HAS
HAS EVACUATE. >> I HAVE TO SAY I WAS 4@LAST O
TV AT 5 AM.
BACK THEN IT WAS A CATEGORY
THREE.
THREE.
THREE. NOW IT 4@HAS STRENGTHENED.>>>4@
IT IS A FOUR. 4@
IT IS CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. @
AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 140 MILES PER HOUR.
IT WILL BE A REAL CONCERNED.4@4
IT IS MOVING WEST AND 4@NORTH A
WEST AT 13 MILES PER 4@HOUR.
STARTING TO TAKE A TURN.
IT IS GOING TO BE A VERY
GRADUAL PAINFUL TURN.
IT IS THAT TURN THAT HAS
EVERYONE PERPLEXED.
EVERYONE PERPLEXED. AS TO WHERE IT WILL GO.
WE WILL GIVE YOU OUR BEST
EDUCATED GUESS 4@SHORTLY.
>>> THE FOLKS WERE WATCHING
RIGHT NOW SEE THE STORM SYSTEM.
THE GANG AT THE DYNAMICS IT IS
ONLY MOVING AT 13 MILES PER
HOUR.
HOUR.
HOUR. WHY
HOUR. WHY WOULD 4@THE GOVERNOR ISSUE4
ORDERS FOR EVACUATION4@ ARE THO
EIGHT COUNTIES ALONG THE COAST
TO DATE WITH THE STORM THAT TO
MOST PEOPLE LOOKS LIKE IT IS
MOVING SLOWLY.
MOVING SLOWLY. ?
?
? >>
? >> THEY
? >> THEY HAVE BEEN ISSUED THE
FIRST HURRICANE WATCH OR
WARNING.
WARNING.
WARNING. NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS TO THIS
POINT.
POINT.
POINT. THAT IS BECAUSE TODAY WE LIVE
IN A SITUATION4@4@ WHERE WE NOW
HAVE MORE THAN 1 MILLION PEOPLE
WHO LIVE ALONG THE COAST.
THE ESTIMATES ARE IT TAKES 60
HOUR4@S TO EVACUATE CHARLESTON.
IF YOU 4@EVACUATE CHARLESTON YO
CAN'T4@ BASE THAT TIME ON WHEN
THE STORM 4@IS GOING TO ARRIVE.
CAN'T4@ BASE THAT TIME ON WHEN THE STORM 4@IS GOING TO ARRIVE.@
YOU HAVE TO BASE IT ON WHEN4@ T
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
GOING TO ARRIVE.
AND THOSE COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY
AS THURSDAY MORNING. 4@
BACKTRACKED THAT THE CLOCK IS
TICKING.
TICKING.
TICKING. IT IS 60 HOURS AWAY.
>>>4@ I WOULD LIKE TO DRAW A
COMPARISON TO A STORM THAT A
LOT OF PEOPLE IN THE MIDLANDS
KNOW ABOUT 1989 HURRICANE HUGO.
A LOT OF PEOPLE HAVE SAID THIS
WILL BE LIKE YOU GO.
TAKING THE SAME TRACK.
THAT IS REALLY NOT TRUE.
>> IT IS NOT TRUE.
THIS IS NOTHING LIKE HURRICANE
HUGO.
HUGO.
HUGO. IN
HUGO. IN FACT WHAT IS SO UNUSUAL
ABOUT THE STORM IS WHERE IT IS.
A HURRICANE HAS NEVER HIT THE
U.S.4@ SO THIS IS A VERY UNUSUA
SITUATION.
SITUATION. >>>4@ TALKING ABOUT TH4@E FACT
IS ONLY MOVING 13 MILES PER
HOUR.4@
HOUR.4@
HOUR.4@ WE ARE EVACUATING IN SCHOOLS
ARE CLOSE.
ARE CLOSE. WE HAVE SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN.
OUR PHONE STARTED BLOWING UP
THIS AFTERNOON AS PEOPLE WERE
REALIZING THAT SCHOOL WAS
CANCELED FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK IN MOST 4@PLACES.
WE NEED OUR PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN
SOUTH CAROLINA -- 4@IN THE
MIDLANDS FOR SHELTERS.
>>>4@ AND WE NEED TO SCHOOL
BUSES.
BUSES.
BUSES. IF
BUSES. IF THERE ARE GOING TO BE 4@
SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF
EVACUATIONS THERE IS GOING TO
NEED TO BE TRANSPORTATION.
I THINK THE SCHOOL BUSES ARE
BEING COUNTED ON FOR SOME OF
THAT TRANSPORTATION.
THAT TRANSPORTATION. >>> THE GOVERNOR MENTIONED
EARLIER A LOT OF PEOPLE WON'T
BE HAPPY ABOUT THE MANDATORY
EVACUATIONS.
EVACUATIONS. HE WOULD RATHER BE SAFE THAN
SORRY.
SORRY.
SORRY. AT
SORRY. AT THE END OF THE DAY HE
DOESN'T WANT ANYONE TO LOSE
THEIR LIVES.
THEIR LIVES. >> I SYMPATHIZE WITH THE
SITUATION.
SITUATION. EVERYTHING 4@IS TELLING US AT T
MOMENT 4@THE LIKELIHOOD IS NORT
CAROLINA.
CAROLINA.
CAROLINA. BUT4@ THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE
IT MIGHT HIT 4@SOUTH CAROLINA.
