How many crates will it take to get a flip knife?!
Will it be worth it?
You guessed amounts last video, time to see who was right.
A bit of a confession- I accidentally recorded this entire video without sound but didn't
realise until I had got the knife, which admittedly took a lot of my time and I couldn't be bothered
doing again.
So this entire video is dubbed like a 70's movie.
I'm sure you won't notice.
Just kidding.
I'll try a bit harder than that.
Oooh... ahhhh...
OOHHH!
How about that.
Off to a good start!
A sensible person would walk away while they're ahead.
They wouldn't unbox a single item more.
Sigh.
Back to normal luck I guess.
And a red for the other side.
Now we're even again, since the chances of a red landing either side is double the chances
of getting something myself.
220 dollars in and I've only got one item above Restricted quality.
MMMMMMMMMM!
And my first classified.
Finally.
Statistically speaking, stattraks are rarer than the normal version of the weapon from
the class above.
I just missed out on something less common than an Asiimov.
Okay, now I've got it.
It's being quite fair to me this time.
How long will it be before I get that skin I wonder...
This is when you wish you could have the slot next to yours.
Still, it's only a matter of time...
After almost $500 I've got my second covert.
Could have bought 2 knives instead.
Or 20 in real-life!
Even the simulator has a sense of humour.
You know what, life's short and I only have a certain number of lines I can jam into these
videos.
Let's skip forward to some unlucky ones.
Yup, pretty unlucky.
Screw you, box to the left.
And again.
Just to show you I eventually got it.
Box on the left again.
Oh, now it's box on the right's turn.
And back to the left.
Seriously, am I just unlucky or is this average?
Yay, stattrak Mac10!
Just what I've always wanted.
Now for some super-speed.
This one's gonna take a while!
Just watch those figures rack up and imagine me sitting there for half an hour, mindlessly
tapping the button every 6 seconds.
Woo, I can imagine how GOOD that feels.
Ha, doesn't always go his way it seems.
You know you've got a problem when you start hating other boxes as competition.
After almost 1,000 crates I get my second classified stattrak!
Mum get the camera.
Ha, SCREW YOU, box on the left!
MMmnnmnmmnmnnmmnmMMMMMNMMMMMN Finally!
If only it had been 1,000 cases sooner, but it could have been a lot worse.
Let's have a look at its value.
Ooh, averages out at about $88.
Time to add up the totals.
These are the going rates on the workshop.
Factory New Flip Knives will likely be the most expensive thing, but aside from thatit's
theStattrak AWP Asiimov that's the clear winner here.
Like I said before, stattrak is rarer than the normal version of the weapon above it.
And flip knives just don't seem that popular.
Two confessions here.
I made a mistake with the earlier videos- I assumed that the amounts shown on the side
were both the normal amounts and the stattrak, but the larger left number appears to be the
total, so I was actually overcounting how much my drops were worth.
Don't worry.
All is fixed in this video.
You'll also notice that I use the average amount for each weapon category.
In this simulation I opened 8 asiimovs and just 6 AUG Chameleons so I actually undercounted
the value of my drops by about $50... depending on the condition of the drops, of course.
Even factoring that in, however, I didn't make much back.
From this, and earlier simulations, it seems as though the return is about 50% of what
you put in.
Don't forget the fee that Valve puts on market transactions, which will reduce this even
more should you try and sell them.
Needless to say, if you bought the items you wanted you could get far more for less and
could actually choose what you ended up with.
But hey, at least I opened a knife, raising the supply for them even more!
Now who was closest?
Oh wow, over 1,300 comments.
You'd almost think that I was offering a knife as a reward!
Firstly there was a massive long battle between Barry Beefcurtains who thought that a knife
couldn't show up unless you got it and numerous other people who argued otherwise.
All it takes is a video of a near-miss of a knife to prove him wrong.
I only use the simulation so I couldn't possibly say from my experience!
Last time I made the mistake of asking how many it would take, which meant I had to look
through the comments for both case numbers and amounts.
The correct figure was $2,856.
How close did everybody get?!
Congratulations to Jose Crisanto who predicted 2,851!
Unfortunately he didn't say whether he was talking about cases or dollars.
Not that it matters, since SuraxXD guussed $2,853 which is both more precise and closer!
Congratulations to him.
I'll be in touch soon... but until then, 5 KLIK POINTS!
I don't know what these do yet but I'll think of something.
Fllavour from last time also gets 5 klik points for his accurate prediction.
And Hose can have 3, as can NightmareX.
See the leaderboard in the description of this video.
Next time I'll be opening esports 2013 cases until it lands on a knife.
How many CONTAINERS will I have to open?
See, I didn't say dollars.
Those who say dollars won't be counted this time!
Have fun!