Whether you are a Trump supporter, or a Clinton supporter – the result of that election
was very surprising.
Just three days before the election, the Huffington Post had put Trump’s odds of winning at
2 percent, the New York Times at 15 percent, there were not many people who had the odds
in Trump’s favour.
The media and political analysts got it terribly wrong, that’s quite clear and they are even
admitting that.
The map needs to be rewritten, previous elections data is no longer reliable – no one had
any idea how deep the divisions in the United States were and it has shocked a lot of people.
Everyone is throwing insults from both camps at each other, but no one is sitting down
to understand just why Donald Trump won, breakdown where his votes came from and what this suggests
about the American people, the factions and the countries future.
Whether you love or hate Donald Trump, it’s worth to see just why he won, as it says a
lot about the state of America right now.
Woman were thought to be extremely likely to vote for Clinton over Trump, based on Trump’s
past problems with women which has been all through the media recently.
It was predicted there would be an overwhelming divide between men and woman’s support for
the candidates, but Clinton didn’t do anywhere close to what was expected – with Trump
winning 42 percent of the female vote and Clinton winning 54 percent.
Comparing to the 2012 Election, the numbers really were not that different, which is partly
surprising for the first female presidential candidate.
In the last election Obama got 55 percent of the female vote and Romney received 44
percent.
Considering 70 percent of voters said that Trump’s treatment of women bothered them,
it appears that wasn’t enough for them to vote for her.
Trump’s support also was overwhelmingly white compared to Black, Latino, Asian or
other races, with Hillary actually winning 80 percent points more than Trump in Black
votes, but Hillary did lose 7 percent points with Black votes compared to Obama’s first
term election results.
With the race vote though, it is interesting to compare just how little the Republican
vote didn’t change from 2012 to 2016, compared to the Democrats who lost a lot of votes to
the third parties.
Trump’s biggest loss when compared to Romney was with White and Other, with him losing
1 percent with both.
Clinton lost all around the board, losing up to 8 percent of votes with Asian voters.
Compared to Obama, Clinton lost all around the board, while overall Trump gained.
There was a worse-than-expected showing from African American’s and young voters who
helped lift Obama to victory in 2008 and 2012 – and considering Clinton had more supporters
from both camps, this could have been a helping factor for why Trump ultimately became president.
Voters wanting change is also another major drive for why Trump made it into office.
Nearly four in ten voters in Florida wanted to elect a president who would bring serious
change, which was a contributing factor which helped Trump get over the line to win Florida.
83 percent of those who thought the most important candidate quality was “can bring needed
change” voted for Donald Trump.
62% of voters said that the country was seriously off track, with 69 percent of those voting
for Trump and 46 percent of people were dissatisfied with how the federal government is working
– a lot of people wanted change and saw Trump to be that.
Trump took out small cities or rural areas by a large margin, also having a slight lead
in those who live in suburbs who make up a large number of people in America.
Hillary had a decent lead in those who live in cities with 50,000 people or more, but
the suburbs are home to a lot more voters in America which ultimately helped Trump out.
Another major helping factor was Trump’s strength on those who don’t identify with
either party.
Considering independents made up 31% of 2016 voters, this is a lot of votes, and Trump
managed to win 47% of these compared to Clinton winning 42%.
This one simple graphic shows how bad this election was.
41% of people said that they strongly favour their candidate, 32% of people say they liked
their candidate but had reservations and 25% only voted because they disliked the other
candidate.
With over 324 million people in the United States, it seems apparent that a large number
felt as though they were voting for the best of two evils.
When you have 63% of voters saying that Donald Trump doesn’t have the temperament to serve
effectively as president, 61% of people saying that Hillary Clinton isn’t honest and trustworthy,
and 63 percent of people saying that Donald Trump isn’t honest and trustworthy, America
seems to be picking from two bad Apple’s.
Hopefully no matter what side you are on, you can now see what was behind America’s
decision.
It will be interesting to see who the democratic party puts up for the next election, but I’m
sure they will be spending a lot of time wondering how they lost an election which most analysts
thought they had in the bag.
We can only wait and see what happens, but America is divided right in the middle and
there are a lot of people who were unhappy with the current political establishment,
and want a change.
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