(ááFIRST ALERT TYLER OPENáá) -------------------------- MONDAY, EXPECTING AREAL
COVERAGE OF PRECIP TO INCREASE BTWN 15-21Z, ESPECIALLY ACRS CENTRAL/ SOUTHERN VT AND UPSLOPE PORTIONS OF THE DACKS. GIVEN VERY STRONG
925MB TO 850MB WIND FIELDS, ANTICIPATING QPF WILL BE HIGHLY TRRN DRIVEN WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS IN THE SE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/ SOUTHERN GREENS AND EASTERN DACKS.
MEANWHILE, DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL LIMIT QPF ACRS THE CPV.
HAVE TRIED TO SHOW A SHARP RANGE IN VALUES FROM 0.15 NEAR PBG TO 0.25 BTV TO 0.50 SLK AND NEAR 1.0 FAVORABLE SE UPSLOPE AREAS. IT SHOULD
BE NOTED THAT EVEN WITH AIR TEMPS MID/UPPER 30S, GROUND TEMPS ARE COLD, GIVEN RECENT COLD SPELL, SO AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WITH COLD
PAVEMENT TEMPS COULD LINGER INTO MID MORNING ON MONDAY. POCKETS OF SLIPPERY TRAVEL IS ANTICIPATED, ESPECIALLY ON ANY
UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES AND BRIDGES. TEMPS FINALLY WARM WELL INTO THE 40S AND THREAT FOR ICING ENDS BY AFTN. ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND VERY MILD TEMPS PREVAIL ON MONDAY NIGHT AS CWA IS WELL ESTABLISHED IN WARM SECTOR. AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE AS WARM/MOIST
AIR ADVECTS OVER COLD SNOW PACK, ESPECIALLY DEEPER/PROTECT VALLEYS.
GIVEN, QPF/SNOW MELT NOT ANTICIPATING ANY HYDRO RELATED ISSUES, BUT OTTER CREEK COULD APPROACH FLOOD STAGE ACCORDING TO THE LATEST
NERFC FORECAST.
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY MORNING CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED MID- MORNING IN THE 40S, WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20S. WINDS WILL BE BRISK TUESDAY
MORNING AT 10- 15KTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 20- 25KTS, BUT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN BELOW 10KTS FOR WEDNESDAY.
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EXISTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN NEW YORK.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF A FEW HUNDRETHS IS FORECAST DURING THIS TIME. AS MIDLEVEL DRY AIR SETTLES IN BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION DWINDLE, THOUGH A CHANCE O SNOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED MID- MORNING IN THE 40S, WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20S. WINDS WILL BE BRISK TUESDAY
MORNING AT 10- 15KTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 20- 25KTS, BUT WILL DECREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN BELOW 10KTS FOR WEDNESDAY.
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EXISTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN NEW YORK.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF A FEW HUNDRETHS IS FORECAST DURING THIS TIME. AS MIDLEVEL DRY AIR SETTLES IN BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION DWINDLE, THOUGH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
LAKE MOISTURE IS ADVECTED INTO THE REGION.
(áááTOMááá TOM THANKS..