Alright, hey everybody,
hopefully you can hear me.
I was having a little bit of a hard time.
Getting up your comments,
I want to make sure I had your comments up
before I started talking so we could chat
here and then we could get into talking
about the latest going on with ICIS.
So let me make sure that I've got that
all squared away and we are in good shape,
which it looks like we are.
So if you guys can't hear me let me know,
but it looks like I've got
the audio levels on my end,
so that hopefully means that the sound
is coming through on your end as well.
So I just want to start off by
looking at the entire Atlantic.
As a whole, because there are
two other systems out there,
but just in an effort to not hype things up,
I want to let you know that both of those
systems are really nothing to worry about,
both of which have a 20%
chance of developing.
And yeah, we're not concerned about that,
so let's talk about Hurricane ICIS right
now it is moving to the Northwest at 16 mph.
It has slowed down slightly
from the 8:00 o'clock advisory,
and it has weakened.
Slightly as well,
80 mile per hour winds but ahead
through most of the overnight,
and now those wind speeds are at 75 mph.
That said,
this is going to be an interesting
day because it's starting to
encounter a little bit of wind shear,
which windshear tends to disrupt.
The natural flow of tropical systems,
and it's encountering some wind
shear right now,
and it looked like it was weakening,
and the hurricane hunters just found
86 mile per hour winds within this,
so we have to see that consistently
to to look at a strengthening
or weakening system.
But overall,
the last gosh about 6 hours or so have
been really interesting with this system.
It strengthen quickly off the coast
of Hispaniola and then it's actually
been struggling to strengthen
if not out weakening.
So here just up from the
11:00 o'clock Advisory,
we've got a new hurricane watch in
effect that includes the Space Coast
as well as now Tropical storm warnings.
In effect,
all up along the southeast coast of Florida.
So now we're within that time
frame where it looks more likely
like tropical storm conditions.
Are going to be possible or even
just expected along the Southeast
coast as we head through the weekend.
Here's the Winfield with this system.
Wind speeds,
at least at Tropical Storm Force,
which is around 39 mph or stronger,
or Gale force of 40 mph or stronger
are extended about 205 miles from
the center of the storm,
while hurricane force winds are only
35 miles from the center of the storm.
And that's really important as we
talk about a potential landfall.
As the storm tracks of the North and West,
so that's going to be something
to watch closely,
as that wind field takes shape.
Remember you're stronger winds,
an more of your worst.
As it heads towards the southeast
coast of Florida and then it'll
be tracking to the North.
Hopefully we get more of a northerly
turn as we head through the day tomorrow.
Wind speeds are going to be there.
Getting ready to do the first
ever bars return mission.
Eventually we can bring those samples
back to Earth and determine for
the very first time did like with
this system weakening a little bit.
Over the last 12 hours,
what we're seeing is that it
has actually 300,000,000 mile
journey from America's short to
Jezero crater on Mars will begin with
the launch of this Atlas 5 rocket,
a weaker system that it's
going to track more to the
West, so that's the concern.
You get a weaker system that's going
to tend to go more to the West.
You get a stronger system column of
fire and smoke on its way.
To the Red Planet. What a beautiful
morning here on the Space Coast.
Welcome everyone behind. Turn to
the northeast eventually.
Hopefully it stays offshore,
but it could be heading to the
Carolinas through early next week
looking at a potential landfall on
South or North Carolina as well.
It would then we can,
before heads up to the North and East.
What's tearing this right now
is this Ridge of high pressure.
Now this Ridge of high pressure,
it's it's a strong Ridge of high
pressure in the hurricane would stay
right along the fringe of that, but.
The stronger the hurricane is,
the more it can bite into
that fringe of high pressure.
But if it's a weaker system then
it will tend to go farther to
the West and more steered by
that area of high pressure.
So that's why a weaker storm would lend
itself to going farther to the West,
and a stronger storm allows it to
bite into that Ridge of high pressure
a little bit more and then track a
little bit more toward the North.
So that's what we will be watching
when she is coming into effect as well.
That wind shear could make it weaker as well,
which would.
Forced to go more to the West and
then from there that trough of low
pressure helps lift it farther
to the North as well.
Here's the latest Windfield forecast
as we go into Saturday and Sunday.
Looks like those tropical storm force
winds could be moving ashore over
southeast Florida through the day
tomorrow and then potentially staying
ashore even though the center of the
storm is going to be off to the East.
Looks like even the Space Coast could
see some tropical storm force winds and
maybe even hurricane force winds of
the storm tracks farther to the West.
It will then continue up to the North
and hopefully move away from us quickly,
and that's not always the hope
in terms of timing.
For this,
we're still here in Tampa Bay
looking at the possibility of
seeing Tropical storm force winds
with that slight shift to the West.
Now in the track,
that would mean that we have a better
chance of seeing some impacts here locali,
but still the greater threat for
seeing that would be out on the East
Coast and that would arrive sometime
as we go through Sunday morning,
Saturday night,
late into early Sunday morning
for the Bay Area.
We're still looking at hurricane.
I had hurricane heading to
the East Coast of Florida.
We could see some of those friends showers
and storms through the day on Sunday.
Maybe even a little bit of Saturday as well.
And obviously a little breezy
if we get that storm passing a
little bit more into the West.
So that's a quick update guys.
I see a lot of you are leaving
comments and questions.
I hope I was able to answer some of them.
I'm not going to be able to
get to all of them right now.
Yeah,
so I hope this answers at least some of
the questions.
Let me pull up the track one more time.
I do have to run real quick,
but I wanted to show you guys the
latest 11:00 o'clock advisory that
just came down from the Hurricane
Center and let you know that we
are looking at a slight shift back
to the West and never ever ever
so slight shift back to the West.
But what we're seeing is that weakening
a little bit of the hurricane which
would push the storm a little bit
farther to the West as we see that
slight shift to the West in the track,
so no time to let your guard down.
Keep checking back for more updates.
Course, you know we'll be here to keep
you posted on the latest changes in the
latest tracks and potential impacts,
but you're in Tampa Bay.
We're still doing.
OK, maybe some fringe impacts
for the weekend.
East Coast obviously still has
to keep a very close eye on this
storm because just a slight shift
of the West 2030 miles could make
a big impact on whether they get
hurricane conditions or maybe
just tropical storm conditions.
And that can be significant when
it comes to damage and impacts
all up along the East Coast.
So that's it for now.
Guys have a great rest of your Friday.
Make sure you tune in for 10 Tampa Bay
midday meteorologist Autumn Robertson's
going to be there with you guys,
giving you the latest as well.
You can go to our website today.com
and of course right here on
Facebook where you know we've
got the answers coming your way.
So guys take care.
Be safe as always and will check
in with you sometime soon.