hello and welcome to this week's movie math where it's a very very very Merry
Christmas it seems for both Disney and Sony but mostly Disney we're gonna start
with Sony first though who of course is getting ready to do battle with the
Disney and on that note I thought it was interesting I got the feeling in the
comments in my Jumanji review but while some of you genuinely enjoy Jumanji some
of you are just pushing it because you want people to see that instead of star
wars you don't need to you don't need to put your your finger on the scale here
let's just see how things go and it's a very interesting situation as we're to
discuss a little bit today but you'll have your answer
soon enough but you know what let's have it be a fair fight don't go putting
misinformation out there and trying to pump up one movie because you'd like to
see it do better or in fact just want to see that other movie failed I wonder if
you guys are sensing the same thing anyway going into this weekend
Sony set the expectations for the new Jumanji low they said oh we just think
it's gonna open on par with the last one which meant something with the 3 in
front of it but the industry was bullish because they'd like to see movies
besides movies from Disney do well so they said no we think it's gonna open
with something with a 4 in front of it and then as the weekend got started it
looked like maybe it would have a 5 in front of it but a 6 well that's a
box-office number with smoldering intensity we'll see if it stays at 6 I
think there's a very good chance that by Monday afternoon it could have a 5 in
front of it once again but that would still be a very sexy number especially
considering where this thing was expected to start out ah
Sony can it become a real studio they they lost bond that was one of their
crown jewels and it's for their other crown jewel they've become like divorced
parents with spider-man sharing custody with Disney their streaming service is
such a nonentity every time I bring up streaming services and I'm like Sony
doesn't have one you guys are like what about crackle grace first off is anyone
watching crack up I don't think they are in fact Sony has so little faith in
crackle that even though they own the rights to Seinfeld the show they sold
them to a competing streaming service not
Slick's and in fact you know that happened just recently they could have
put it on crackle but they were like let's let's put all the Jerry stuff over
on now I mean they got paid a lot for it wasn't an altruistic deed by any means
but you would think they'd want to buoy their own streaming service rename it
yet again and try and get in there but in fact there were rumors just recently
that after the Disney Fox deal Sony might also want to get out of the
entertainment business cuz like well Rupert Murdoch I think he was like
entertainments hard and I would let my son's to be involved in Disney Murdoch
now being one of the biggest shareholders of the company just like
Steve Jobs became after the Pixar acquisition ah and this should be looked
into maybe but anyway Sony was thin are there rumors that Sony was like we don't
want to be in the entertainment business either so we'll sell off our
Entertainment Holdings to a place like Apple Amazon or as many people were
hoping maybe Disney so I think that would what point when Disney be
considered a monopoly who knows alright so but now so for now Sony is
still in it they're still competing and after what kind of and after just
failing to turn men and black Charlie's Angels angry birds and even zombie land
into franchises you know franchises that are ongoing that's been a rough year for
Sony but it seems that they're ending on a high note as Jumanji is indeed a true
success at least out of the gate for this third entry for the studio side
note don't feel too bad for Sony well 2019 as I just said has been rough
they do have little women bad boys for life bloodshot I think that looks very
good Peter Rabbit - and maybe ghostbusters afterlife you know again I
think one of people were you know saying good things about coaster bus
ghostbusters afterlife just to disks on the 2016 Ghostbusters you know instead
of genuinely liking the film but maybe that'll help it at the box office the
money is still green there's no you know it's not you know that you don't get a
fraction of the cost of a dollar if people go to see it for other reasons
than just actually wanting to see your movie so they don't care but then also
sony has their solo spider-man flicks coming up like Morbius venom - and
spider-verse chips so they're they're still they're still they're still in it
I know back to Jumanji the next level this is not only great news for Sony a -
CinemaScore so and audience breakdown see looks like Disney
isn't the only studio that can make an all-ages crowd-pleaser
I was gonna say a bland crowd-pleaser but I like most of the Disney fare um
although things like Toy Story 4 seem like so-so phoning it in but you know
there's there's something to be said for being a four-quadrant crowd-pleaser and
that's certainly what you mangy is as well whether you like it or not you know
the formula who goes to see the movie regardless of its quality is still there
now also uh well you know I don't wanna I don't want just any of these movies as
I said in my review I thought Jumanji was entertaining even though I thought
the energy was off alright so uh Dwayne Johnson this is
also great news for him giving the rock his second sixty million dollar debut of
the year after Hobson's shaw proving that after some weaker debuts audiences
still enjoy his cooking when it's the right dish this is also big news for
Kevin Hart oh boy he and Dwayne Johnson gonna be making movies together forever
this is the biggest debut of Hart's career made even sweeter by coming after
a pretty rough patch for the comedian I mean I know if people went to see Kevin
Hart but he didn't keep anyone from going well I'm know he kept some of I
saw some comments from some of you but not enough to dent the box office or
even heard it it's doing great and then of course the rest of the cast will
benefit particularly Karen Gillan and Aquafina who are just starting to build
their own solo careers this will look very good for both of them I know as for
what this means for Jumanji going against Star Wars round 2 well it's good
and bad let's get the bad out of the WAGs i know some of you will be like
what well there's a chance because this number is so big well oh so I mean
obviously people you know the brand grows people weren't sure if they'd like
to on G anymore but they know after the last one that they they probably would
so they're more likely to see an opening weekend but there's also a chance that
went to see an opening weekend a lot of people rushed out to see it because they
want to get it out of the way before Star Wars opens so we'll have to wait to
see what you mangies hold looks like next weekend then of course we have to
see what the reaction to Star Wars is from both critics and audiences is it
bad is it good is it mad you know all those things will be a factor Plus back
in 2017 last time we had this this Throwdown it
really was just Star Wars versus Jumanji even the greatest showmen didn't become
a much of a commodity until mid January but this year it looks like all the
