I HAVE ANOTHER JEREMY CORBETT STORY FOR YOU.
LAST WEEK I TOLD YOU HE WAS CLOSING IN ON THERESA MAY
AND PUT A HUGE DENT IN HER LEAD.
I'M GOING TO TELL YOU MORE ABOUT THAT A SECOND, BUT FIRST I
WOULD LIKE TO TELL YOU THAT ABOUT A YEAR AGO I TWEETED
OUT SAYING I'M GOING TO DOUBLE DOWN ON MY PRODUCTION FROM
THREE DAYS AGO: JEREMY CORBYN WILL BE THE NEXT PRIME
MINISTER OF THE UNITED KINGDOM.
DOESN'T MATTER WHEN THE ELECTIONS ARE HELD.
I WAS OF COURSE REFERRING TO THE NEXT TIME THERE WOULD BE A
PUBLIC ELECTION WITH THE VOTERS WOULD GET THE VOTE, AND IF
YOU GO BACK AND FIND THAT SWEET AND YOU LOOK AT THE REPLIES
YOU WILL SEE THAT ABOUT 75% OF THEM ARE LIKE I DO DECLARE,
YOU DON'T KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT UK POLITICS.
HE HAS A CHANCE WHATSOEVER THAT DOESN'T MATTER, THE VIDEO FROM
LAST WEEK TALKING ABOUT HOW HE'S CLOSING LEAD, SAME EXACT TWEETS.
NO WAY.
NOT CORBYN.
I WAS JUST IN THE UK, AND THE HEADLINES ALIKE, SHOCK
POLL: FEAR THAT CORBYN IS CLOSING IN.
WHY IS THAT IF YOUR?
I WONDER WHAT SIDE THEY ARE ON.
HERE'S ONE FROM THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD.
OF COURSE THAT IS FROM THE UK.
, ASIDE FROM AUSTRALIA, BUT THEIR REPORTING ON THIS.
MOST SUCH AS THE UNIVERSITY OF KIDS MATTHEW GOODWIN ARE
COMPLETELY DISMISSIVE.
HE WILL HAPPILY EAT MY NEW BRICKS IT BOOK IF LABOUR POLL
38%, LET ALONE BE THE CONSERVATIVES WHICH WOULD
REQUIRE MUCH A FIGURE, HE SAID ON MONDAY.
THEY ARE TO THIS LATE DATE DON'T CARE.
EVEN ON MONDAY THEY SAY THEY WILL EAT THEIR BOOK,
REMEMBER HOW WE WERE SO SURE THAT BRAXTON WOULDN'T HAPPEN.
I WROTE A BOOK ON THAT NOW I WILL EAT IT.
WITH THE HAPPENS.
REMEMBER THERESA MAY HAD A 24
POINT LEAD AND LAST WEEK A REPORT SHOWED THAT IT WENT
ON THE 13 POINTS AND THEN RIGHT BEFORE WE DID THE SHOW,
ANOTHER POLL CAME OUT AND WENT ON THE NINE POINTS.
HOW ARE WE DOING NOW?
A COUPLE OF DAYS LATER, THE BEGINNING OF THIS WEEK, NEW
PULL OUT.
CORBYN VERSUS MADE.
43% CONSERVATIVE PARTY, THAT IS THERESA MAYíS PARTY, LABOUR PARTY,
37%.
I WILL DO THE MATH FOR YOU.
THAT IS ONLY SIX POINTS.
HERE COMES CORBYN.
THIS IS A SNAP ELECTION.
THERE IS A MOST NO TIME TO CAMPAIGN.
CLOSE IT FROM 24 POINTS TO SIX POINTS IN THIS WINDOW?
THAT IS CRAZY.
HERE COMES CORBYN.
NOW LET'S LOOK AT THERESA MAYíS NUMBERS.
IS THE
CAMPAIGN GOING WELL FOR HER?
I HEAR FROM THE ESTABLISHMENT SHE IS SMASHING AND WONDERFUL.
WE FEAR CORBYN MIGHT BE CLOSING IN.
LET'S SEE IF THE BRITISH AGREED.
ACCORDING TO THE GUARDIAN, MORE THAN A THIRD OF THE VOTERS,
37% SAY THEIR OPINION OF THE PRIME MINISTER IS MORE
NEGATIVE THAN AT THE START OF THE CAMPAIGN, AGAINST 25%
WHO SAY IT IS MORE POSITIVE.
PART OF THE REASON FOR THAT IS THERESA MAY DID THE EXACT
SAME MOVE THAT HILLARY CLINTON DID.