AND YOU CANNOT WAIT UNTIL YOU
ARE CERTAIN TO DO WHAT HE IS
HAVING TO DO.
HE HAS 4@TO START NOW EVEN TH4@
THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR
WARNINGS.
WARNINGS.
WARNINGS. >> EVEN IF THERE IS A 4@NORTH
CAROLINA LANDFALL.
CAROLINA LANDFALL. THERE COULD STILL BE A REAL
IMPACT IN THE MIDLANDS.>>>4@
THERE ARE GOING TO BE IMPACTS.
NO MATTER WHERE THE STORM HITS.
BECAUSE IN THE CASE OF NORTH 4@
CAROLINA IF IT COMES IN THERE
THAT IS WHERE THE FOCUS OF THE
RAIN 4@WILL4@ BE. 4@
THIS SYSTEM IS GOING TO BE
SLOWING DOWN AND YOU WILL SEE
THIS WHEN WE GET TO THE
FORECAST.
FORECAST.
FORECAST. IT IS 4@GOING TO BE SLOWING DOW
IT WILL BE DUMPING A LOT OF
RAIN.
RAIN.
RAIN. WHERE IS THAT WATER GOING TO GO@
WILL GO4@ INTO THE RIVERS.
THOSE RIVERS FLOW INTO SOUTH
CAROLINA.4@
CAROLINA.4@ WE SAW A GOOD EXAMPLE OF THOSE
IN 2016 WITH NICHOLS.
NICHOLS WAS HIT BY A LOT OF
RAIN.
RAIN.
RAIN. IT
RAIN. IT WAS EVEN HEAVIER IN NORTH
CAROLINA.4@
CAROLINA.4@ ALL OF THAT CAME DOWN INTO
SOUTH CAROLINA.
SOUTH CAROLINA. AND CREATED A REAL MESS.
>> I WAS TWEETING OUT SOME OF 4@
YOUR STUFF TODAY.
I GOT SOME QUESTIONS FROM
VIEWERS ABOUT THE CONE OF
UNCERTAINTY.
UNCERTAINTY. SOMETHING WE TALK ABOUT DRINK
TIMES LIKE THIS.
CAN YOU EXPLAIN4@ WHAT THE CONE
OF UNCERTAINTY MEANS 4@AND WHY
IS IMPORTANT?
IS IMPORTANT? >> THERE IS A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF
IS IMPORTANT? >> THERE IS A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF@
ERROR IN FORECAST.
THIS CONE THAT YOU SEE THERE IS
A 67% OPERABILITY.
THAT THE HURRICANE WILL MAKE
LANDFALL AND THAT --4@
PROBABILITY.
PROBABILITY. 67% PROBABIL4@ITY.4@
67% PROBABIL4@ITY.4@ THERE IS ALSO A 33% CHANCE IT
WILL BE OUTSIDE OF 4@THAT CONE.
WITH A STORM OF THIS MAGNITUDE
YOU HAVE TO BE 4@100% CORRECT.4
AND SO THE GOVERNOR DOESN'T
HAVE A CHOICE.
HE HAS TO GO BECAUSE YES THE
STORM MICHAEL TOLD NORTH
CAROLINA.
CAROLINA.
CAROLINA. THIS MIGHT MIGHT GO. 4@
IN EVACUATIONS YOU HAVE TO BEAT
100% CORRECT.
100% CORRECT. THERE IS NO MARGIN FOR ERRORS.
>>> YOU HAVE BEEN A
METEOROLOGIST FOR 40 YEARS.
DOES THIS REMIND YOU OF
ANYTHING TO HAVE SEEN IN THE
PAST?
PAST?
PAST? WE
PAST? WE HAVE DISCOUNTED HUGO.>>> IT
COULD BE4@4@ -- THE MOST POWERF
HURRICANE TO HIT NORTH CAROLINA
HAS BEEN HURRICANE HAZEL.
THIS ONE COULD BE WORSE THAN
THAT.4@
THAT.4@
THAT.4@ WHAT I WANT TO CAUTION PEOPLE.
YOU WILL SEE FLUCTUATIONS4@ IN
INTENSITY.
INTENSITY. IT MIGHT GO4@ UP TO 155 MOUNT -
FOR HOURS.4@
FOR HOURS.4@ AND THEN JUMP BACK UP TO 4@145
MILES PER HOUR.
THAT IS THE NATURE OF THE BEAST.
4@WE ARE THREE DAYS AWAY FROM
LANDFALL.
LANDFALL.
LANDFALL. IT IS EXTREMELY DIFFICULT FOR A
HURRICANE TO MAINTAIN THIS
INTENSITY FOR THAT LONG. 4@
THE ATMOSPHERE THERE IS A
TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF WORK OWING
INTO THE ATMOSPHERE MAINTAINING
HIS STRENGTH.
HIS STRENGTH. AND IS SOLD THERE WILL BE
FLUCTUATIONS.
FLUCTUATIONS. THERE WILL BE FLUCTUATIONS IN
THE 4@FORWARD SPEED.4@
IT WILL BE APPROACHING THE
COAST FASTER THAN IT WILL BE
GOING WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL.
>>> IT WILL SLOW DOWN.
THAT IS A SCARY THOUGHT.
WE SAW WHAT HAPPENED IN
HURRICANE HARVEY.
HURRICANE HARVEY. LAST YEAR.
LAST YEAR. WHEN A STORM MAKES LANDFALL AND
SLOWS DOWN.
SLOWS DOWN.