correcting their behaviour. But because of the crisis and chaos the
last government left the prison service
service in, we are left to fix up the mess. Question No. 10, Todd
My
My question is
What aspects of a Zero Carbon Bill are
in the consultation planned for later this
Point
Point of
Point of order, Mr Speaker.
of order, the Hon James Shaw. Mr Speaker,
Speaker, the piece of legislation that the member is asking about
is a fairly significant
fairly significant piece of economic legislation
number of supplementary questions available
available to the Opposition in this question time, I
seek your permission to give
a longer answer to the primary
question than I otherwise would have.
The member can try, and I may stop him. Ahem... So
I intend
I intend to consult on a range of matters in transitioning to a
including the full range of options for the 2050 emissions reduction
target, the roles and functions of the
the independent climate change commission, what role the commission
should have in supporting New Zealand to adapt to the impacts of
climate change. The consultation material
material will be supported by a number
number of studies looking into how New Zealand can make
the transition to
Commission's draft report into the
Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment's
Environment's report called Revisiting
Revisiting Stepping Stones to Paris and Beyond. Third,
and Beyond. Third, expert reports underpinning
underpinning the Ministry for the Environment's impact analysis
on a range of potential 2050 targets such
as NZAR looking at a range of targets
targets across the economy and society. The approach builds on and
extends the 2015 modelling
work. Assessing the targets
Zealand's rate of innovation and impact
impact on New Zealand's international
international competitiveness. Expert reports underpinning
the Productivity
Productivity Commission's analysis by vivid economics, motu and concept
consulting on transition pathways on
lower emissions under uncertainty, and
and superior consulting on moving to greater renewable electricity.
Could you
greater renewable electricity. Could
Supplementary question to the Minister. Will the
Government consult on the merits of excluding
this stage, all options are on the table for
table for a new domestic emissions reduction target.
considerations will be our responsibilities
responsibilities under the Paris Agreement to have a
sequence of all sectors,
sectors, all gases' international targets,
targets, including our current and subsequent nationally determined
contributions, and
contributions, and for the 2050 target
target to be successful, we will need
need it to be compatible with our international
international targets, as well as being
international targets, as well as being sutainable, simple to
understand, and internationally credible. Will the
Government provide
provide estimates of the comparative economic
economic costs between a
and a target that includes other greenhouse gases as
well, before public consultation
greenhouse gases as well, before
series of reports that I referred to which
which provide the economic modelling underpinning
underpinning the consultation will look at that range of
options. Will the
the Government provide estimates of the
the regional and sectorial impact of those various scenarios
for a
steel manufacturing or pastoral agricultural
agricultural production, before public
agricultural production, before
the marginal abatement cost curves across
across sectors and regions. This is a
a much more comprehensive piece of modelling
modelling work than the piece of work
work that was done in 2015 in preparation
preparation for the Paris Agreement. But I do just want to caution that
it is very
difficult to make assessments
assessments 30 years out. This is the
the most sophisticated piece of economic
economic modelling that this country has
has yet undertaken over an extremely long time frame.
So it does have its limits. It is, I guess,
based on the best information we've got,
the best set
set of scenarios that we can produce for the next 30 years. Will
the divergent opinion and
advice between Ministry
Ministry of Foreign Affars and Trade, Ministry forthe
and Ministry for Primary Industries regarding the various economic
costs of the
of the various net zero scenarios be shared with New
shared with New Zealand as part of that
shared with New Zealand as part of
answerthat question, Mr Speaker. I mean, I
mean, I expect agencies to provide robust
robust advice based on their perspective,
perspective, and that is part of the contestable nature of advice that
get from different agencies. I can't commit,
gotten too far down the design of the
the specific range of consultation options
information will be included in that. The main
piece of work, or the main reports that we're talking
of economic modelling reports, the Parliamentary Commissioner for the
Environment's report, the Productivity
Productivity Commission's report, and
and work underway across different agencies on how
different sectors can
can reduce emissions. We will also be
be doing reviews of international literature
literature on the effects of climate policy on the economy
in society at large, and within sectors