>> WELL, THERE WAS AMY KLOBUCHAR TALKING ABOUT JOE BIDEN BIG
UNEXPECTED WIN IN MINNESOTA ON
TUESDAY.
TUESDAY. THIS IS ALSO UNEXPECTED.
THE DELEGATE RACE, JOE BIDEN
LEADING BERNIE SANDERS.
WE’RE PAST SUPER TUESDAY.
BIDEN’S AHEAD, NOBODY WAS
KPNTING THATKPNT
KPNTING THATKPNT EXPECTING THAT EVEN A WEEK AGO.
I WANT SHOW YOU WHY THAT’S A
PROBLEM FOR BERNIE SANDERS.
WE ARE IN A DELEGATE RACE RIGHT
NOW, BIDEN VERSUS SANDERS.
THIS IS ABOUT WHO CAN END UP
WITH THE MOST DELEGATES HERE.
SANDERS, HE’S TRAILING BY FEWER
THAN 70 RIGHT NOW.
THAT’S VERY CLOSE, SANDERS GOT A
SHOT, BUT LET’S BE CLEAR ABOUT
THE CHALLENGE SAPDNDERS FACES.
THEY ARE STILL COUNTING
DELEGATES FROM SUPER TUESDAY.
A LOT OF STATES THEY HAVE TO GO
THROUGH THE CONGRESSIONAL
DISTRICTS, CLOSE TO THE 15%
THRESHOLD.
THRESHOLD. THERE ARE MORE DELEGATES THAT
ARE GOING TO BE ALLOCATED FROM
SUPER TUESDAYMENT THE.
THESE ARE ROUGH ESTIMATES HERE,
ROUGHLY WHAT THE DELEGATES WILL
LOOK LIKE AFTER EVERYONE IS
ALLOCATED FROM SUPER TUESDAY.
SO THAT SHOULD BE THIS.
HERE WE GO, IT SHOULD BE ABOUT A
70 DELEGATE ADVANTAGE FOR JOE
BIDEN.
BIDEN. OKAY, NOW, WE GO TO NEXT
TUESDAY, LETS GET THOSE STATES
UP ON THE SKRAEN, IN YELLOWCREEN
LET’S START ON THE WEST COAST,
WASHINGTON, THIS IS THE STATE
THAT SANDERS CAMPAIGN IN NEAR RI
IS MOST EXCITED ABOUT.
HE WON BY MORE THAN 40 POINTS
HERE IN 2016, BUT WASHINGTON WAS
A CAUCUS STATE IN 2016.
IT SWITCHED TO A PRIMARY IN
2020.
2020. WE’VE SEEN SANDERS DOING FAR
WORSE IN PRIMARIES THAN
CAUCUSES.
CAUCUSES. WASHINGTON HIT A NONBINDING
PRIMARY IN 2016 IN ADDITION TO
THOSE CAUCUSES.
THOSE CAUCUSES. SANDERS DIDN’T EVEN WIN THE
PRIMARY.
PRIMARY. HE ONLY WON THE CAUCUSES.
THE DELEGATES THEN CAME THROUGH
THE CAUCUS.
THE CAUCUS. BUT LET’S SAY SANDERS WINS
WASHINGTON, THERE’S A POLL OUT
TODAY THAT HAS BIDEN UP BY A
POINT.
POINT. LET’S SAY THAT BERNIE SANDERS
GETS A NARROW WIN IN WASHINGTON.
LETS ALSO SAY HE GETS A WIN IN
IDAHO, ANOTHER STATE HE WON THE
CAUCUSES HUGE IN IN 2016.
WE’RE TRYING TO GIVE YOU A
SCENARIO WHERE SANDERS WINS
WHERE HE CAN WIN.
NOT A PRIBS HERE, BUT LET’S SAY
SANDERS GETS IDAHO AS WELL,
NORTH DAKOTA, THEY WERE A CAUCUS
STATE.
STATE. THEY’RE BASICALLY A PRIMARY
STATE THIS TIME.
LET’S GIVE SANDERS A WIN THERE,
JUST TRYING TO SHOW YOU THE
MATH.
