hey what's up guys hope you're having a
great monday today i wanted to do a
video giving some 2022 predictions for
merch by amazon this is gonna affect
everybody well actually i'm not gonna
imply that i have any foreknowledge of
anything that i'm going to be predicting
i'm just going to draw on my past
experiences
learn from them and use them to craft my
vision of what may happen in the near
future for 2022. of course 2022 is you
know that's a full year so we got a
little bit of time for some of these
things to play out but i do have one
prediction that is probably most
relevant to everybody watching i'm gonna
lead with it
and this would most likely play out in
january based on history so let's get
started
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i almost forgot to announce that me and
marielle are gonna jump on and do a live
stream on new year's eve on friday
probably around midday so i hope you
guys can make it quick reminder take
advantage of the free weekly print on
demand giveaway the links at the top of
the description and two winners are
going to be randomly selected and
announced on sunday they're going to
receive a license to merge titans upload
automation merch ninja research tools
all sunsets premium pre-made graphics
and bubble scout my go-to bubble niche
research and validation tool
all right so let's get to these 2022
2022
what happened to 2021 where did that
year go
seriously it feels like 2021 flew by but
when i look back on it i'm not gonna lie
like we kind of took the traveling that
we wanted to do in 2020 but didn't get
to and condensed it in 2022 with some
additional i don't know we got to do a
lot of traveling uh got to see a lot of
friends family for for me 2022 was a
great year or 2021 sorry i'm already
getting confused uh one of my best
friends got married i don't know it was
a pretty good year all in all uh that
was a pretty quick summary of an entire
year of my life but i'm not gonna lie it
was pretty good guys i hope you guys had
a good year as well i hope your business
has thrived i hope you know for what is
worth giving the state of the world that
you had as good a year as you could have
had but let's get to these predictions
for next year and the first one
nobody's going to want to hear it but uh
it's something that is relevant and
again i have no foreknowledge of this
happening but i'm predicting price
increases
to the baseline um bottom line costs
of all products across the board
for merch by amazon sellers okay this is
uh precedented this has happened at
least twice in the past as for as long
as i've been in amazon merch seller
uh when what were the years was probably
january of 2018 and then again in
january of 2019
correct me if i'm wrong in the comments
but i i'm pretty sure those were the
years that it happened and it may have
been 20
yeah it wasn't 20 20. so would it have
been 2018 and 2019 because i know it
happened back to back years
so um what ended up how it used to be we
used to make like seven dollars and i
believe 19 cents
per sale in royalties at 19.99 of a
standard t-shirt
and this is back when
again it's getting blurred together now
but i'm pretty sure there was only two
products available to sell through merch
by amazon it was like a standard shirt
and a premium shirt
and
then
uh over the next you know year or
whatever they added i think three new
product types it was like the long
sleeve uh the tank top and i think the
hoodie if i recall so we had like five
product types and then in january they
did a price hike i think it was across
the board on all of the products and
seven dollars 19 cent royalty
dropped to i believe a
5.50 something
royalty
and then one year later in january five
dollar and i think 50 something cents
this is all on 1999 sales by the way
1999 price point
uh dropped to what it is today 5.23
at that 1999 price point
i hate predicting a price increase and i
have absolutely no knowledge of this if
it happens it happens if not then hey
i'm happily wrong but i'm going to guess
that given
um the you know central bank monetary
policy
uh of the last like two years uh with
you know increasing the money supply as
much as they've done you know when they
debase the currency guys uh it really
affects you and i normal people
negatively and it pumps the price of
assets and one of the things that that
manifests in is just in general product
costs right it's not just uh you know
assets that we think of like gold and
whatnot which by the way gold is also
heavily uh manipulated so gold prices
actually haven't gone up that much even
though everything else has um but i'm
getting off base here uh i do think that
like the price of our products that
we're gonna be selling through merchant
amazon will in fact increase next year i
could be wrong i hope i'm wrong actually
you know what that was me knocking on
wood i hope i am wrong but hey that's my
prediction uh the next thing i predict
is good i think all the other
predictions are pretty much good ones um
i predict that amazon web traffic will
increase now that's not necessarily a
bold prediction because amazon just
seems to have explosive growth year over
year over year
but i have no reason to think it's going
to slow down
for sure everybody has not kind of made
the the shift because it's kind of like
a mental shift
to think of shopping as like an online
thing as opposed to a go to the store
thing
but more and more people are getting
sucked in over time and it's one of
those things where it's like you resist
because you want to stick to what you
know but as soon as you try it you're
like all right that wasn't that bad you
do it a little bit more and next thing
you know you're a regular online shopper
okay i'm basing this this uh prediction
on a trend that i noticed so
uh in the area in like northern virginia
where i live you know
there is a big there's like two malls
nearby and i'm used to seeing on the
highway during
december
ridiculous traffic like absurd traffic
uh all mall traffic okay
um and this year that just didn't exist
i never saw it once you know what i mean
that mall traffic that used to be like
the bane of people's existence like you
would sit in your car for like an hour
prior to getting to the mall then you'd
have to find a parking spot probably
take you another like 20 minutes uh it
just it wasn't there this year so
foot traffic to the malls both malls was
definitely down and i'm guessing that it
