we'll start with the odds here in the South. This is
interesting too because I think this might be surprising to
some people.
Maybe not Titans. Don't always get a whole lot of love out
there outside and it's amazing, right? So they are not even
though they were the one seed last year. I've been good for
a while here. Derrick Henry hopefully comes back healthy.
They are not the favorite to win this division. You got
the Colts there at minus 135 the Titans at plus 175 Jaguars at
plus 700. So a little love there for the Jaguars, maybe
they've been listening to
Chris Simms talk about them here on unbuttoned and
the Texans at plus 3300. All right? So the Colts
will start with them.
They are the favorite. Are you surprised? They're the favorite
first of all? I am. Yeah.
I mean my favorite would be the Titans. I'm just going to say
that right off the bat.
Again, the Colts are the are tough team for me.
This is one of those teams where I go, I could be wrong.
I'm going with the under here.
Who saw their 9.5, right? They had nine wins last. Dear. So,
I think this expectation. You think they're gonna have lied.
Think you were waiting in? Last, let's just be right
around there. It can
be 98 again. You know, I
could see there being that way, right. I know. It's a whole
17th game makes it crazy. Yeah. But yes I think it's there
right around there. I'm not expecting a guaranteed playoffs
with this football team. Absolutely. Not,
you know, again another team there I look at were,
you know,
One,
you know, I know Matt Ryan's there that's great. And he
knows how to play, you know, it just I guess there's a part of
me that looks at his arm through these preseason games
and goes, woo, it's
not overly. Explosive. Can they make enough plays there? Are
they going to be tough enough and determined enough to run
the ball? Which they weren't, you know, for the first half of
the year last year. So I guess there's that aspect of it for
me
and defensively.
I like them. Again, I'm not in. Wow, it's like to me, it's
a lot of good. I love divorce Buckner. He's a killer, what'd
he pay? I'm not sure about Johnny can go back way.
You know, I'm not like oh wow, that's a game changer. I know
she killed letters in the middle of the secondary to me,
good. I don't know how great I think it is.
I guess I'm one that thinks Kenny Moore is a hair
overrated, Stephon Gilmore towards the end of his career.
So I guess they're just questions for me there. I could
see them kind of getting off to a good start.
I would but I just feel like there's
A middle stretch and
there's just something missing to me about them.
It's, I have a hard time putting my hand on a hand on it,
it's a good AFC.
And I just think if there's one team that I think, ooh,
as a kind of a playoff type of team, that kind of underwhelmed
this year. I'm gonna go with them. I'm gonna, I'm gonna have
them not making the playoffs just for full disclosure right
now, putting your finger on it, I'm putting my finger, that's
what I was. I was trying to think when you said that I was
like that doesn't. I was like, that's close
but finger, right? Yes. But your hole
And why can't you put your hand right now? It's totally got my
whole hand on it,
you're that confident putting all all five fingers on it.
That's interesting. The culture a tough one because it is why
I mean everyone's got them as
a team that could even be in the Super Bowl this year. You
feel like the love maybe has gone a little too far with
the Indianapolis Colts. You're going under on 9.5. I could
listen, you can sit there, I can say, hey, I can see him
being the Texans week one in Jacksonville, and being to know
and then losing the Chiefs and tightens and being two and two
and who knows what the Broncos game. Mmmmm,
you know, could win that three and to be Jacksonville for two
and then, hey, things get tough at Tennessee, the Commander's
Patriots, Raiders Eagles, Steelers Cowboys. And I don't
know, I'm just I there's there's there's it's another
team to where,
I guess, I don't trust the second weapon on the team yet.
Who is that going to be other than Michael? Pittman is Paris?
Campbell, is it going to be Alec Pierce? Who, you know,
have all shown signs of? Okay, I like it but they, you know,
again, it's not Dependable right yet. So I'm going
with that. Under there, under the 9.5, over-under wind, total
Titans have the same 19.5
I'm feeling you're going to go over. I annecy, I'm definitely
going over a twelve wins last year. I they're being
disrespected to me. I mean that's where I don't understand
and again I don't know I'm not sitting here going there going
to be 12 wins
but I just feel like nine and a half is too low.
I do one tight end play good
offensive line still going to be good it's one group there
that you know I know they're going to coach up and play. We
know the L backs, good. I like the way Trail on Burks is
looked
the last two weeks
had three catches. The other night to me just looks
faster quicker. Better route Runner. These last two
preseason games, which is encouraging. I'm Ryan
Tannehill. Had a good good, pretty
good, you know, training camp from everything. I've been told.
So I look at that and then I think the other aspect that
I look at is just go, I just have a hard time thinking. The
Titans won't be
a top five defense in football. This year
one,
Their front seven to me is like it's scary. Good.
Jeffrey Simmons is in the conversation for best defensive
tackle and football Harold, Landry is a blue. Chip pass.
Rusher Bud Dupree
a year away. From the ACL injury is a blue chip pass. Rusher,
let alone they have all the other guys to fill in there.
I'd, yes, I think people are
sleeping on the Titans. You're high on the Titans.
It's peachy 84. Yes, as well.
