Hey good Saturday morning everybody and
happy Independence Day weekend as we kick
off the big weekend here and overnight.
Kind of a little bit of a surprise,
it was something we were watching last night.
That low pressure near
the South Carolina coast.
We had a tropical storm form,
but it's not all doom and gloom on the
coast and I'm here to tell you why,
because if you look at the
satellite and radar together,
there is Tropical storm Colin.
It is moving northeast at about 30.
Excuse me northeast at about 7:00 to 10:00
but it's got winds of about 30 to 35.
1000 hour, technically it says
40 but it's hard to find wind
speeds that have been that gusty.
Most of the strong winds have been
offshore to stop the loop here and
kind of show you that the strongest
winds are actually out here offshore.
So that's where we're seeing most of the
tropical storm force winds along the coast.
It's just a breezy day.
In fact, there's not much rain on the coast,
which is kind of interesting
when you see a system like this,
you think oh,
it's going to be a horrible,
horrible weekend on the coast.
Actually not too bad.
It doesn't look all that.
You know all that bad along the coast?
I'm going to put the wind radii there.
We'll put the forecast wind right here so
the blue is going to show you where the
tropical storm force winds technically are,
but I don't expect to see much of
anything over the next 24 hours.
This thing will be up near the
Outer Banks by tomorrow morning.
That offshore by the afternoon.
So really,
today is the only day I would say
that there's going to be somewhat
of inclement weather along the
coast as it pushes Northeast.
It should improve rapidly,
but even on the coast right now,
it's not all that bad.
In fact,
let's take a look at Myrtle Beach right now.
This is the Ocean Creek resort.
In North Myrtle,
I mean this is a live picture.
There's a tropical storm offshore.
Those people on the beach.
The waves look pretty intense,
though I will tell you that,
but look at the sun is out
right there right now.
Let's go down to Bar Harbor resort.
You can see down there pretty good
waves as well, but the sun is out.
A lot of people on the beach,
so the waves,
the surf and the rip currents will
likely be the biggest issue with
this system as it moves up the coast.
But what's probably a bigger impact for
the weekend is this cold front to the north.
You see that cold front up there?
That's going to be sliding to the South,
so when you look at the severe
weather outlook along that front,
there's a low to medium risk
for severe weather.
But tomorrow,
severe weather outlook has
most of the Carolinas
in a low risk as well.
Day three, which is Independence Day.
You don't see anything,
so tomorrow will be a day to watch
as that front gets closed the
afternoon storms that develop on
Sunday could be strong to severe,
so let's take a look at our futurecast.
So here's a look at what's
going to happen later today.
You can see our tropical storm Colin
really kind of just sitting offshore.
The worst weather is going to be
off the coast, but we're watching
the cold front to the northwest.
That's kind of the bigger story.
Look at the afternoon storms that
develop in the mountains and foothills.
This afternoon.
Look at the time up here.
This is at 5:00 PM,
so that's your typical time that
we'll watch for strong storms.
But notice they're pretty scattered.
The mountains and foothills,
the Lee area,
which is just east of the mountains,
will be the areas with the highest risk
today as we go through time you can
see some pretty good storms developed there.
We'll go into the overnight hours.
Things you know could linger for a while.
You see a couple showers and storms
lingering near the Piedmont during
the 11:00 PM to midnight timeframe.
We'll go into the overnight hours.
There's Colin continuing
to push up the coast,
but notice all the rain and worse
weather stays offshore and we start
turning our attention to this cold front.
Sliding in from the north,
we'll go through the morning hours so
Sunday morning looks fine even on the coast.
Things are starting to improve.
We go into the afternoon hours 4:00
o'clock so this is 4:00 o'clock on Sunday
we start to see some pretty good storms.
Develop here and there and remember
this is the same timeframe our
severe weather outlook becomes low.
We're in that low range of the yellow,
so we'll go through time.
You see by 6:00 o'clock.
So This is why this is always a
problem on the weekend like this,
it's not going to storm the
whole day if you're at the lake.
The beach fishing doing
anything during the day,
you're fine.
It's when grilling time comes around
that you got to be careful because
this is right around 6:00 o'clock.
You see the storms become really
prevalent from the coast all
the way back to the mountains,
and they kind of last for a while seven.
Eight 9:10 o'clock so those evening
plans on Sunday are definitely
the ones that are at most risk
of being impacted by storms,
and you can see going into
the overnight hours.
They linger for a while as we
go into 4th of July morning.
So this is 4th of July morning.
We'll go through time,
some lingering showers,
maybe in the first part of the day.
But then things improve pretty quickly,
and the reason you're seeing some of
those showers linger in the morning?
I don't think that's going
to happen unless the front
gets hung up. And that's the
big question is, you know how?
How far South does the front
get on Monday morning?
Clear things out, but you can see by 7:00 PM.
This is, you know, the 4th.
The afternoon looks great.
Let me back that up again so we
might wake up to some showers,
maybe some clouds on the 4th,
but as we go into the afternoon
and things begin to dry out and
so by the evening hours fireworks
time the big festivities.
Things look a little bit better,
but I'll caution you.
Anytime during the week there's going
to be the potential for a pop-up
shower storm that's just kind of
the forecast going forward here in
the next 7 to 10 days is we kind
of get stuck into that typical.
Summer pattern,
so Colin yeah,
there's a tropical storm in the coast.
Not a really big deal.
It's going to be moving away,
but everybody in the Carolinas
please be weather aware for those
afternoon and evening hours.
Make sure you have the WCNC app or some
kind of app to give you warnings or alerts.
And remember,
rain and Thunder is always a
tough thing to deal with outside,
but lightning is one of those
things you got to take seriously.
Head indoors before the rain gets there.
Most people get hit by lightning or
before and after the storm because
people go to shelter when it's raining.
They don't before and after,
and that's when you're most susceptible.
Is being hit by lightning so
have a safe holiday.
I will post updates if
anything should change,
but beware those afternoon and
evening thunderstorms are going
to be recurring theme through
the entire holiday weekend.