last week a transcript of the short
message Communications Between the Ocean
Gate Titan submarine and his ocean
surface support vessel polar Prince was
released by several tick talkers and
also a Pakistani educational YouTube
channel now we can't confirm its
authenticity and the internet seems to
be divided some people think it's
authentic some people think it's fake
because the regular news hasn't
mentioned it yet so let's do a deep dive
on this transcript and see what it tells
us and we'll decide whether this is
authentic or not now you guys know me as
an engineer when I do these types of
engineering failure analysis for you I
like to base it on you know hard facts
evidence photographs you know
engineering reports contracts whatever
building permits I'm going to give it
just a little Indulgence and we'll see
and I'll tell you why and the critics
are going to come in here and say you
shouldn't be guessing and telling people
this that and the other and blah blah
blah but you know what don't tell me
that both you and me haven't at some
point here put ourselves inside that sub
and tried to figure out what was going
on let our imaginations run wild this
transcript comes the closest to the
scenarios that I think actually happen
and it seems to line up with the
timestamps and everything let's take a
look and let's see and you let us know
in the comments what you think after
seeing this so let's start at the
beginning of the transcript and remember
this is an unconfirmed transcript so I'm
going to keep telling you this
throughout this video and green will be
the polar prints which is the top and
the sub will be in yellow so our very
first time stamp is at 752 and the top
says clear for descent enjoy the ride
the sub says descending Now launch
sequence complete ready and the tops is
all clear and then they say proceedings
so at 801 a.m the Ocean Gate Titan
submarine begin its descent downward
towards the Titanic shipwreck and then
the top side said enjoyed the dive
gentlemen so next here at 819 about 20
minutes later the top side says you're
15 minutes into the dive current depth
system check please and the sub reports
back a minute or so later system check
complete all in order all lights are
green we are 756 proceeding and now this
is where I added my note here that I
think they're going too fast and we'll
talk about that in a second this could
even mean that they're at 756 meters or
that they are at 75.6 meters and I doubt
they're at 75.6 that would be way too
shallow for the amount of time they've
been on the water anyway the top side
says thank you proceed and then about 34
minutes into the trip the top side says
you're 30 minutes in update please and 8
34 again this is almost a minute later
the sub says all systems are functioning
normally we're in good shape continuing
our descent as planned so it looks like
everything's going fine everybody's
happy but let me point something out to
you here at this point this is the
Titanic is at 3 800 meters and this is
why I think they're going too fast The
Descent time is two and a half hours to
get down there that's what James Cameron
has done many times and this is what it
says on Ocean Gate's website so at that
rate you're doing 3 800 meters divided
by 2.5 hours which means you're going at
1520 meters per hour and if you put that
into minutes now you divide that by 60
your average speed here should be
25.33 meters per minute so just keep
that speed in mind that's how fast they
should be going so when I take that last
time stamp where they checked in it said
that they're at 756. here's what Titan's
depth should be at that point in time it
should be 20 minutes in right here times
25 meters per minute which gives you 532
meters that should be their depth right
now they're at 756 meters and they
should not be that deep so I am
concluding at this point that the Titan
sub is descending too fast this is
implying that this is the authentic
transcript now if this was fake and
somebody would just made up numbers then
they might have been wrong and didn't do
their math right like I did right here
okay so moving on on the transcript
we're now 36 minutes into the trip and
the top says superb proceed and at 8 49
they say over the 45 minute Mark current
depth and confirmed status now the sub
replies back about two minutes later
here the sub depth is at 1934 all
systems stable and The Descent is
continuing as planned happy crew and
then the top side says excellent and
then about almost 10 minutes later they
say you're at the hour mark and the
submarine says all is smooth and sailing
here and the sub says all the smooth
sailing here what I want to look at here
is this 1934 depth let's do a little
math check on it so here here it is
again just repeated for you in the time
stamp in the 1934 depth Titan's depth
should be at this point in time 51
minutes times
25.33 meters per minute
1292 meters is where they should be
where are they they're at 1934 meters so
they're descending too fast again at
this particular point in time based on
my estimate and so now here at 9 15
about 15 minutes later it says you are
at 75 minutes depth do you need to
adjust velocity and the sub reports back
all under control at 29.60 no
adjustments needed we're enjoying the
ride and the top says understood so now
let's analyze these numbers so when I
look at these numbers here here it is
repeated for you 29.60 the Titans depth
should be we're at 77 minutes times
25.33 meters and we end up with 1950
meters they should not be at 29 60
meters remember if these guys are
basically halfway through the trip and
they're already three quarters of the
way down and I think here the sub is
just still descending too fast now here
is our first sign of trouble folks for
the Titan submarine it occurs at 9 28