He goes as a Titans fan from New Zealand. And I'm super
hyped by what Malik Willis has shown you do. Yeah, me too.
I mean, I love the way Malik Lou. I don't think Ryan Tannehill is
on a short leash here. That's where
I want everybody to realize what we're saying.
I don't think this is like
oh they're three and three and he's not been 100% great.
You know all we're going to yank them from Malik Willis. No
this is more of. Wow. I'm excited for what they have in
the future like his look is the real deal.
His throwing he is an explosive arm and he has very Control
the ball decision-making. Still in the process of. Yeah. Getting
better at that you know took a sack in the game on I think as
first or second Drive the other day watch them back on film
where
he's going to look at and go. Oh man I had the post route for
50 yard, maybe a 70-yard touchdown but you know
the coverage kind of fooled them. Just young getting used to
playing football type of stuff. But man, everything we saw
drastic improvements in
the pocket. Reading the defense is just
From preseason game 1 against the Ravens, two preseason game
number three against the Cardinals to where I just go
and then we see the running and the electric arm and all that.
I love the way the look they definitely have their Guy The
Future, it's just as Ryan Tannehill, hold them off for
another year or
you know, is it just a so-so year and they go. Okay, let's
rip the Band-Aid off. It's time to go Malik Willis to me.
That's the big question. The future is bright, the present
is bright. Exactly, and it's about them. Putting thank you
over on their
win, total there
the Jaguars. We think the future.
Bright for them. You do you liked what you saw? When you
saw him up close and personal at the first preseason game
that your six point five, that's an aggressive
over-under on my now total, because they only had three
wins last year. I, this is a one of the Jaguars. I'm not
picking them to go to the playoffs, right?
All right, so when we fold, this closure, when we get to
the end of this exercise. But
if there was that surprise team like the Bangles last year,
what we went? Oh my gosh, they were one of the worst teams in
football.
All the year before. And here they are in the playoffs.
The Jaguars are the team that I will throw up to go. The team
that comes out of nowhere. That goes to the playoffs is
the Chris Simms Jaguars. That's what I would say.
And I'm not picking that, like I said,
this one,
the six and a half.
Their favorite and only two games. It is noting here. I
want to they're a team that again would classify under. Can
they get going early and get a little confidence
and they can just steal a winner too early?
I want to say over.
Now,
what do I want? Why didn't they just make it at 4.5 to make it
easy for you? Right,
I know I'm gonna I'm as so six-and-a-half, this is like
one of my toughest ones. I this is the other one, I wrote
a flat because you're there like the Jaguars guy. Well I there's
a part of me that the 7 and 10 is not crazy.
I don't think for this team,
it other, they're not this Exon 11. So I was like, I'm looking
at this. Yeah. So the last time and of course they're playing
one extra game now but the last time they won seven sort of hit
the
Yeah,
2017. They went 10 and 6, but the time before that was 2010.
So we're talking once-a-decade here basically.
I'm gonna go with the over, do my God, but just barely,
I mean, again, you got the gun to my head and I got to pick one.
So I'm going over. If you're just listening, I do. This guy,
was gun-loving
got every loving guy over here, different one, each time.
So you're going over, just going over again. Then when
I say over, I'm talking like seven, but to me, they're going
to be a better football team.
They have a very talented roster
and, you know, I if it's bad, I guess what I'm saying is,
I think the worst can be as 6 and 10. That's
About the worst. I think it can be.
I'd be shocked if it's much worse than that. All right, so
if you took the aggressive over on the Jaguars, you're gonna
have to be harsher to some other teams here. I feel like
I do know. Maybe the Texans. Are that team? Well, I yeah, I was
harsher with the Browns and the Steelers. You are not too cold
and the Jets, right?
Yeah, you got some love. This case
being like the twitterverse there. Yeah. Why are you being
so mean
Texans? 4.5 is there over under? They had four wins last
year. Pete notes here. They are not favored in a single game.
This year. They are a Pick'em in week, 17 verses the Jags.
I'm gonna go under though.
I am and the 4.5 I am. I do. You know again, I just there's
not that a lot but I love is there's good.
I think they got a lot of their meat and potatoes as I always
say with this team in place but there's not enough Sizzle on
their team yet to where I go. Oh, you know, these few guys
will get them over the edge and some clothes football games and
help them win.
So that's where I just, you know. And again, maybe they
could steal a game early on early on the schedule is not
that bad.
Broncos and week to will see what they are. The bears in
week 3. Okay, Jacksonville and week 5, you know, maybe they
steal some of these ones who knows the Colts. They always
seem to give them an issue.
Maybe they could steal something. I don't know,
but I just look at it. Overall, I'm just go, I can't do it. And
I think the other thing that I just get to is once it goes
from about week, 7 on,
it's pretty legit tough.
I mean, it's like legit tough where you go? Whoa, okay,
Raiders Titans Eagles, you know,
I know the Giants. Okay, we could say that's maybe a push
type game commanders, Dolphins Browns Cowboys Chiefs Titans
and
jaguars cold so the majority of those teams have better teams
in them, but again when you're bad every game is I know.
That's right. So I'm gonna go under though, under on
the Texans, you know, it was just four point five.