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>> AND TRACKING THE TROPICS.
YOU MAY HAVE NOTICED A BIT OF
A HAZE IN OUR SKIES RECENTLY.
BELIEVE IT OR NOT, IT WAS DUST
SAID HAIR AND DUST. JOINING US
NOW, CHIEF METEOROLOGIST JON
GAUNT AND METEOROLOGIST
DANIELLE ULIANO ON HOW THIS
DUST EFFECTS HURRICANE SEASON.
DANIELLE, THAT.
>> HOW COULD SIT HERE AND DUST
IN FLORIDA IMPACT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL
SYSTEMS?
>> WELL, TALKING ABOUT THAT
SAHARAN DUST CAN IT STARTS OFF
THE COAST OF AFRICA. WE TAKE A
LOOK AT OUR SATELLITE RIGHT
NOW. THE TROPICS ARE VERY,
VERY QUIET. NOT A LOT
HAPPENING WHATSOEVER. IN FACT,
NO TROPICAL ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 5
DAYS. BUT IF WE TAKE A ZOOMED
OUT, LOOK AND GO BACK OVER THE
MID ATLANTIC OFF THE COAST OF
AFRICA, THIS IS WHERE YOU GET
THE GETS PICKED UP OFF THE
COAST. WE HAVE HIGH WINDS AND
VERY DRY AIR THAT TRAVELS
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC.
THAT’S NOT ALLOWING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEMS TO DEVELOP.
WE NEED MOISTURE. WE NEED
WARMTH AND IT DOESN’T ALLOW
THAT THIS DUST TRAVELS ALL THE
WAY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC, THE
CARIBBEAN AND THEN MAKES ITS
WAY MOST OF THE TIME INTO THE
GULF INTO THOSE GULF STATES,
WHICH WE SEE ALMOST YEARLY
HERE THIS PAST WEEKEND. IT WAS
JUST A LITTLE BIT OF HAZE IN
OUR SKY. YOU KIND OF NOTICED
IT AT SUNSET AND SUNRISE.
SOMETIMES YOU GET EVEN BIGGER
CONDITIONS WHERE YOU SEE
VISIBILITY DROP AND EVERYTHING
LIKE THAT BECAUSE IT’S SO
DUSTY OUTSIDE. THANKFULLY, WE
HAVEN’T SEEN THAT YET. AND
IT’S ALLOWED US TO BE VERY
QUIET OVER THE LAST WEEK OR
SO. IN FACT, WE’VE BEEN VERY
QUIET THROUGH JUNE AND JULY
AND THAT’S NOT UNCOMMON. IF WE
LOOK AT OUR TRENDS HERE, JUNE
AND JULY ARE VERY LOW FOR
TROPICAL ACTIVITY. IT’S NOT
UNTIL THE END OF AUGUST
HEADING INTO SEPTEMBER THAT WE
START TO SEE THAT PICK UP. IN
FACT, PEAK HURRICANE SEASON IS
SEPTEMBER 10TH. SO STILL A
LITTLE OVER A MONTH AWAY.
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT WE
COULD START TO SEE THOSE
STORMS START TO PICK UP HERE
JUST A LITTLE BIT. IF WE TAKE
A LOOK AT THE FORMATION ZONES
FOR WHERE THOSE STORMS COULD
POSSIBLY DEVELOP FOR THE MONTH
OF AUGUST WHERE IT’S MOST
COMMON. HERE’S WHAT WE SEE THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC IN COASTAL
NORTH AMERICA LOCATIONS ARE
FAIR GAME FOR TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT HERE IN AUGUST. SO
THAT’S THIS COLOR AND KIND OF
TEAL. THEN WE TAKE IT A STEP
FURTHER FORMATION AND
ASSOCIATED IMPACTS OR MORE
LIKELY FROM THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC TO THE EAST COAST
HERE IN AUGUST. AND THEN WE
TAKE IT ONE MORE STEP FURTHER
HERE AS WELL. FORMATION AND
ASSOCIATED IMPACTS ARE MOST
LIKELY NEAR THE CARIBBEAN
ISLANDS AND THE BAHAMAS IN
AUGUST. SO THAT’S SOMETHING
WE’RE GOING TO BE WATCHING FOR
THE NEXT MONTH OR SO. BUT
AGAIN, IT’S BEEN VERY QUIET.
LADY SAHARAN DUST IS ONE OF
THOSE FACTORS. BUT CHIEF
METEOROLOGIST JOHN GAUGHAN IS
JOINING ME NOW BECAUSE THERE
ARE OTHER FACTORS THAT REALLY
IMPACT THE HURRICANE SEASON.
JOHN, ONE OF THOSE BEING LA
NINA CONDITIONS, WATER
TEMPERATURES, WATER, ALL OF
THE
>>JOHN GAUGHAN: AND AGAIN,
SAHARAN DUST. IT GETS LIFTED
UP BECAUSE THAT SAHARAN DESERT
IS SUPER HOT. SO AIR RISES
WHEN IT’S HOT AND WHEN THAT
AIR CAN BE PUSHED OFF TOWARDS
THE WEST. WELL, THEN IT GETS
PUSHED RIGHT TOWARDS THE
UNITED STATES. AND THAT’S WHAT
WE SAW. WE ACTUALLY HAD A VERY
DUSTY FRIDAY NIGHT. BEAUTIFUL
BLUE SKIES HERE TODAY. BUT
THAT WAS THE THE SHIFT. NOT
THIS LITTLE BLUE STRIP HERE.
WE’RE LOOKING AT WATER
TEMPERATURE, ANOMALIES, NOTICE
LITTLE RED STRIP THERE. IT IS
SUPPOSED TO NEITHER ONE OF
THOSE ARE SUPPOSED TO BE THERE
IN THEIR FORECAST WHEN IT COME
WHEN IT CAME TO THE UPCOMING
SEASON. BUT THAT’S WHAT WE’RE
SEEING. AND WHAT THAT MEANS IS
THAT NOW WITH COOL WATER HERE,
WE’VE GOT HIGH PRESSURE RIGHT
IN THROUGH HERE. SPINS LIKE MY
HAND. AND IT IS GRABBING THAT
DUSTIN PUSHING WEST AND
GRABBING AND PUSHING WEST AND
WHEN IT DOES SO IT’S REALLY
KILLED OFF THE SEASON AND THEN
THERE’S THIS LITTLE BATCH, A
WARM WATER THAT’S NOT SUPPOSED
TO BE THERE EITHER. AND THOSE
2 RIGHT HERE, MAYBE MORE THAN
ENOUGH TO REALLY PUT A DENT
INTO HURRICANE SEASON
FORECAST. THAT WILL BE OUT
THERE. AND ONE OF THE BIG ONES
WILL BE COMING UP HERE SOON.
SO PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER.
THE DUST THAT WE’VE SEEN
RECENTLY IS COMMON. AND YET AT
THE SAME TIME TO TELL THE
ATMOSPHERE IS TOO DRY FOR
TRUMP STORM FORMATION. WATER
TEMPERATURES ARE BIG DEAL AND
COLORADO STATE WILL HAVE ITS
BIG NEW UPDATE FOR THE SEASON
COMING UP ON THURSDAY. IT WILL
BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THEY
MAKE ANY CHANGES AT ALL. KEEP
IN MIND THEY’RE FORECASTING A
TOP 5 SEASON ALL TIME. THAT’S