There is one possibility
for how Hillary Clinton does not win this primary.
Now wait a minute. I'm a realist, right,
and I know some people, uhm
Look, I'm the guy who said "whispering of a dream". I wanted that dream,
I wanted Bernie Sanders to win.
I thought it was certainly possible. I thought it was possible, not on day one,
three years before day one, one of you guys found a video of me from 2013 saying;
Yeah, Bernie Sanders should run and I think he could beat Hillary Clinton,
Here's why I think he could beat her, right.
And that almost came to fruition.
Uhm, and so..
But I am in the camp of, after the March 15th losses, after the New York loss
After the losses tonight, it is exceedingly difficult and improbable from him to win.
But there is one possibility, okay
Now, if he picks up enough delegates so that she does not, cannot win without superdelegates
Which is entirely possible, because remember; 15% of the voters are superdelegates.
Now, that means that both of them can have a lot of pledged delegates, but not have the MAJORITY of the overall delegates.
So now Bernie Sanders is slated to win the upcoming races, including big states like Oregon.
And he has a pretty good chance in California.
Now, that's not gonna matter because - if things goes normal, 'cause math being what it is,
Hillary Clinton would still have more pledged delegates, even if he did excellent in the upcoming states.
And she, as things stands now, of course has a lot more superdelegates, she'd win easily.
So what is the one thing that can make a difference?
Well, if he continues to pick up those states and delegates
and then the FBI which - Look, Hillary Clinton's camp hates this talk. And a lot of Democrats hate this talk.
But hating it doesn't make it go away.
It is an absolute fact that there are dozens of FBI agents investigating Hillary Clinton right now.
They've already given immunity to some of her staffers, they've already gotten their testimony and they say; Yes
There will be some action, we think. We are not saying for sure, uhm, but they..
They took action against Petraeus on very similar matters
and they say we're not gonna tell you when we are gonna do it.
And,
If they do it before the primaries are over, which is enormously possible, likely 'cause Obama's such a genius
he put a Republican a head of the FBI,
Jimmy: "Yes!"
it'll likely happen during the general election.
Jimmy: "Yes!"
Way to be bi-partisan, Obama.
Okay, but there is some chance they would happen before the Democratic Convention.
If Bernie Sanders has enough pledged delegates combined with most of the superdelegates
He could win, right?
So now, there's no way that happens unless the FBI goes eeeeh... we won't wait for the general election.
We're done with our investigation. You're indicted, felony charges.
Okay now, that is not --
To say that you ca -- shouldn't discuss that is to say you shouldn't discuss reality.
Jimmy: "Right!"
Like, I'm not saying she's gonna get felony charges for a fact,
but is it possible, after months and months of dozens of FBI agents working on it
that at some point they'll indict her?
It's not possible, it's probable. The question is; Is it a misdemeanor, is it a felony?
'Cause they gave Petraeus a slap on the wrist
Jimmy: Yes.
so maybe they give Hillary Clinton, who did less than Petraeus, a slap on the wrist.
So this is not entirely impossible. On the other hand, the guy leading the FBI is a Republican,
So, it's possible they come in and go; - Three felony charges.
And remember that the FBI agents who investigated Petraeus - same ones investigating Hillary
they were upset that Petraeus got a slap on the wrist. So if they see that there isn't an indictment,
they say that they're going to leak the story.
So - and part of that story could be nonsense, right? So we know all of Fox News' silly attacks, right?
And we know that, yes, she had a private email; Colin Powell had a private email,
She had a private server which Colin Powell didn't have.
Private server says "I'm gonna keep information at my house that I know I shouldn't be keeping at my house."
That's government information, it could be classified etc.
But, even so, if it was just trying to keep her personal information private, it's to us not that big a deal.
Or, it could be in the emails that they did favors for people who gave to the Clinton Foundation.
That when she was Secretary of State, she helped countries who gave millions of dollars to her husband's foundation.
Oops...
That's not a small deal, that's a big deal.
And imagine they put a felony charge on her on that.
Okay, now it'll be a little bit complicated as to what that charge would be,
'Cause most of what they're investigating is: Did you break the rules of having a private email" etc.
But if they, in the midst of that investigation, they find emails saying -
you know, I don't know how, we have no idea how clear or unclear they'll be; Saying -"Hey Bill, if you're going to Turkmenistan, let me know."
Right, and Bill gets several million dollars for the Clinton Foundation in Turkmenistan.
And the next you know Turkmenistan gets a contract from us, right?
The original New York Times story on that was damning. It wasn't about Turkmenistan, but it was about other countries.
And they outlined it, and it is not a pretty sight, okay.
So, if that happens before the primaries are over,
Yeah, then the superdelegates can can go; Wait, if if -
Look, I don't like the superdelegate system, I wish it didn't exist. And I think that Hillary Clinton could make a case that that's unfair.
I really do, and I have to think about how it went down. But if the superdelegates exist for anything, it is for that exact scenario.
Where they go "Okay, yes, she has more pledged delegates, but they just led her away in handcuffs last week. -
For the good of the party we got to go to the other guy who doesn't have, who didn't just get arrested."
By the way, they wouldn't actually put handcuffs on her, okay.
John: "She's very, very rich."
Yeah, and so for the good of the party we gotta go to the other guy who's not indicted
and who by the way does much, much better against the Republicans in every single poll.
So, I'm not trying to give you false hope. I'm telling you right now, that's a very small percentage chance
that it's gonna work out in time, it's gonna be significant enough, etc etc.
But to say that there is no chance would be incorrect.