studio's think they can take on Star Wars and we have a very crowded slate so
I have to see I'll have to wait and see what audiences decide to do I would say
at the very least the socratic marketplace could hurt repeat viewing
for all these movies but no matter what happens with Star Wars Disney is having
a record-breaking 2019 they have already been breaking records this year they
just keep breaking them and setting the bar even higher for going forward
frozen to yes has joined the billion dollar club just one month out and this
means that this he has six billion dollar films in 2019 a new new record
cuz as we had just discussed five was a record already but now they've set it at
six and speaking of records eight billion
dollar films overall for 2019 is a new record for Hollywood in general oh it's
so great but again six of the eight or Disney and then again as we discussed
also last week Disney's head hit ten billion worldwide worldwide for the year
which is also a new record when they're Kathleen Kennedy joins her fellow Disney
execs on the winning side or stands in stark contrast on the other side we will
know soon enough all right now globally I will also like to point out that
frozen once again did very well in Asia those three two Asian countries are huge
which is why you're seeing more and more Hollywood films cater to them those are
the top three markets for frozen again and then also it did its next best
markets for the UK and Germany but you can see how small the other markets are
in comparison I'm sorry but it's true every penny counts but that's why you
you know some of you were like why don't we go over all the different countries
well these numbers aren't particularly exciting only when you amass them
together does it get cool now as for the weekends
other new releases audiences made it clear that they go to the movies to
escape not to double down on the hot topics of today that's what Twitter is
for duh Clint Eastwood's vilification of the press Richard Jewell was surely
intended to stand out as a rare conservative hit in Tinseltown I'm sure
Eastwood was super excited about it he's like I'm gonna take on the press what do
you think stool and shouldn't he should stop taking
career advice from that stool because instead yeast woods old-school depiction
of a reporter trading sex for information totally unproven by the way
undercut the movie significantly I'm sure he's not none none too pleased with
Olivia Wilde who who cut from the group and was like I've gots to save myself
and kind of also simple things about the movie she was like wasn't my idea to
portray it that way but you know I'm just an actor here clitty used to it's
like what all right I mean again she was like I gotta save myself then jason blum
thought it would be clever to take i don't think by the way Olivia Wilde
really did save yourself I think the whole thing's a mess then jason blum
thought it would be clever to take on toxic masculinity with black Christmas
and got one of his lowest openings in quite a while as for the overall top 10
Ford vs. Ferrari and knives that are having the slowest race ever to the
century mark I can't believe forward view Ferrari isn't there yet although
both I want to make this clear considered hits and will probably do
pretty well at the box office for the next few weeks as they're both awards
contenders I think Ford versus Ferrari will go on
to the Oscars I don't think that's gonna happen with knives out especially after
it was not recognized by the SAG Awards which are the biggest voting block for
the Oscars but also both those movies will do boffo biz on streaming and
speaking of streaming I know so many of you hate streaming but what do you want
it's changing the industry and it looks like many of you are waiting until
streaming to see a lot of these movies you don't want to talk about stream
movie yeah you relegate so many movies to streaming with the such a crowded
slate what what's helping you decide what to see in theaters and what to wait
to see on streaming and it's scary to wait to see a movie on streaming because
while you might intend to see a movie on streaming you might not just you might
just not get to it even when that comes because there's just so many original so
much original content on streaming it etc but friends since dark waters had
one of the biggest drops of the weekend just one week after it finally went wide
what a disaster uh and it's just as I said last weekend it just came out at a
very bad time I think the movie looks excellent but there's just no time to
see that movie it doesn't have an urgency to it now in the specialty
market uncut gems oh this needed some good news
and it got it because it was you know of course was snubbed quite a bit last week
with during all the awards Nations announcements but uncut gems was
a surprise winner of the specialty market boasting the second best opening
weekend per theater average of the year after parasite oh that's excellent and
it's set a record for distributor a 24 when it comes to opening weekend per
theater average --is so that's fantastic oh I'm so happy for that movie I hope
this is only the beginning of great box-office headlines for uncut gems it
goes wide on Christmas Day it's gonna be a great New Year's film
bombshell was solid right but again seems to confirm that audiences do not
want to deal with difficult issues at the multiplex at the very least let's
say during the holiday season now as I also I think you know what I
think these are subject matters that people are so divided on that they don't
really feel I think anyone can totally speak to it I mean on the one hand
you're probably preaching to the choir and then the other half doesn't want to
hear it so nobody goes I think it's that's
probably what's happening with these specific movies because you know
Hollywood's always made important films and people have historically gone so I
think that's what's happening here specifically all right so as for this
coming weekend this is it Star Wars finally hits theaters though
is the Phantom Menace Rio now Star Wars is expected to open with around 200
million sure that's the lowest of the trilogy as many are gleefully pointing
out by it's still 200 million that would make it the second biggest opening of
the year and put it in the top 10 openings of all time it would not be bad
if it opened at 200 million I think if it hit hope it opens let's say not close
to 200 million underneath it like if it's like 190 something I think it'll
still be ok but if it's like 170 180 then you can start to be like hard start
doing well 200 would be fine as for cats well maybe it'll be the new greatest
showmen which opened with a measly 9 million but went on to 435 million
worldwide I don't know but say let's see if it's
any good I have no idea what to expect alright so although as I've said and
many of you as well it's a lot of people surprising Christmas Day movie choice
alright my family's leaning that way which I'm shocked about and many of you
might be dragged to cats as well ok alright so I'm curious what are you
planning to see on Christmas Day alright so that's this week's movie math
thanks for going over the box office with me share your thoughts
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