This is WFAA meteorologist Kalee
Dionne with a check in on Hurricane
Ida and the 10:00 AM update from
the National Hurricane Center.
You can see all of the hurricane
warnings and watches, as well as
tropical storm warnings and watches.
Most the hurricane warnings are going to
be along the coast to all the way up,
though, to the Mississippi border.
The state line.
There you can see also up the tropical
storm warning stretching all the
way up into Mississippi as well.
So a lot of area to cover here
with this storm.
So here's a look at the the loop
of the radar and satellite imagery.
You can see the outer bands.
Almost reaching the Louisiana,
Alabama, Mississippi,
and Florida coastline,
so conditions will begin to
deteriorate later on this afternoon.
Going into the evening,
even though the heart of the storm is
still in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico,
the 10:00 AM update keeps the
winds the same at 85 mph,
moving to the northwest at about 16 mph.
It's currently about 435 miles
southeast of the Louisiana coastline,
so it's moving into what is.
Let's go back here, moving.
Into what is very,
very warm water and we talk about how Gulf
of Mexico is a bathtub for these storms,
and it's like a steroid shot.
Really,
once they get into these waters
that are about 85 to almost 86
degrees to 87 degrees in the
central part of the Gulf of Mexico.
That's when you really start
to see it intensify rapidly,
and that's going to be the case.
Watch this track as we move forward.
It's going to go from a category one
storm to a category three storm by
late tonight into early tomorrow morning.
Then from a category three to a
category four before it makes landfall.
We're looking at winds at about 130 mph,
still intensifying as it makes landfall
right around 5:00 to 7:00 PM on Sunday.
So that's when that landfall looks to happen.
It's going to quickly kind of week,
and it's still going to keep strength
to a tropical depression up to Memphis
and then kind of just drop large
amounts of rainfall for the Tennessee
Valley into the middle of next week.
Here's another look at it with our time cast,
you can see it here as it.
Starts to go on shore.
The strongest part of the eyewall
making landfall at about 7:00 o'clock.
Via this time, cast will have to watch.
'cause is?
This storm slows down or speeds up at all.
That'll change this timing a little bit,
but it's just to the South
and east of Morgan City,
Louisiana.
But then watch the storm as it goes
right over the top of Baton Rouge
and really just rides the Mississippi
River all the way up to Memphis
and into even southern Illinois.
That's how far north the remnants
of this goes,
and then it starts to take a turn.
To the north and east going into Wednesday.
But the thing about this is is there's a
couple of different along the coastline.
It's storm surge,
which will look at just a second.
Also, the winds with the storm,
but the rainfall is going to have a broader
impact here on the southeastern states.
10 to 15 inches along the Louisiana
coastline, 5 to 10 inches,
stretching all the way up to the
Tennessee Mississippi State line and
going over into parts of Alabama as well.
These locations all the
way up toward Nashville.
Already been so saturated?
I mean, if you look here you can
see it's very saturated in these
locations that are going to see
this five to 10 inches of rain.
What does that mean?
When you combine that with the wind speeds
that will look at here in just a moment,
any saturated ground will make it easier
for trees to be blown over uprooted
power lines to be blown over with
the winds because of the grounds not
hard enough and it's very saturated.
And then that's also going to
cause major flash flooding issues.
As well,
because the water really has nowhere to go.
But initially when that storm makes landfall,
it's going to be the storm surge
that's going to be a major issue.
So if we look at some of these 10
to 15 foot storm surge for the
southeastern Louisiana coastline,
then as you get closer up as you go
toward the mouth of the Mississippi River,
7 to 11 feet,
and then stretching close to the
Texas State line with the Louisiana
two to six feet, but.
The Texas coastline not really
going to see much of an impact here,
but what happens is,
and this is kind of a good explainer
graphic for us is when the storms
moving toward land.
So it's a moving storm to a stationary land.
So category one storm you've got
74 to 95 mile per hour.
Winds 96 to 110 you're talking
category to category three you're
looking at about 111 to 129 mph.
Now what I do is going to be is a category.
4 where you're at 130.
To 156, so what's happening with this?
You have those wind speeds blowing the water,
but then you also have the motion
of the storm itself that's pushing
all of this water inland,
and that's when you start to see
those at storm surge of 10 to 15 feet
is when you're talking about that.
If you look at category five,
that's even higher,
and even more catastrophic damage,
but category four is a very dangerous storm.
We're looking at winds forecasted to
130 or more, four locations in the dark.
Red,
so that takes these 130 mile per hour
winds all the way up north of Baton Rouge.
Then you've got up to 94 to 130 in the
orange that takes you into southern
Mississippi and then 75 to 93 into
central Mississippi and then 45 to
74 all the way out toward mobile and
up into spots on the Western Alabama,
Mississippi State line. So this storm
is going to be very catastrophic.
Some strong wording from the National
Weather Service from New Orleans
saying if you need to get out if
you are in those flood prone areas.
Now again, conditions will begin
to deteriorate with Hurricane
Ida as early as this evening.
For those spots along the Louisiana coast,
Mississippi, Alabama and Florida Panhandle.
Here's the latest again.
10 AM advisory. 85 mile per hour.
Winds with gusts up to 105 moving
to the northwest at about 16 mph.
Here at WFAA. Will continue to have.
Updates throughout the day.