THAT APPEARS TO UNDERCUT REPUBLICANS CLAIM THAT THERE WAS
NO QUID PRO QUO BETWEEN
PRESIDENT TRUMP AND UKRAINE.
BUT FIRST, THAT POLL NOW THE NEW
HAMPSHIRE, ACCORDING TO THE
FIRST QUINNIACPIAC FOR THE STATE
LIZ WARREN IS AT 16%, PETE
BUTTIGIEG IS AT 15%, BERNIE
SANDERS HAS 14% SUPPORT.
IS REFLECTIVE OF THE "Q" POLL WE
SAW LAST WEEK IN THE STATE OF
IOWA WHERE WE HAD THIS CLUSTER,
THE ORDER WAS A LITTLE
DIFFERENT, OBVIOUSLY.
DIFFERENT, OBVIOUSLY. JOE BIDEN WAS DOWN IN FOURTH IN
THAT STATE.
THAT STATE. BUT ALL WITHIN THIS GROUP OF
FOUR, ALL WITHIN FOUR OR FIVE
POINTS OF EACH OTHER IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE JUST LIKE THEY WERE IN
IOWA LAST WEEK.
>> THERE’S SO MANY THINGS TO
LOOK AT THERE, WILLIE.
FIRST OF ALL, JOE BIDEN DOESN’T
LOOK QUITE SO WEAK SITTING AT
20% ATOP THE FIELD IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE.
HAMPSHIRE. WE HAD SEEN SOME POLLS THAT HAD
ELIZABETH WARREN GOING PAST.
BUT, YOU KNOW, SEVERAL THINGS
STAND OUT.
STAND OUT. PLEASE EXCUSE ME.
SEVERAL THINGS STAND OUT THERE.
ONE, JOE BIDEN SORT OF
MAINTAINED HIS FOOTING.
TWO, ELIZABETH WARREN HAD AN
UPWARD ARC THAT REALLY SHE
WAS --
WAS -- >> INCREDIBLE CAMPAIGN.
>> -- MOVING FORWARD.
SHE’S RUN A GREAT CAMPAIGN.
REALLY DONE ALL OF THE BLOCKING
AND TACKLING, RIGHT, THAT YOU’D
WANT OF THIS CAMPAIGN.
BUT RIGHT NOW THAT MOMENTUM AT
LEAST FOR NOW SEEMS TO HAVE HIT
A CEILING.
A CEILING. AND THEN YOU’VE GOT MAYOR PETE
IN THIRD PLACE RIGHT THERE.
HE’S RIGHT THERE IN IOWA.
MAYOR PETE’S RIGHT THERE IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE.
HAMPSHIRE. SUDDENLY, WELL, A LOT OF THINGS
HAPPENING HERE.
HAPPENING HERE. IT IS JUST AN ABSOLUTE FREE FOR
ALL, THAT SEEMS TO BE VERY GOOD
NEWS FOR MAYOR PETE.
IT ALSO SEEMS TO BE AT LEAST FOR
TODAY GOOD NEWS FOR JOE BIDEN
THAT AT LEAST IN THIS ONE POLL
HE IS MAINTAINING A LEAD, EVEN
THOUGH IT’S A VERY SMALL LEAD.
>> YEAH.
>> YEAH. SO, EDDIE, I WOULD ASK YOU, LIKE
THE IOWA POLL POLL,, THERE’S A H
GROUP OF VOTERS THAT HAVE NOT
MADE UP THEIR MIND.
61% SAY THEY COULD CHANGE THEIR
MIND WHICH LEAVES ROOM FOR
PEOPLE TO SHAPE OF MINDS OF
VOTERS.
VOTERS. BUT ALSO PEOPLE LIKE WHO PETE
BUTTIGIEG WHO THE COUNTRY IN
THOSE STATES DON’T KNOW HE’S
WELL TO MAKE SOME MOVES THERE.
BUT WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CLUSTER
AT THE TOP, ELIZABETH WARREN IS
SITTING WITHIN THE MARGIN OF
ERROR.
ERROR. BERNIE SANDERS WELL KNOWN UP
THERE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
WHAT DO YOU SEE IN THE POLL
NUMBERS?
NUMBERS? >> WHEN I LOOK AT THE POLL
NUMBERS I MAKE THE DISTINCTION
NOT SO MUCH AROUND INDIVIDUAL
CANDIDATES, BUT THE FISSURE THA
WITHIN THE COUNTRY.
YOU SEE THE DEBATE.
WHERE DO WE GO?
DO WE REACH FOR A MUCH MORE
RADICAL CHANGE?
RADICAL CHANGE? A MUCH MORE POPULOUS MOVE?
