Well, tonight a reminder of how
dangerous severe weather can
be no matter how strong it is.
Nicole now downgraded to a depression
but we're not yet out of the woods
here. Yeah, it's really not even
about what it's called anymore.
It's gonna be the remnants
that are gonna be affecting us.
And really look at this as a regular
severe weather set up for tomorrow morning.
And the concern is these could hit
at a really odd time of the day.
Probably early morning.
You know 4567 o'clock in the
morning we might see some isolated
tornado warnings in our area.
You see these bands kind of rotating around.
Temperatures have been slowly
climbing tonight as this more.
Humid air mass has been moving in.
Panthers game just ended,
but there are some heavier
showers redeveloping off towards
the east and the South.
These are all rotating in towards
the North and West as we see this
heavier band now coming up through
Lancaster and Chesterfield counties.
But the area I'm watching are the
storms down here just now entering
the low country of South Carolina.
This is where the air mass is kind of warm.
It's it's humid, it's unstable.
That is moving to the northwest.
We call that infection when it transports in.
You could see the risk tonight through
about 2:00 o'clock in the morning.
We'll see a low to medium risk.
But tomorrow,
we'll see that risk kind of take over
most of the area, the orange area,
that's the medium risk.
And this is primarily because
of the tornado risk.
As we go through tomorrow,
I'll show you that tornado threat.
The chances of seeing a tornado
about 5% in Orange, 2% in yellow.
Tomorrow,
that threat will be more
widespread over our area,
including areas along and east of I-77.
So make sure you have a couple
different ways to get warnings,
especially early morning.
If you're going to be
sleeping in or late tonight,
charge the phone up,
make sure you have an app.
And the wireless emergency alerts turned on.
If you do wake up and there's a warning,
head to your safe spot,
throw us up on the on the app and we'll
start streaming probably in the morning.
Once we start seeing those
warnings around 567 o'clock,
if that's the possibility now in the
mountains different type of warning issue.
We might see flash flooding.
And I'll show you some of those
rainfall totals in a minute,
but I want to show you the tornado parameter.
This is 3:00 o'clock in the
morning starting to build,
but right around 5:00 to 7:00 AM
this band of rain that's going
to form here has some pretty
ripe ingredients for rotating.
Storms,
and then we start to see rapid
improvement in the afternoon,
I'll show you a futurecast.
And I put the temperatures on here
because the temperatures indicate
or that warm humid air is moving in.
Look at temperatures in the 70s
by 2:00 AM and by 5:00 AM we're
actually up in the low to mid 70s.
So this band will be tapping into that
warm humid air during that time frame.
And there there's that band around 6:00 AM.
So you kind of get the idea.
There will be a lull in the activity
and then the main part of the storm
will start rotating through and we'll
likely see another band of heavy storms,
possibly severe.
But by 5:00 o'clock, things should improve.
Rather dramatically as drier,
more stable air moves in.
And the weekend will be fine as a cold
front washes everything out of here and
we get back to more typical November weather.
So the winds probably sustained 15 to 20.
But look at the gust between 30 to 40
mph and then the winds will be shifting
to the South as we go through the day.
Talk about those rainfall totals.
Look at some of these totals.
The heavier bands could
produce one to two inches,
but watch what happens in the mountains.
This is why there's a flood watch up.
We could see anywhere from
3 to 5 inches of rain,
maybe higher in localized.
Areas that would certainly cause
rapid runoff and flooding up there.
So tonight,
again the timing is going to be late tonight,
really early Friday morning
into the middle of the day.
Once we get into the evening hours,
really late afternoon,
things will improve rather dramatically.
Our primary concern is going to be tornadoes,
the high winds and the heavy rain
that will develop during the middle
of the day once the system moves out.
This moves in cold temperatures.
We're going to get back to a
real big shock to the system.
Temperatures are gonna fall below
average for most of next week.
In fact,
we could see a couple rounds of snow
for the North Carolina Mountains.
So tomorrow temperatures well into the 70s.
Again,
solid rain chances the first
half 3/4 of the day.
Rapid improvement as we go into the
weekend for the marathon on Saturday.
Looks fine.
Temperatures in the 50s.
A little breezy, but OK.
The next week, look at that 40s and 50s.
And a couple of those days,
especially Tuesday,
Wednesday,
Thursday we might see some significant.
You know in parts of the
North Carolina Mountains.
Ohh my goodness, there it is.