DID WITH HUBRIS, SHE PUT OUT A MANIFESTO SAYING YEAH, I AM
GOING TO HIT SENIOR CITIZENS AND HIT THEM HARD.
GET THE MONEY SOMEWHERE.
REALLY?
IN THE MIDDLE OF AN ELECTION YOU'RE GOING TO PUT OUT A
MANIFESTO LIKE THAT?
I APPRECIATE HER HONESTY, BUT THAT DID NOT GO OVER WELL.
MEANWHILE LABOUR PARTY PUT OUT THEIR MANIFESTO, AND IT HAD
THINGS THAT WOULD APPEAL TO A LOT OF BRITISH CITIZENS AND NOT
JUST A FEW AND IN FACT THEIR SLOGAN IS FOR THE MEN MANY
NOT THE FUTURE.
THAT HOLD VERY WELL DONE FACT, NOW WE GO TO CORBYN.
DOBBS HISTORY FOR CORBYN, WITH 39%
SAYING THEY HAVE A MORE POSITIVE VIEW OF CORBYN COMPARED TO
14% WHO NOW HAVE A NOR MORE NEGATIVE VIEW.
THERE'S MORE GOOD NEWS.
CORBYN ALSO LEADS BY 13 POINTS AMONG VOTERS UNDER 50,
AND IS TIED WITH MAY AMONG WOMEN.
AGAIN, THE ESTABLISHMENT SAID NO, THERESA MAY IS GOING TO WIN
AMONG WOMEN SO THIS IS EASY.
THEY KEEP TELLING US THAT THINGS CAN HAPPEN AND THEN ALL OF
A SUDDEN LO AND BEHOLD, THEY HAPPEN.
THE REASON I PREDICTED THE CORBYN VICTORY, THOSE OF
YOU SAYING YOU ARE NOT AN EXPERT ON UK POLITICS, I HEAR YOU
BROTHERS AND SISTERS AND I'M NOT HERE TO ARGUE ABOUT THAT.
WHEN TELLING AND WHAT I SAID FROM DAY ONE IS PEOPLE ARE
LOOKING FOR POPULIST CANDIDATES, WHETHER ON THE RIGHT OR THE
LEFT, AND THEY CAN'T STAND THE ESTABLISHMENT.
THAT IS LABOUR EXIT 1.
THAT IS WHY TRUMP 1.
THAT IS WHY BERNIE SANDERS CLOSED AT 60
POINT LEAGUE IN THE SHORT TIME.
HER NAME RECOGNITION WON THE DAY AT THE END BUT HE WAS A
BETTER CANDIDATE.
BERNIE SANDERS IS NOW THE MOST POPULAR POLITICIAN IN ALL OF
AMERICA BY A SIGNIFICANT MARGIN.
LEFT OR RIGHT, AS LONG AS THEY'RE NOT ESTABLISHMENT.
NO MORE FROM ROBERT KUTTNER.
IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY, THE GOVERNING TORY PARTY
WITH LUCY.
THEY THOUGHT THEY WERE GOING TO PICK UP SEATS, THAT'S WHERE
THEY HELD A SNAP ELECTION.
LABOUR IS IN STRIKING DISTANCE OF WINNING A MAJORITY, AND THE
MOMENTUM APPEARS TO BE WITH LABOUR.
THERE WERE THE BOMBINGS AT MANCHESTER, AND AGAIN THE
ESTABLISHED MEDIA TOLD US CORBYN HANDLED IT VERY POORLY.
OF COURSE WHAT HAPPENS IS WHERE THERE IS A BOMBING HERE,
YOU HAVE TO BE MORE BARBARIC THAN YOUR OPPONENT AND SAY,
WE SHOULD DO RANDOM BOMBINGS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND GET
MORE INVOLVED IN THE MIDDLE EAST WITHOUT SUCH A GREAT IDEA.
KUTTNER EXPLAINED CORBYN DREW BARS FROM CONSERVATIVES WHEN
HE SAID THAT BRITISH SUPPORT FOR ILL CONSIDERED MIDEAST WARS
HAD INCREASED THE RISK OF TERRORIST ATTACK, BUT IT TURNED
OUT MOST BRITONS AGREED WITH CORBYN'S EYE WHEN HE SAW HIM SAY
THAT AND I WAS IN THE UK AT THE TIME I THOUGHT, THAT IS SMART.
THAT WILL WORK.
EVERY NEWSPAPER AT THE TIME, NO, TERRIBLE IDEA.
WHAT AN IDIOT.