MATH. LET’S LOOK AT MISSOURI.
THIS STATE WAS LIKE 50/50
CLINTON SANDERS IN TWIBS.
WE’RE GOING TO SAY IT’S RAZOR
THIN AGAIN.
THIN AGAIN. LETS LOOK AT MICHIGAN.
SANDERS GOT THAT WIN IN MICHIGAN
LAST TIME AROUND.
LET’S SAY SANDERS GETS A NARROW
WIN IN MICHIGAN AGAIN, WE’RE
GIVING HIM WINS IN ALL FIVE OF
THESE STATES.
THESE STATES. THEN YOU GET TO MISSISSIPPI, AND
MISSISSIPPI’S A STATE WHERE IT
LOOKS LIKE SANDERS IS GOING TO
GET BLOWN OUT.
HE’S GOING TO GET BLOWN OUT
BECAUSE HIS SUPPORT WITH BLACK
VOTERS IS SO SMALL, ESPECIALLY
IN THE DEEP SOUTH.
NEXT DOOR IN ALABAMA SANDERS
LOST 63-16.
LOST 63-16. VERY LIKELY YOU’RE GOING TO HAVE
SOMETHING LIKE THAT HAPPEN
AGAIN.
AGAIN. SO WE’RE SAYING SANDERS
COMPETING VERY WELL IN THESE
STATES, WINNING THESE STATES,
GETTING BLOWN OUT IN
MISSISSIPPI.
MISSISSIPPI. LOOK WHAT THIS DOES TO THE
DELEGATE MAP.
DELEGATE MAP. ON THE STRENGTH OF THAT HUGE WIN
IN MISSISSIPPI, THIS IS WHAT
HAPPENS.
HAPPENS. BIDEN STAYS AHEAD.
LOOK AT THAT.
HE’S NOW UP 82.
BIDEN’S LEAD INCREASED.
THAT’S THE REALITY OF DELEGATE
MATH.
MATH. IN A ONE ON ONE RACE.
IF YOU’RE LOSING STATES NARROWLY
YOU’RE NOT WINNING A TON ON
DELEGATES.
DELEGATES. IF YOU’RE WINNING STATES BIG,
YOU’RE GAINING BIG ON DELEGATES.
THIS IS THE 17th, VICTORIA WAS
TALKING ABOUT THIS.
THE POLLS HAVE BEEN BRUTAL FOR
SANDERS IN FLORIDA E.
BRUTAL.
BRUTAL. LETS SAY -- AND HE LOST IT BY
30-PLUS POINTS IN ’16.
LET’S SAY IT HAPPENS AGAIN.
HIS CAMPAIGN SAYS THEY’VE
ATTRACTED NEW HISPANIC SUPPORT.
LET’S SAY HE WINS ARIZONA BY 10,
ILLINOIS WAS A CLOSE STATE IN
’16.
’16. LET’S SAY IT’S A ONE-POINT RACE.
LET’S SAY HE LOSES OHIO BY 10.
HE’S WINNING ARIZONA BY TEN,
LOSING OHIO BY TEN, ILLINOIS IS
BASICALLY DEAD EVEN BUT FLORIDA
LOOKS BRUTAL FOR SANDERS THIS IS
WHAT HAPPENS TO THE DELEGATE
MATH.
MATH. NOW BIDEN’S UP 173.
YOU SEE WHAT HAPPENS?
AND THEN ONE MORE HERE.
THIS IS THE 17th OF MARCH.
YOU GO A WEEK LATER, GEORGIA
COMES UP.
COMES UP. EVERYTHING WE’RE TALKING ABOUT
IN MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, SOUTH
CAROLINA, SAME PROBLEM FOR
SANDERS.
SANDERS. HE GOT BURIED THERE IN 2016.
IF HE GETS BURIED GERNGSYIED AGA
IT IS, HE’S MORE THAN 200
DELEGATES BEHIND.
DELEGATES BEHIND. IN A ONE ON WITHIN RACEONE RACE,
TO OVERCOME.
TO OVERCOME. SANDERS HAS GOT TO FIND A WAY TO
CHANGE THOSE DYNAMICS OR HE’S