I think a lot of people just assume that the way to make AIs more intelligent is to make
them more human.
But I think that's a very dubious assumption.
We're much better off with tools than with colleagues.
We can make tools that are smart as the dickens, and use them and understand what their limitations
are without giving them ulterior motives, purposes, a drive to exist and to compete
and to beat the others.
those are features that don't play any crucial role in the competences of artificial intelligence.
So for heaven sakes don't bother putting them in.
Leave all that out, and what we have is very smart “thingies” that we can treat like
slaves, and it's quite all right to treat them as slaves because they don't have feelings,
they're not conscious.
You can turn them off; you can tear them apart the same way you can with an automobile and
that's the way we should keep it.
Now that we're in the age of intelligent design—lots of intelligent designers around—a lot of
them are intelligent enough to realize that Orgel's Second Rule is true: "Evolution is
cleverer than you are."
That's Francis Crick’s famous quip.
And so what they're doing is harnessing evolutionary processes to do the heavy lifting without
human help.
So we have all these deep learning systems and they come in varieties.
There's Bayesian networks and reinforcement learning of various sorts, deep learning neural
networks…
And what these computer systems have in common is that they are competent without comprehension.
Google translate doesn't know what it's talking about when it translates a bit of Turkish
into a bit of English.
It doesn't have to.
It's not as good as the translation that a bilingual can do, but it's good enough for
most purposes.
And what's happening in many fields in this new wave of AI is the creation of systems,
black boxes, where you know that the probability of getting the right answer is very high;
they are extremely good, they're better than human beings at churning through the data
and coming up with the right answer.
But they don't understand how they do it.
Nobody understands in detail how they do it and nobody has to.
So we've created entities, which are as inscrutable to us as a bird or a mammal considered as
a collection of cells is includable; there's still a lot we don't understand about what
makes them tick.
But these entities instead of being excellent flyers or fish catchers or whatever they're
excellent pattern detectors, excellent statistical analysts, and we can use these products, these
intellectual products without knowing quite how they're generated but knowing having good
responsible reasons for believing that they will generate the truth most of the time.
No existing computer system no matter how good it is at answering questions like Watson
on Jeopardy or categorizing pictures, for instance, no such system is conscious today,
not close.
And although I think it's possible in principle to make a conscious android, a conscious robot,
I don't think it's desirable; I don't think there would be great benefits to doing this;
and there would be some significant harms and dangers too.
You could at tremendous expense, but you'd have to have in fact quite a revolution in
computer design, which would take you right down to the very base of the hardware.