>> A new set of polls indicates that Joe Biden is definitely leading and by a wider margin
that was previously reported in previous polls.
So there are two polls we're gonna look at the first looks at how the two candidates
are doing nationally.
I don't know I'm having a hard time saying that but let me give you those numbers.
Now this poll was done by CNN and it found that among likely voters, Biden holds a whopping
16 point average, with 57% support to Trump's 41%.
And Trump did not fare any better among registered voters, although Biden's support ticked down
to 56% in that sample.
Now Trump did hold a slim lead over Biden with men, so 49 to Biden's 47%.
Among women, though Biden more than doubled Trump's support with 66% to only 32% for Trump.
Biden also leads Trump by 4 points among white voters, but nearly tripled Trump's support
among voters of color at 72% to Trump's 25%.
And there's also a breakdown on the issue, so Cenk let me give that to you before you
go off.
So coronavirus outbreak of course, people believe that Biden would do a better job than
Trump, 59% to Trump's 38%.
Health care Biden leads in that regard as well, 59% to Biden, I'm sorry 59% to Trump's
39%.
Racial inequality obviously people like Biden better with 62% to Trump's 36%.
Even with Supreme Court nominations, the majority of Americans prefer Biden 57% to Trump's 41%,
crime and safety, Biden won in that regard as well 55% to Trump's 43%.
And even with the economy where Trump historically has done better, in this case, Biden performed
well, with 50% versus Trump's 48% Cenk.
>> All right, yeah I'm gonna do it.
It was definitely not nice knowing your Donald Trump, all right, let me break down why these
numbers are game set and match if they were by themselves, you say okay, look, maybe it's
an outlier.
I mean, it's Biden has an outrageous 16 point lead.
But there was another poll done by two other media organizations Wall Street Journal which
is conservative, and NBC News just a couple of days ago and that was a 14 point lead.
It's not an outlier, and so now when you get into the numbers further, as Ana just showed
you based on policies etc, it's a bloodbath.
The coronavirus is the number one issue in the country, Biden leads by over 20 points.
This is not around the edges like he's got to 4 point lead, I wonder if he could hold
it.
You could hold a 21 point lead on an issue like that with a month left in the election.
Then, I remember in 2016 I'd get so frustrated, and I thought it was so biased to the media
against Trump, when they would say, Hillary Clinton has a big lead among women I'd be
like yeah.
But Donald Trump has a big lead among men.
So, but they never pointed that out and I think it was part of their bias and I just
couldn't see straight.
And that's why we told you in 2016, no Trump has a significant chance of winning.
So now this time around, Trump holds a 2 point lead among men, it's basically tie that's
nothing, right?
Among women, Biden is doubling him, more than double 66 to 32, that's unrecoverable, it's
not within planets of close.
No look, Biden's taking the lead with a white voters, he has a monstrous lead.
He's got a three to one advantage over Trump with non-white voters, everybody knows that,
and this is the same mistake they make in 2016.
Hillary Clinton was winning big with non-white voters, he shouldn't win this big by the way
with non-white voters.
And then they leave out yeah, but Trump's winning white voters comfortable.
He's not anymore, he's losing white voters, and I can go on all day long.
But one last one, senior citizens, it's a base for the Republicans, that's their strength,
it's a strength for Trump, not anymore.
Every poll has Trump losing senior citizens by over 20 points, there is no way in the
world that's recoverable.
So it's not a thing where math doesn't exist anymore, everybody's so shell shocked and
scared from 2016 my God, what if 2 plus 2 doesn't equal 4 anymore?
No it equals 4, he's gonna get obliterated and so this is landslide.
>> Okay but Cenk, okay look, the thing that drives me crazy is that if it comes to the
popular vote yes, Biden is gonna beat Trump, there's no question about it, but he's still
not leading by much in swing states, okay?
So there was another poll done that's the second poll I wanted to talk about, that looks
specifically at swing states.
And even with all the disastrous things that have happened recently, the disastrous debate
performance by Donald Trump.
The fact that Donald Trump is so incompetent, he can't even keep his own White House safe
from the Coronavirus, those issues didn't in any way impact, what the swing states are
pulling at, so let me give you those details.
Arizona for instance, yes Biden has a significant lead there, but again, this lead hasn't changed
based on current events.
Biden has 51% and Trump has 45% Florida, Biden has 50% Trump has 46%.
So 1% change in Biden's direction in the more recent poll.
In Michigan, Biden's at 51%, Trump is at 43%.
North Carolina Biden 49% Trump at 47%, Pennsylvania Biden 50% Trump at 46%, and Wisconsin Biden
a 51%, Trump at 44%.
Some of these swing states it's definitely within the margin of error.
I'm definitely concerned with all of the voter suppression actions being taken by state Republican
parties.
And even the Trump campaign suing various states that have tried to make it easier for
people to vote by mail during the pandemic.
Some of those cases have made their way to the Supreme Court, and unfortunately, the
overwhelmingly conservative Supreme Court, has sided with Trump's campaign.
So, you have voters being disenfranchised, you have the fact that the electoral college
still is a thing, it didn't magically disappear.
And then on top of that, you have these poll results from these swing states indicating
that they're much closer than what makes me comfortable at least.
That's why I'm kind of shocked that you're willing to one month out, call this election.
I just think that there's still too much time and I think there's still too many factors
that you're not considering by making this call.
>> I totally disagree.
>> Okay.
>> So, the swing states Ana we're moving the goalposts here, and by the way, that point
of view is accidentally helping Trump.
So first of all, what swing states are we talking about?
Donald Trump has to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and Florida and Ohio, he's
not winning any of them, and Biden's lead in Pennsylvania is now double digits, that's
not a swing state that's a landslide.
And so, Trump's gotta win them all, and now we're nitpicking about whether Biden's lead
in North Carolina is large enough?
North Carolina, why don't we win Alabama while we're at it, okay?
I mean, we're talking about Biden's lead in Arizona, Iowa, and North Carolina.
Now there's talk that he's within striking distance in Georgia and Texas.
There's no conversation where we're having a talk about how Texas might go to Biden,
and Biden has a chance of losing, that's not a thing.
That's like, California might go to Trump, but maybe Biden pulls it out.
No, in that scenario, Biden would have a 0% chance of pulling it up, and right now, that's
close to where Trump sits.
So I know they're gonna cheat 1,000 times around the edges, but these numbers are too
large, we're winning.
I can't describe to you, how improbable it is for a Republican to win the presidency,
if they're losing Arizona, Iowa, and North Carolina, a month before the election, we're
deep into their territory.
So no, he's a goner look, there's many other factors, which I'll talk about next, but on
the polling alone, you literally cannot ask for better numbers.
It would be outrageous and outlandish, to ask for better numbers.
I mean, if going into the election, like a year ago, if you told me hey Biden's gonna
be the nominee, I'd have been, are we sure we're all gonna be okay?
Right, then if you said to me, hey a month before the election, he'll have a 16 point
lead up I'll take it, I'll take it right, what do I want a 17 point lead?
If you told me he's gonna lead in North Carolina, Arizona and Iowa I might have voted for him
in the primaries, okay?
I mean, I wouldn't because Bernie would have just as big a lead, it's because it isn't
about Bernie or Biden it's that Trump, keeps self immolating.
And so these are not recoverable numbers, the laws of physics apply, and so does math.