- These are your 10 huge Black Friday predictions 2020
and some insider store secrets
to make this your best Black Friday yet.
Welcome back to the channel.
And if you've never seen me before,
hello, I'm the YouTube Deal Guy, Matt Granite.
If you guys like this type of content,
subscribe, turn your notifications on,
and I promise to hook you up all holiday season long,
Black Friday, Cyber Monday, Christmas, and beyond.
But with this year being very different,
I thought I would take the time to explain
what each major retailer
is doing differently for Black Friday,
and how to prepare yourself
to ensure you're not dealing with any sellouts,
and also what the top deal days are.
Let's start with Walmart Black Friday prediction number one.
This is going to be the leading store
that really messes up Black Friday as we know it.
Now, if you look at Walmart's messaging,
they've made Black Friday easier.
Who they've made it easier for? For them.
Not for you, and this isn't my personal opinion.
If you look at Walmart's doing,
they've created six different Black Fridays.
The problem is each of these Black Fridays
is completely different, focusing on different deals,
and whatever's on sale for Black Friday, November 4th,
will not be the same item that's on sale November 11th.
And you couldn't miss a huge deal
as we roll through to the actual Black Friday itself.
Walmart claims they're doing this to make your life easier.
This is actually Walmart trying to figure out
how to navigate this very new reality
with stores not open and crowd controls in place,
and they're creating a different method
so they can warehouse better.
That's really all this is.
With that being said, Walmart is closed on Thanksgiving.
They were one of the first retailers to do this.
Walmart is a store
synonymous with "Let's go ruin our Thanksgiving dinner
and go line up at a store."
Walmart is staying out of Black Friday this year
but also creating this month of ridiculousness.
But, of course, when big deals drop,
I'll be sure to have them.
That's Black Friday prediction number one.
It's gonna be a mess.
Black Friday prediction number two
is please be careful, not all of the top deals
will populate in your search results.
And I guess that's why you guys have me
because in the two decades
that I've been working as a consumer analyst
and having no life whatsoever,
I'm trying to spot this.
But if you were to look
at many of the early Black Friday deals
that Target is offering,
many of the top deals require you
to add the item to your cart to see the price.
There's no ads scan, there's no flyer.
And if you just do a search for a specific TV model,
a lot of coupon websites and deal websites
won't populate these results.
And that's because Target is trying to give you
a little bit of an additional discount.
Of course, when that happens, I'll be there to help you.
But Black Friday prediction number two is please know
many deals will not appear
as part of a regular Google search.
Black Friday prediction number three,
and, again, if you like this content,
wait till we get to Black Friday prediction number 10,
which is tied to some crazy TV deals
that I'm gonna show you right here in real time,
Black Friday prediction number three
is Black Friday typically marks the beginning
of the holiday shopping season.
You've got Black Friday, Cyber Monday,
the countdown to Christmas.
This year, since many retailers,
including Target and Amazon,
kicked off their holiday deals October 13th,
we've had almost an additional month
of Black Friday shopping.
What does that mean?
Well, I think as far as the consumer is concerned,
Black Friday and Cyber Monday this year
mark the end of the holiday shopping season,
which means the top incentives will all appear
end of October through end of November, and that's it.
With that being said, your whole month of November,
many retailers have no clue whatsoever what they're doing.
And Home Depot was one of the first retailers
that toyed with the idea
of ditching Black Friday altogether,
and then they actually bit the bullet,
and then instead of a weekend-long shopping event,
they have these two whole months of holiday deals.
But if you look on their website right now,
they really don't even know what a lot of the deals are,
and they're typically doing what happens
in their month of December,
in their month of October, and November.
There are some special buys, and there are great deals.
But with that being said,
the savings are not on the most relevant holiday items.
At a time of the year where we typically be seeing
huge promotional bias on appliances,
grills are being reduced
with the Special Buy Savings of the Day,
which seems to keep repeating.
