Not, not a fun day the rest of the day
anyway today here in and around North Texas.
Maria, what do we have on ZAP?
Unfortunately not the update
that I wanted to bring everyone,
but we are now under the moderate risk
which is a level 4 out of the five for the
severe weather that we're expecting today.
So let's go ahead and get right into it.
We are expecting some strong to severe
storms this afternoon and I know that
you know this is separated by 123.
And four, but I want everyone to be on
alert this afternoon because we could
very well still see the strong to severe
storms outside of this risk area even the
from Archer City to Albany to Coleman.
So this update was brought on because we are
expecting widespread strong to severe storms.
What that means is that the all hazards will
be possible with the strongest of storms.
We could see up to baseball sized
hail with the strongest of storms.
Our environment could produce up to
75 mile per hour wind speeds and we do
also have the correct environment for
tornadic activity within this area.
This does include the I-35 corridor.
This does include a Parker Wise County
towards the east into Oklahoma and Arkansas.
Here is the latest update with our timeline.
So this is around 1:00 in the afternoon.
This is not the main line that moves
through around 1:00 in the afternoon.
A lot of models indicating that we'll see.
Few storms popping up,
and these storms are going to
be individual storms.
These could still bring the
potential for some large hail.
And we're going to notice though
around two or three in the afternoon,
a few of these storms get clumped together.
This is a line of showers and
thunderstorms that takes shape,
all thanks to a cold front
pushing into the area.
This front is what's going to
drive these storms from West to
east throughout the afternoon.
So let's go ahead and keep
going with the timeline here.
This is 3 in the afternoon.
You can see from Gainesville,
Decatur Mineral Wells,
this line becomes a bit better developed
there along the leading edge of this
line is where we could see those
strong winds I was talking about.
But within this line is where we can
see the large hail and the potential
for embedded tornadoes as well.
So this becomes a better developed,
this is 3 in the afternoon now Sherman,
Denton to Granbury.
This is now 4 in the afternoon.
Notice it makes it into the
Metroplex around 4:00 and 5:00.
This is now showing you 6 in the afternoon.
It continues to work.
Its way through the Metroplex,
this is now 7 in the afternoon.
We see this other line kind of
developed just to the South.
This continues to work its way East.
This is 8 and this is about 9
around 9:00 in the evening.
I'm expecting the bulk of the severe threat
for the Metroplex to be winding down,
but our Eastern counties
still under that threat,
this is 10 in the evening, this is 11.
You see that threat then shifted
more to east of our area.
We're still going to see some
lingering rain after this.
We're still going to experience
some pretty strong.
Means as that front pushes,
we have this area of low pressure that's
going to really increase our winds.
That's what's going to
cool us down for tomorrow.
But this is what we're dealing with now.
There are no watches in place.
There are no warnings in place.
I am expecting there to be both
here in the next few hours.
I already see quite a bit of development
starting up between Mineral Wells,
Breckenridge and Albany.
What we have going on is a warm
front pushing N through the area
and along this front is where we're
seeing these storms popping up.
This is not the main line,
but these storms could still
be on the strong.
Right.
So a closer look here,
we can see a little bit more lightning
starting to develop here north of Hwy.
80 there just to the West of Mineral Wells.
But at the moment these do not look severe,
they are staying sub severe.
These are the main concerns today.
The strong winds like I mentioned
up to 75 mile power winds possible
the large hail will be a problem.
We could very well see a few
tornadoes were just in the correct
environment for them and the flooding,
it's the lowest risk that we have,
but it is still a risk,
especially if you find yourself north
of Interstate 20 and to the east.
Of I-35,
we could easily pick up one to two
inches of rain with the strongest of storms.
There are going to be heavy rain producers.
We just have a lot of moisture to work with.
You can step outside and feel
it almost instantly.
So over the next 10 days we're
going to see better conditions,
at least for this weekend.
Today, I need you to be prepared.
We're going to see these watches
and warnings come down here
in the next few hours,
so keep checking back in with us.
But at the moment, neither are in place.
60s in store for Friday, it'll be windier.
And then this weekend.
We're looking at 70s and sunshine.
We are going to need it after
a day like today,
tashar.