republicans lose both.
It's pretty clear.
And again, this guy is upholster.
He looks at the pulse, he looks at the numbers, he analyzes them, but he's also not always,
right?
Right.
He's a right wing pundit.
Who of course is skewed one way.
So you gotta take everything.
This guy says with a grain of salt, because here's how he explained it before he got to
the, you know, if Trump runs, they lose, if he doesn't, they win, he said this, we are
starting to see Trump drop below the critical 50% mark in terms of who Republicans wanna
see as their nominee in 2024 and the constant consistent rise of Florida, governor Ron DeSantis.
Now that's nothing new.
I've been telling you that for several weeks now, Ron DeSantis is rising in all the early
states significantly.
And there is even a survey now that has him ahead of Donald Trump in New Hampshire.
Clearly Republicans still see Trump as their most important political figure.
His endorsement still matters as we saw in the Maryland governor's race.
But when they're looking forward, rather than looking back more and more Republicans are
saying enough, I don't wanna focus on the past.
I wanna focus on the future.
I don't wanna focus on Donald Trump and an election that is now two years old.
This is causing significant problem for Trump.
I think it's the reason why he is more likely than not to announce in 2022, rather than
wait until 2023.
Now, again, I agree with him on all of this, because these are all things that I have already
said, and you can go back and see them in past videos.
I have said all of this, Donald Trump is losing right now.
And so he is more likely to announce sooner rather than later, to try to stem the bleeding
a little bit, which the bleeding of course is gonna pick back up in September when the
January 6th committee does more televised hearings.
But in terms of if the election is about the economy, Republicans win well, there's some
truth to that.
And there's some untruth to that, right?
And again, another thing we've talked about plenty of times here at ring of fire right
now, yes, voters do blame Biden and the Democrats for the economy polls do show that Donald
Trump has beating, you know, Joe, Biden's beaten Bernie Sanders, but he's not beating
Ron DeSantis.
So that question of who would you vote for?
Trump or Biden might be moot not to mention the fact that we have more and more lunatic
Republicans
Out there running for office, and unfortunately winning their primaries.
And we have to take that into consideration, not to mention the giant elephant in the room.
And that giant elephant is 1 million dead voters from COVID 19.
How does that play out?
We already know that areas with more Republican voters experienced more death from COVID.
More Republicans have died from COVID than Democrats have.
I, I, I have to imagine that that's not gonna work out the way Republicans think it will
in these midterm races, because the polling data is based on population density.
And I'm talking about the density of the political parties.
So if you have a county that's 60% Republican, 40% Democrat, and you talk to a hundred people
you're talking to 60 Republicans and 40 Democrats.
So that way you get an even representation.
However, those numbers do not account for the number of deaths that took place.
What if 5% of the Republican population in a small county died of COVID suddenly your
initial calculations are now off by at least 5%.
Do you see where, see what I'm saying?
See how this math works out.
You can't base your polling data on numbers from two or three years ago because those
numbers are no longer accurate because a lot of those people are in the ground because
we as a country, didn't take the pandemic seriously.
So I think there's a lot of unknowns with a lot of this polling data right now.
I think we're gonna see some pretty shocking results in the midterms.
I'm not saying Democrats are gonna take control of the house or, or, or maintain control,
or even pick up a bunch of seats.
But I am saying that this supposed Republican wave is not gonna be as big as the Republicans
think.
And I think all of those dead Republican voters are the big reason why.
And as for the Senate, based on the numbers we're seeing right now, even with the economy
Republicans, aren't taking it back, Democrats are right now poised to pick up two seats
too.
So I don't know what lunch is talking about.
How, Hey, if Trump doesn't run Republicans, get the Senate.
No, they don't the numbers right now.
Already show.
No, they don't.
So again, Republican pollster take what he says with a grain of salt, but there's so
many other factors with all of this polling data.
That's not being factored in that.
I don't know how much, if any of it is actually reliable at this point,