But the big takeaway
is stores are kinda just putting out fillers
and adjusting throughout the holiday season.
Black Friday prediction number five
is there will be a focus this year
on more of the essential items, more of the necessities,
and few of the luxury items.
That's just perhaps as a result of the economic climate.
I know for my family, things are a little bit tighter
and tougher than they've ever been.
I don't know how that is with you guys.
But Macy's is actually doing a nice job
of rolling out deals every single day,
and many of them are not your typical Macy's deals
and not your typical prices.
They've got a huge focus on deals under $5, $10.
This is not anything I've typically seen.
Even if you look at the coloring on the Macy's website,
it's very unique this year.
Their Macy's Holiday Thanksgiving Parade
is now streamed online.
Things are different.
Macy's is recognizing this,
and I will actually give them a thumbs up as a retailer
that is responding accordingly.
Black Friday prediction number six,
say goodbye to body checking
and say hello to ticketing systems.
Now, I never minded body checking
because I'm a lonely individual a lot of the time,
except thanks to you guys and the subscribers
that keep getting me closer to a million subs.
I'm getting happier. I feel like, yeah!
But anyhow, the whole pushing and shoving in the stores
is not gonna be a reality.
Many stores like Best Buy are gonna be resorting
to ticketing system and timed releases for their deals.
So if you are shopping in store,
you have a specific time to come redeem your purchase,
and that will be a very different thing this Black Friday,
specifically tied to deals like the PS5.
Black Friday prediction number seven
is tied to a lot of people
that just wanna create more uncertainty and retail panic.
And I'm telling you right now do not worry.
And not to pick on Mashable,
but I did read this on their website that they're predicting
there's going to be huge surges of traffic,
and you can run into technical issues,
and you're gonna have stock issues,
and your website might crash
when you're shopping on Black Friday.
This couldn't be further from the truth in my opinion.
Retailers are prepared for Black Friday.
It's called Cyber Monday,
the busiest shopping online day of the year.
And everything they know
with regards to traffic and scaling,
their servers tied to Cyber Monday
will now just double up on Black Friday.
Trust me. Stores know how to do it.
And for all of those concerns
about stores don't know how to stock,
this is easier than ever
with fewer people shopping in stores.
And with Black Friday now existing as an online event,
and primarily online event,
where many of the deal days are staggered
over the course of the whole month,
stores will be able to handle a lot of their stock and deals
from a centralized warehouse.
And if they don't know what to do,
they'll just adopt the Walmart approach,
which is a bunch of random deal days
over the course of a month, and hope for the best.
But don't worry, guys.
Your websites will not crash. You will get your deals.
And in fact, I predict that it'll be easier
to get a deal online than ever before
because there's a gazillion different days to do it
and not just one.
For Black Friday prediction number eight,
this is going to be,
not like I need to show you what eight is on my hands,
I'm such a tool,
this is the year of redundancy and overlapping deals
and inundation of things
that you might not actually want to grab.
I'm just using Amazon as an example,
but this is the same at every retailer.
If you look at their Holiday Dash deals section,
the Computer and Gaming,
almost every deal is the same.
So, for example, we have the USB-C,
then we have the two pack of blue light blocking glasses.
Then from another retailer, we have the USB-C adapter.
We have got a docking station.
Then we've got the USB-C hubs. You've got more cables.
We go down, more USB-C connectors.
Oh, what's that? Blue light blocking glasses.
Oh, and it just keeps going.
At a time of the year
where I would typically see more Chromebook deals,
I'm seeing more accessories and peripherals,
and that's because there are shortages tied to products.
On something like Chromebooks,
which are being used primarily for virtual learning,
they're very hard to find
for many major retailer at a good price.
So stores are compensating
by just kind of giving you whatever else is out there,
and they're doing it tenfold,
and that's why we are seeing a lot of redundant deals.
Black Friday prediction number nine,
this is going to be the year of the retail scam.
And I wanna show you just an example of a scam
that I received via text message today,
a random text that says, "Hello how may I help you
and how did you get my private text number?"