had something to do with an increase in
web traffic to e-commerce websites like
amazon now that's just one reason why
web traffic would go up amazon also you
know there's there's many reasons why
it would continue to increase year over
year so
the next prediction i'd like to make is
that our sales will increase
this is just based on my numbers my
numbers are getting better year over
year i know that's true for a lot of
other sellers so i don't know if we
attribute all of that to just web
traffic you know the previous prediction
increasing or you know that we're
hopefully this is why but that we
continue to like optimize our process
and learn and get better right i mean
i'm the guy i'm the talking head on
youtube but hey i'm willing to be open
about the fact that like i don't know
everything i want to be
i want to be transparent i want to learn
together with you guys you know what i
mean like this is a community thing
that's why i think the facebook group
and whatnot that's linked in the
description um it's a great place to
like collaborate
share what's working et cetera ask
questions you know i mean people are
happy to help um so yeah so i mean i
want to keep learning i want to get
better in my process i want to see my
sales increase in 2022 year over year
compared to 2021 and 2021 was better
than 2020 et cetera et cetera so i have
no reason to anticipate anything
different um will happen in 2022 and i
hope the same for you especially given
the tier system by the way like think
about it you know the more online real
estate you occupy the more money you
tend to make well i'm in tier 200 000 so
it's a little bit different for me but
like if you're in tier less than 10 000
uh anything less than that you know
you'll probably get at least two tier
ups in 2022 hopefully three tier ups
four tier ups etc
more more than that um you get more
tiers you get more space to upload you
make more money right
i'm also predicting a new product and i
have zero knowledge of if this will
actually happen or not
but
i feel like it will happen i can't
imagine that it wouldn't happen since
remember earlier in 2021 we saw at least
one job inter a job interview it was a
job posting
where the merch by amazon team was
hiring and the last thing that they put
on the job description was like i forget
exactly what it said but it was
basically that we are just getting
started i think that's exactly what it
said honestly is that like merged by
amazon is just getting started implying
that they have
a lot in plan in store for the future
now
that's going to be mainly i think
customer focused but hey as sellers you
know we're in a fraction of one percent
relative to you know if this is the
whole pie of people that are touched by
merch by amazon um i think like 99 point
something percent are customers that
don't even know what merch by amazon is
and then a fraction of one percent are
you and me the sellers and yeah this is
exciting news for us
i am just going to venture a guess with
absolutely no knowledge of what could be
coming that one of those new products
will be a towel
why that why you ask i just think that
hey towels are
this is just me guessing again it's just
me guessing but it doesn't seem like a
towel would be pretty easy if you can
already print t-shirts that feeding a
towel through the same machine would be
like relatively the same you know what i
mean and if you think about kind of like
the space that we have to design on a
t-shirt or
yeah basically like t-shirt the standard
dimensions like it would translate well
into a towel in my mind um just a
vertically optimized towel
uh but that's what came into my mind
guys let me know what you think may
happen in the comments below i would
love to hear from you if you have a
prediction for new products
for merch by amazon coffee mugs would be
amazing i'm just thinking of like degree
of difficulty to launch them do i think
it'll happen one day for sure do i know
if it'll happen in 2022 absolutely not
uh the last prediction guys this is just
based on a trend i noticed but i think
big brands will become more and more
prominent in merch by amazon like if you
don't use a research tool and you just
go to the search merch tool and just do
a search and don't seed it with any
keywords so you're just seeing the best
sellers
what you're going to notice is that more
than half the products on page one
are from like big
protected
well-recognizable identifiable brands
you're gonna see a lot of disney mtv
marvel like right now a lot of
spider-man uh shirts are selling really
well by the way i still need to see the
new spider-man heard it was like one of
the best ones um i was a huge spider-man
fan uh of the the original like early
marvel ones
i even went to like the midnight showing
of one of the it was spider-man 3 i went
to the midnight showing and i'm pretty
sure spider-man 3 was like of the
original three like the worst one by far
and i was like man i just lost sleep
over this now i gotta go to school the
next day um anyways rant over i think
the big brands are gonna become more and
more prominent and i don't know that
necessarily has that much of an effect
on you and i uh it's just one of those
things where we're going to notice them
right like every time a big brand
t-shirt is on page one
with no keywords provided or maybe it's
like very generic keywords
that's going to push our shirts back so
it is what it is guys just remember it's
merch by amazon long-term business
uh play by the rules it is a great
opportunity to make some passive income
that can scale to really high levels if
you let it so don't be enticed
to infringe on any big brands of course
you guys already knew that so let's just
move on guys anyways thank you so much
for watching this video as i wrap it up
just wanted to remind you that in the
description we've got the giveaway link
we've got my free seven-day merch by
amazon mini course all i need is your
email address take advantage of that
i've got my amazon merch facebook group
i'd love to have you there and last but
not least i did write a full course that
i'm constantly updating by the way that
walks you through how i went from tier
10 to tier 200 000 so if you want to
learn directly from me check that out
link in the description guys thank you
for watching please like and subscribe
if you haven't already and i'll see you
soon
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