a.m with this message on the time stamp
the sub says we're noting an alarm from
the RTM and then about 20 seconds later
they type in reducing velocity descent
depth is at 34.33 right now so let's go
take a look just real quick quickly at
this and check this depth and the
Titan's depth should be at this point
we're 88 Minutes in so it should be 88
minutes times
25.33 meters which is 22 29 meters that
should be how deep they are but instead
they're at 34 33 meters they're 1200
meters deeper than expected based on all
of the normal estimates based on my map
and so now the Ocean Gate Titan sub is
an hour early they're 400 meters from
the Titanic shipwreck site and again I'm
telling you that the sub is descending
too fast now I showed you this in my
previous video here on the Titan
submarine disaster this is the scale and
the distance that they probably were
from the Titanic including how far off
to the side because they found them
about five or six hundred yards away I
believe so they probably got around at
this point now they would not have been
able to see this because it's pitch dark
down there and you can only see the
Titanic once you're right up close to it
and you turn your big bright lights on
they ride down on the dark but this is
the vantage point of where they were
sitting when they had to turn around and
go back up they were this close for
those of you not familiar RTM stands for
real-time monitoring system now Ocean
Gate had boasted about this on Instagram
a few years ago about how it the system
would detect their Hull defects with
Incredible accuracy and will before the
safety of the crew is threatened and
here's their post on Instagram right
here and it says this real-time
monitoring system samples sound waves
through the hole many times per second
providing incredible accuracy in
allowing us to assess the health of the
hull during the dive it says right here
which is ironic that our extensive
testing and out of many researchers over
the last 20 years has shown that
increased acoustic activity always
occurs well before the structure fails I
guess that wasn't the case here in this
particular disaster what a shame so
anyway now I've changed everything from
the sub to be read since they are in
crisis mode so now the top says
understood do you need to ascend so the
sub replies back with no change with
thrust the rate of descent is increasing
at 35 now going to release the ballast
now and the top says yes agree release
the ballast and the sub says no
improvement preparing to jettison the
frame so something's happening they've
got too much weight apparently and it's
not slowing them down so now they have
to ditch this I believe is what they
were getting rid of is the frame and the
top says affirmative update when able
RTM indicator status so they're asking
them again to tell them what that
real-time monitoring system is telling
them and about almost three minutes
later the sub replies back with the
frame jettisoned multiple attempts
needed but starting the ascent now so it
looks like they're going up now and
apparently from other reports that we've
seen is from the reports we've seen they
have to line everybody up on one side of
the submersible which is strange to drop
the ballast weights I don't know if they
had to do the same thing here for this
too but it looks like something wasn't
going right at first and they it took
them several tries so now the top side
here is surprised when they write what
you know multiple attempts what is your
status RTM indicators in depth they
didn't get an answer and a minute later
the top side comes back again it says
update please enable and then finally
here's the really ominous text from the
sub it says crackling sound at F and
that means they back on the back side of
the sub over here is where they heard
some type of crackling they're not
really sure where it's in the F but
remember they're sitting in here and
there's probably a walled off section in
here that has all the equipment that
they can't see because it's behind the
wall and so who knows what was going on
back in there and then the top side
replies back with can you identify the
source question mark and RTM indicators
so this is probably the third or fourth
time they've asked them to give the RTM
indicators and the sub hasn't given that
yet now the sub just writes snake so
really short tertially worded same with
backup here at this one you'll notice
they've ditched a lot of the punctuation
so that says to me that they're in some
type of panic mode and they're just
trying to do things as fast as they can
they're just typing with few words as
possible now and then again the top side
asks for the RTM status about four
minutes later after numerous attempts as
you can see asking them and the sub
finally replies back two minutes later
trying to run Diagnostics ascending now
but very slow sounds have subsided
Global RTM alert active all red now when
they say all red I don't know how many
LEDs they have do they have one for
every sensor he supposedly has a at
least I thought I read a report
somewhere that there was like 20
centuries does that mean there's 20 LED
lights we don't know this does not sound
good especially where it says the sounds
are subsided you think oh that sounds
like good news but this to me Global RTM
alert active all red so that doesn't
sound good I would be just shaking in my
boots at this point okay so now the top
side replies back with understood any
codes question mark you know depth
Ascent rate and they didn't get an
answer back so they say updates when
able please then finally the sub replies
back it says slow Ascent in progress
quarter predicted unclear why rate is
small no indicator and they're at 34.76
so as we recall they got as low as 35
