Welcome back to my quest for Butterfly knife.
I've already unboxed over 400 crates so surely a knife will be just around the corner, because
that's clearly how probability works.
I was unusually unlucky with the first $1,000, so I'm going to say that it doesn't count,
since we all make mistakes once in a while.
Time for my luck to change!
Ohtherewego- gah, that one took me by surprise!
Sorry, I kind of dozed off there, wondering what else I could be doing with my time rather
than spending thousands of virtual dollars trying to get a digital knife.
Do people actually find this stuff FUN?!
Sighhhh.
I would talk more but it would be all about probability and luck and chasing losses and
justifying the downwards spiral and the inevitable feeling of regret I'd have long after this
is over.
If it was real.
Why Valve?
WHYYYY.
Of course I'd be lucky if I tried the real thing, since this is a simulator and obviously
completely wrong.
Apart from that.
That one would have happened in the real thing.
GASSSSPPPPP That should have been a knife.
THAT SHOULD HAVE BEEN.
Stupid sim.
GASSSSPPPPPPPPPPPP GGGAAAAAAAAASSSSSSSSSPPPPPPPPPP why me :(
If this is boring for you, imagine what it was like for ME in the first place.
Still, it's not as bad for me as people who do this with REAL money!
At least I got something.
Gaspp....
mmmmmMMMmMMMmMMmmmmmm...
HM H MH MJHMH MHMH MHNMMMM mmmmmMMMMMMMMMMMMM
As I was doing this, I began tidying my room a bit between each click.
I plucked an annoying hair and began spelling things backwards in the hope of learning a
new super skill that might be handy once in my lifetime.
And now for the 1000th case.
Still nothing.
If I knew how many times I had to click it it would be fine.
The problem is not knowing.
For all I know, the program's glitched out.
Or perhaps I would be all night.
Would it be worth leaving the computer on over-night to carry it on in the morning?
What if it crashed?
There comes a point where you just want it to be over, and I'm pretty sure I reached
it about $1,000 ago.
But saying that, this was a nice little oasis in the middle where my fortune changed, albeit
temporarily.
Somehow I doubt that makes up for the ever-increasing amount that I've invested into this quest.
Now back to the same hard slog.
Next stop: knife, or failing that, a stak-trak covert.
Or failing that, the thing NEXT to the stat-trak covert.
It's enough to make grown men cry.
Valve are raking in so much money, what happens when there's not enough for everybody else?!
Now for the leeth case.
Come on, fortune!
Nope.
Probability trumps all.
Dundundundundundundundundundundundundundundundun.
mmmmmMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM PPFFTFTTTTTTTTTFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
Time for a follow-up series: are the other weapons either side of the one that you get
just there to troll you?
Do they average out a higher value than the one that you get?
MmmmmmmmMMMMmmmMMMMMMmmm mmmmMMmmmMMMMMmmmMMMMMMMMM
sigh Oh just screw it.
No way is this fair.
If I wasn't making a video of this for sympathy I'd be far more upset right now.
And miss a stak-trak right there as well, just to rub it in.
Even for gambling this is a waste of money.
Virtual money.
I don't believe it.
This can't be happening because it's going in my favour!
A stat-trak covert worth an average of $178 right there.
That's almost as good as a knife!
...and I don't believe that either.
If only we could get this series of unfortunate crates and reverse it then I'd have saved
3 hours of my life.
Let's put this knife's value at $200.
You know what?
I'd rather have bought it.
$200 in proper money is about £120, or over a day of accounting.
And guess what, even that sounds more appealing than sitting through 3 hours of crate unboxings
again.
It's somewhat sad to say that creating this excel sheet trumps both activities.
Let's see how much this unboxing session has cost me.
I'll cut to the chase- I lost $1,732 altogether, leaving me with 58% of what I put in.
This is much better than the 41% that I had after the first $1,000, so I guess my fortunes
did change... from bad to not quite so bad but still bad.
Without knowing the exact chances of rolling each item we'll never know for sure what the
long-term trend will be, but it's safe to say that getting my money back is highly unlikely.
And it pains me to say it, but that slight chance of getting my money back will encourage
some people to keep putting money into it.
Please don't be one of them.
Before you put real money into it, try the simulator that I've linked to in the description
of this video.
And also remember that for $4,104 I could have got myself 20 very nice knives.
Or a new computer with SLI and a 4K screen.
Just saying.
A big well done to fllavour for guessing $4,115.
With that sort of luck you should open cases!
Or not.
Well done also to NightmareX91 who was also close with a score of $4123.
My friend called Ryan thought I was incredibly HARSH with the prize and has donated a nicer
weapon which will be rewarded to fllavour.
NightmareX91, to make you feel better you can get the rubbishy skin I was going to give
originally.
Big well done to both of you.
And now for the next Quest.
At some point, once I've recovered from this one, I'll be opening Operation Phoenix cases
until I get a knife.
How many will it take?!
Place your bets now!