CAPPING OUT HIS EVENING IN
PITTSBURGH WITH LADY GAGA.
SAVANNAH.
>> LET’S TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT
WHERE THINGS STAND.
CHUCK TODD IS WITH US THIS
MORNING.
GOOD MORNING.
SO YOU SPEND ALL OF YOUR YEARS,
ALL OF YOUR LAST FOUR YEARS POLL
OBSESSED.
EVERYONE IS POLL OBSESSED RIGHT
THERE WITH YOU.
YOU’VE GOT A NEW POLL FROM THE
BATTLE GROUNDS.
LET’S PUT IT UP ON THE SCREEN.
THESE ARE THE STATES THAT ULT
WILL
-- ULTIMATELY ARE LIKELY TO
DECIDE THE ELECTION.
>> ONE OF OUR LESSONS LEARNED
FROM FOUR YEARS AGO, DON’T STOP
POLLING.
WE STOPPED POLLING BEFORE THE ELECTION LAST TIME AND THE POLLS
ELECTION LAST TIME AND THE POLLS
MOVED.
FIVE POINTS IN THE BATTLEGROUND
IS WITHIN THE MARGIN.
THE PRESIDENT’S JOB RATING IS
47%.
I KEEP BRINGING THIS UP BECAUSE
ULTIMATELY THAT JOB RATING IS
GOING TO BE HIS BALLOT NUMBER.
WHAT HIS JOB RATING IS TOMORROW
AND WHEN WE SEE THOSE EXIT
POLLS, IT’S ALL GOING TO BE
WITHIN A POINT.
BUT IT ALSO MEANS EVERY ONE OF
THESE BATTLEGROUND STATES ARE
GOING TO BE EXTRAORDINARILY
CLOSE TOMORROW NIGHT, EVEN IF
THEY ALL END UP MOVING IN ONE
DIRECTION.
>> QUICKLY, OUR NATIONAL POLL
SHOWED A TEN-POINT SPREAD.
LET’S GO TO THE MAP.
WHAT ARE THE PATHS?
>> THERE’S ONE BASIC PATH HERE
THAT IS THERE WE GO.
THIS IS WHAT WE’RE STARING AT
FROM OVER THE WEEKEND.
WE GOT NEWS OUT OF THE IOWA THAT
SEEMS TO BE LEANING RED.
NEWS FROM THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN
THAT SAYS THEY DON’T FEEL GOOD
ABOUT WISCONSIN AND MICHIGAN.
OHIO, WE’RE GOING TO GO AHEAD
AND ASSUME TRUMP HANGS ON TO
THAT AND WE’RE GOING TO GIVE HIM
TEXAS.
SO THIS TO ME IS WHAT WE’RE
STARING AT HERE, BASICALLY A
FIVE-STATE RACE LEFT.
AS CAN YOU SEE THE GOOD NEWS FOR JOE BIDEN IS HE JUST NEEDS ONE
JOE BIDEN IS HE JUST NEEDS ONE
AND IT WOULD HIT HIM AT 270,
ARIZONA, WOULD DO IT, FLORIDA
WOULD DO IT, GEORGIA WOULD DO
IT, NORTH CAROLINA, MAYBE HOLDS
ON TO THAT.
BY THE WAY, THESE SUNBELT STATE,
EVANGELICAL WHITE WOMEN ARE THE
ONE GROUP OF WOMEN WHO HAVE NOT
SOFTENED ON THE PRESIDENT.
LOOK WHAT THIS DOES.
THIS PUTS THIS RIGHT HERE.
THIS IS THE NIGHTMARE.
JOE BIDEN DOES NOT WANT US -- IF
THIS IS WHAT WE’RE WAITING FOR,
IT’S GOING TO BE A LONG MONTH.
NOT A LONG NIGHT, NOT A LONG
WEEK, BUT A LONG MONTH.
THIS IS WHY THE BIDEN CAMPAIGN,
THEY’RE VERY CONFIDENT, THEY
THINK THEY CAN WIN THIS WITHOUT
HAVING TO WAIT FOR PENNSYLVANIA. AS YOU CAN SEE, IF WE’RE WAITING
AS YOU CAN SEE, IF WE’RE WAITING
FOR PENNSYLVANIA, IT’S LAWSUIT
LAWSUITPALOOSA.
THERE’S ONE PLAY WHERE THE
REPUBLICAN TICKET DID WELL WITH
PARTY REGISTRATION WAS IN
PENNSYLVANIA, THE OTHER STATE
BEING FLORIDA.
THERE’S A LOT OF THOUGHT THAT
ELECTION DAY VOTE AND MORE THAN
HALF THE VOTE IS GOING TO VOTE
TOMORROW.
SO THIS IS ALL A TURNOUT GAME.
THERE ARE A LOT OF QUESTIONS I
HAVE.
WHEN YOU’RE PLAYING THE TURNOUT
GAIL LIKE, THIS HE’S REALLY
RELYING ON VOTES, HOW DOES
PICKING A FIGHT LIKE FAUCI OR
WHAT HAPPENED ON THE TURNPIKE,
WHAT DOES THIS DO IN THE LAST 24
HOURS?
>> DEMOCRATS HAVE LEANED IN TO
HAVING THE VOTE BANKED EARLY.
THE PRESIDENT WAITING FOR
ELECTION DAY.
>> THIS IS THE NIGHTMARE
SCENARIO FOR THE COUNTRY.
GOOD LUCK.
>> GOOD LUCK.
YOU’LL BE THERE ITS WITH ME.
TOMORROW IS GOING TO BE A LONG
ONE.
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