I've never texted this individual or this number.
And typically, the text message will follow up
with "Oh, I'm the sales associate
at a Best Buy you recently shopped at.
I just wanted to let you know of these huge upcoming deals.
Here are the early links."
That's a very common text going along right now.
There's shopping malls where they can actually figure out
by ZIP code where you are and your phone number,
and then say, "Oh, I'm calling
from this central shopping mall service
to let you know that the early doorbusters are here."
Please be really careful, guys.
If you get a link via text message or email,
don't click any direct links.
You can always hover over the link with your browser,
see what it is, and then go to that store's website
independently on your own without clicking through.
Please be so careful.
There's gonna be more scams this year than ever before.
And now, without further delay,
Black Friday prediction number 10,
which is tied to the big screen TV deals.
Not only have they arrived,
but many of them have some big bonuses.
I'm gonna begin by showing you
your basic traditional Black Friday TV deal
and then why this year is going to be different,
and why it's already better than ever.
Your typical Black Friday TV deal,
which looks like what you see on your screen,
although this is a relatively new release,
it's a 720p TV, it's a Fire TV, it's a Toshiba
that they repeat throughout the year, Prime Day, and so on.
Best Buy has great deals on their Insignia TVs,
and that's what we typically see,
TV deals that are manufactured
specifically for the occasion.
They've got fewer HDMI ports,
and they're generally just put together.
So, idiots like me will tell you how great those deals are,
and some of them are, but many of them aren't.
This year, we are seeing something completely different.
We're seeing huge reductions of up to 37% off or more
on 2020 models of televisions with the top-rated specs
from brands that you can actually be proud
to incorporate into your home,
not that there's anything wrong
with the Fire TV or in Insignia.
But this Sony, top of the line, 65-inch, 4K, Ultra TV,
is 628 down from 999.
And this is going to be your typical Black Friday TV deal
that's available now,
and if you guys wanna actually add this
to the video description box,
just so you can score a TV like this.
Something like this LG 70-inch, 4K TV,
there's only one left in stock, but don't worry,
this is the type of deal that I am watching,
is 696 down from $1,000.
You're saving 30%.
If you guys have profiled Black Friday TV deal drops before,
I'm doing a lot of weird hand motions today,
I'm just excited,
they're almost never 30 or 25% off,
they're never from the top brands,
and they're never from the same year or release date.
You might see a Sony 2018 deal in 2019.
But this is a very unique year.
Even this LG OLED,
or O-L-E-D TV depending on how you like to pronounce this,
is 55 inches, 4K,
and $503 off, 25% off.
And if you guys stick with people like me,
I can ensure that when you do see a TV deal like this,
not only do you get the TV,
but you might not realize the fine print,
which is that you can also get a free $129
LG Bluetooth speaker
that you could pair with your television
just for buying this TV.
It's hidden. The icons are small.
But in addition to the 25% off, that's an add-on.
By the way, guys, if you do subscribe
with your notifications turned on,
I know I said that before, I'm being redundant,
but I will help you, I will help you find these deals.
And then in addition to the really big TV deals,
we're also seeing brands like Scepter going all out,
so you can get a 50-inch TV today for 199 on a 4K TV.
Even TCL, they've been around, I think, for about 35 years.
This is one of the best deals I've seen from them,
279 for their Class 4 Series, 50-inch TV.
So almost disposable prices
from the Grade B and Grade B+ brands,
and then the Grade A brands, we're seeing massive reductions
plus all those bonus add-ons.
This is the year of the TV deal.
So, I hope this was helpful to you.
Those are my Black Friday predictions.
For Cyber Monday, and to really ensure
that you get the links tied to all of these big deals
as they drop, and the PS5, you guys know what to do.
And if you like this content,
please subscribe with your notifications turned on.
It's been an honor to have you spending time with me,
so I really do appreciate it.
Happy savings. Bye-bye.