OR DO WE DOUBLE DOWN ON WHAT WE
HAD BEFORE?
HAD BEFORE? THAT DEBATE, TO MY MIND, IS
EVIDENT TO THOSE NUMBERS.
FACT THAT 61% OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
VOTERS ARE UNDECIDED SUGGESTS TO
ME THAT THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A
DECISION WHERE THEY’RE GOING TO
FALL IN THAT DIVIDE.
>> AND WE’VE GOT A BUNCH OF TIME
TO MAKE THAT DECISION.
MEANWHILE, MORE THAN HALF OF NEW
HAMPSHIRE’S DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
VOTERS SAY THEY WOULD NOT
CONSIDER BACKING MAYOR MIKE
BLOOMBERG IF HE WERE TO RUN.
54% ACCORDING TO THE LATEST
QUINNIPIAC POLL.
QUINNIPIAC POLL. 37% SAID THEY WOULD CONSIDER
VOTING FOR HIM.
JUST 2% SAID I WOULD DEFINITELY
VOTE FOR HIM.
MAYOR BLOOMBERG ALSO THE SECOND
CHOICE AMONG 9% OF BIDEN VOTERS,
2% OF BUTTIGIEG SUPPORTERS, 1%
OF WARREN’S AND NONE OF SANDERS.
YOU HAVE SOME EVIDENCE WHERE
BLOOMBERG SAID HE’S GOING TO
SKIP THOSE FIRST FOUR STATES
WITH EYES ON SUPER TUESDAY.
>> STEVE RATTNER, WE NEED TO LET
EVERYBODY KNOW WHEN YOU’RE NOT
MANAGING WILLIE AND MY DOG TRACK
EARNINGS.
EARNINGS. >> OH, YES.
>> YEAH, AND SCRATCHOFF-OFF
TICKETS, THAT’S ENOUGH TO KEEP
ANY MAN OR WOMAN BUSY, THAT
YOU’RE ALSO MANAGING MICHAEL
BLOOMBERG’S MONEY.
BLOOMBERG’S MONEY. WE’RE FINE WITH THAT AS LONG AS
IT DOESN’T GET IN THE WAY OF
YOUR PRIMARY JOB WITH US.
BUT, YOU KNOW, YOU LOOK AT THIS
DATA FROM NEW HAMPSHIRE, LOOK AT
A LOT OF OTHER DATA OUT THERE,
AND I DON’T KNOW THAT -- I MEAN,
YOU KNOW, THE FAMOUS SAYING, IN
GOD WE TRUST ALL OTHERS PROVIDE
DATA.
DATA. THAT DOESN’T REALLY APPLY TO
POLITICS, DOES IT?
MICHAEL BLOOMBERG’S ALWAYS
LOOKING FOR DATA.
DATA DID NOT SUPPORT DONALD
TRUMP’S RISE TO THE WHITE HOUSE
AND IT HASN’T SUPPORTED OTHER
PEOPLE’S RISE TO THE WHITE
HOUSE.
HOUSE. IS THERE A CHANCE THAT HE MAY
RUN THIS RACE EVEN IF THE
NUMBERS DON’T SEEM TO SUPPORT
HIM UP FRONT?
>> WELL, YES, YOU’RE RIGHT, ONE
OF MIKE BLOOMBERG’S PHRASES IS
IN DPOD WE TRUSTGOD WE TRUST ALL
BRINGS DATA.
BRINGS DATA. IT’S A PROCESS FOR HIM TO LOOK
AT POLITICS, WHILE THERE’S LOTS
AND LOTS OF DATA YOU CAN’T
DEPEND ON IT AND EVEN IF YOU DID
DEPEND ON IT SO MUCH OF IT COULD
CHANGE.
CHANGE. HE’S BEEN THROUGH THIS THREE
TIMES BEFORE.
TIMES BEFORE. HE WAS ELECTED MAYOR THREE TIMES
IN NEW YORK, IN THE FIRST CASE
CERTAINLY WITH EVERYBODY SAYING
THIS WAS IMPOSSIBLE AND THAT WAS
CRAZY.
CRAZY. SO THIS IS NOT HIS FIRST RODEO
WHEN IT COMES TO DECIDING
WHETHER TO ENTER A POLITICAL
RACE WITHOUT A LOT OF TANGIBLE
SUPPORT TO SAY THAT HIS CHANCES
ARE VERY, VERY HIGH.
AND, OF COURSE, THAT’S TRUE OF
VIRTUALLY EVERYBODY WHO ENTERS A
POLITICAL RACE.
POLITICAL RACE. VERY FEW PEOPLE ENTER WITH ANY
REAL CONFIDENCE OR CONVICTION