I WANT TO GIVE YOU TWO QUICK PARTS OF THE SPEECH.
THE FIRST PART PEOPLE DON'T TALK ABOUT ENOUGH.
HE WAS THE FIRST PART OF HOW HE RESPONDED TO THE MANCHESTER
BOMBING.
WE WILL REVERSE THE CUTS TO EMERGENCY SERVICES AND POLICE.
ONCE AGAIN A MANCHESTER THEY PROVED TO BE THE BEST OF US.
AUSTERITY HAS TO STOP AT THE NE WARD AND AT THE POLICE
STATION DOOR.
WE CANNOT BE PROTECTED AND CARED FOR ON THE CHEAP.
SEE, THIS IS PART OF A LOGICAL, POPULOUS CAMPAIGN
THAT YOU WANT TO BE PROTECTED?
LET'S BEEN MORE INSECURITY.
POLICE, DOMAIN SECURITY, BOMBING A COUNTRY ACROSS THE WORLD,
I MEAN ACTUAL POLICE HERE.
OF COURSE THAT IS POPULAR.
THERE WAS SUSTAINED APPLAUSE THAT LINE.
NOW TO THE CONTROVERSIAL FOREIGN POLICY STATEMENT.
WATCH.
WE'LL ALSO CHANGE WHAT WE DO ABROAD.
MANY EXPERTS, INCLUDING PROFESSIONALS AND OUR
INTELLIGENCE AND SECURITY SERVICES HAVE POINTED OUT
THE CONNECTION BETWEEN WARS THAT WE'VE BEEN INVOLVED IN OR
SUPPORTED AND FOUGHT IN IN OTHER COUNTRIES SUCH AS LIBYA AND
TERRORISM HERE AT HOME.
THEY SAID THAT WAS CONTROVERSIAL AND THEY SAID
HOW DARE YOU SAY THAT, BLAMING US, HE WENT ON TO
EXPLAIN THE REST OF IT, BUT OF COURSE, I'M NOT BLAMING US
AND IT DOESN'T JUSTIFY KILLING INNOCENT CIVILIANS, THE KIDS
THAT WERE KILLED, ETC.
BUT LET'S RETHINK OUR FOREIGN POLICY.
WE KEEP GOING AND PUNCHING THEM IN THE FACE AND WHEN THEY
PUNCH BACK, WE'RE SURPRISED.
I DON'T THINK IT IS A GOOD IDEA THAT WE KEEP DOING IT.
MOST IMPORTANT THING IS NOT WHAT MY OPINION OR HIS OPINION
IS, BUT THE OPINION OF THE BRITISH CITIZENS.
LOOK AT THIS POLL.
THEY ASKED THEM, WHO DO YOU AGREE WITH?
65%
OF BRITONS SAID THAT WARS THE UK HAS SUPPORTED OR FOUGHT ARE
RESPONSIBLE AT LEAST IN PART FOR TERROR ATTACKS AGAINST THE UK.
ONLY 25% SAID THE OPPOSITE AND 10% SAID THEY DIDN'T KNOW.
THAT IS A GIANT LEAD FOR CORBYN'S POSITION.
YET AGAIN, FOR THE MILLIONTH TIME IN A ROW, THE ESTABLISHMENT
IS WRONG AND THEY CAN'T SEE STRAIGHT.
THEY'RE IN THEIR BUBBLE AND THEY GO NO, IT COULDN'T BE.
BACK TO KUTTNER.
HE MAKES THE SAME POINT THAT I TOLD YOU I'VE BEEN MAKING
FOR YEARS WHEN IT COMES TO SANDERS, TRUMP, BREXIT, ETC.
THE POINT IS THAT A GREATER OF THE MESS DISAFFECTION FROM
POLITICS AND CONVENTIONAL POLITICIANS CAN GO RIGHT
AND LEFT.
SANDERS OR TRUMP, LE PEN OR MELENCHON, BREXIT OR CORBYN.
EXACTLY RIGHT.
WHO IS GOING TO DECIDE THE SELECTION?
THE YOUNG ARE.
LABOUR HAS TWO THIRDS OF THE 18 TO 24-YEAR-OLDS
AND CONSERVATIVES HAVE TWO THIRDS OF THE OVER 65.
IF MORE SENIOR CITIZEN SHOW UP, THEN THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY WILL
WIN AND THERESA MAY WILL WIN PRIME MINISTER.
IF MORE
YOUNG VOTERS SHOW UP, THEN CORBYN CAN WIN AND SHOCK
THE WORLD ONE MORE TIME.
HERE COMES CORBYN.