okay so pay attention to this number
because here they are at 34.76 and
remember so they were at 3 500 meters
before they started the ascent so
they've only gone it looks like about 24
or so meters here and now at 9 44 the
top comes back here and it says we're
talking it over with the engineer
standby so they're trying to figure out
why the rate of ascent is too small
going up and they're probably trying to
figure out what's going on with these
thrusters here and so now at 9 45 11
there the top says depth and status
please they want to know what's going on
what's the wattage on the upwards thrust
and the sub replies back here at 9 46 37
reading red on the a power bus I
switched to B at 34 or 57 meters and
more sounds aft so this is sounding
really bad so the hearing the sounds
again the a power bus has already gone
out which means the battery was probably
compromised or something there so they
switched over to the backup which is b
as you see down here so here's what is
alarming to me look at their depths
right here 34 57 meters about three
minutes ago they were up here at 34.76
meters so the Ocean Gate Titan Submarine
by this point in time has only gone
about 20 meters in three minutes that's
60 feet in three minutes that's way slow
so something was definitely going on
looks like they were desperately losing
power their power systems were failing I
am wondering if somehow water leaked
into the back of the now we know that a
lot of experts will tell us okay if a
little even a pinhole of water gets in
there it's going to send like a laser
beam of water in there that'll slice
your arm off which is true but these
guys are sitting in here and it may have
started real small in there in the back
as maybe a void maybe enough voids or
stress on the carbon fiber would allow
just enough water to start collecting in
the back end there and maybe weigh
things down we don't know so let us know
down in the comments below what you
think about that so now at 9 47 the top
says understood continuous scent talking
to Carlos about the power bus situation
right now and then they come back about
a minute later and they say we're
activating recovering procedures Carlos
is requesting wattage output from bus B
status update please velocity of ascent
and then a minute later they say top
we're not receiving you update please
and then another minute after that they
say status and have to report so notice
who's doing all of the communication
here this is on the green this is the
top side this is the polar Prince doing
all of the talking so this is why I
think by now the sub has already
imploded so when do you think it
imploded well if we go back to here look
at this time stamp 946 37 was their last
transmitted message up to the boat not
even a minute later they're not getting
a response so I'm going to call it at 9
47 that it probably happened right
before these guys sent this message that
that would be probably a reasonable time
to expect that that's when it happened
and remember all the news reports say
that they lost contact at about 9 45 in
the morning so this is not too far off
the last message from the Titan
submarine to the boat would be this if
this is the original and authentic
transcript and it says right here
reading read on the a power bus I
switched to B at 34 57 meters more
sounds aft and from all the rest is
history we know what happened there so
if we look here according to these time
stamps the duration of the Titan
sub-disaster it started at 9 28 16 and I
called it at 9 47 so it looks like the
crew had nearly 19 minutes where they
were in panic mode and managing the
emergency so this is totally scary I
have run this scenario through my brain
just numerous times since day one and I
kept trying to put myself in that sub
and going what do you think they were
going through what would I be feeling
what would I be seeing and it's just so
scary to know that these guys spent 20
minutes in in fear of their lives and
you can bet that Stockton Rush was
probably trying to calm them down going
listen guys no no I've got the patent on
this system here it gives us hours of
notice we'll have plenty of time to get
this submersible back up to the surface
and we'll be having drinks in no time
but of course it didn't turn out that
way everybody on the Internet is arguing
over whether this is an authentic
transcript or not and some are saying
well this wasn't released officially so
this is probably fake news how do we
know this is real how could anybody you
have gotten their hands on it well
remember the submersible Community is a
very tight knit Community man and so
somebody could have sent a copy to James
Cameron he said he knew the day after
that something was wrong he knew that
they had dropped ballast he knew they
were at 3 500 meters how did he know
somebody probably sent him a copy of the
transcript take a look at this tell us
what you think you know Robert McCallum
somebody might have sent it to him as
well to look at you know there was a lot
of people working on that boat and they
could have sent it to friends and
advisors to have them take a look at it
and get their opinion as well so it
doesn't take long for stuff to start
circulating around you just never know
but we'll never know for sure until the
officials released the transcript later
on and also make sure you binge watch
the other videos that I've uploaded here
on the Titanic disaster and make sure
you check out some of our other disaster
videos
and also on this channel we cover tours
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Lowe's and even Costco showing you what
the latest greatest big deals are there
so thank you so much for joining us
today folks and we'll see all of you on
the next one we have plenty more to come