Thanks so much for logging on to
wsa9.com to check out your forecast.
Happy New Year to everyone. 2022 is here
and Mother Nature trying to play some
games with us. The weather is wild.
Temperatures near record warmth in some
locations were in the upper 60s to near
70 in some spots and we're going to keep
it quite mild into your Sunday as well.
It's also wet and we're also tracking a
potential coastal storm Monday that could
bring DC its first accumulating snowfall.
In awhile stay tuned we have
a lot to track here.
Over the next 24 to 48 hours
rain tonight and early Sunday.
Watching that coastal potential and
depending on the track will determine
what kind of precip we get and
whether we get any precip at all.
So let's talk about the upcoming
pattern and what might happen.
So according to the European forecast model,
which is a pretty good model,
and we're leaning towards this track here,
we're going to Sunday.
We're slowly drying out then
that coastal load.
Begins to develop to our South.
Snow develops across the Eastern Shore
South Down towards Fredericksburg and
look how close that Snow gets to DC.
Right on the edge areas north of DC.
See nothing.
That's according to the European forecast
model and then the Eastern Shore could
get a couple inches or so of some snow.
The GFS model.
This model is actually been more
consistent than the European model,
but it's not as good usually,
but sometimes it beats the European model.
So we have to pay attention to it.
A few showers as we head through
Saturday afternoon or Sunday afternoon.
Excuse me.
And then Sunday night,
that low pressure develops.
It strengthens and look how far
north the snow gets on the GFS model.
Almost to the Maryland Pennsylvania line.
So the DC metro in moderate
snow just South of DC.
Heavy snow rained a start on the Eastern
Shore and then everyone switches to snow,
including the Eastern Shore.
DC Metro gets in on that heavy snow
as we head into Monday morning.
So a very snowy Monday morning commute.
According to the GFS,
how much snow well this is?
What the European forecast
model is showing .1, that's it.
1/10 of an inch that is technically
measurable snowfall, though in DC,
so pretty much nothing but look
at the eastern shores.
You head towards the beaches,
could be getting close to
three to five inches of snow.
That's a European model.
The GFS shows much much more,
so we have a lot to track here.
Over the next few days.
Forecast models continue to waver.
Things continue to change,
so we'll adjust our forecast.
As we have to so keep it tuned
to WSA 9 temperatures,
though not cold enough for snow.
Right now we're in the 60s.
In most spots,
getting close to 70 as you head
South Down I-95 temperatures
the next few days starting to
feel more like winter on Monday.
Only in the 30s.
That's when we could have some morning snow,
so again,
stay tuned and then
temperatures moderate a little
bit through the week but still
chilly with highs in the 40s and 50s.
Radar does show a lot of rain to our West.
We have flood warnings.
Flash flood warnings in West Virginia.
As we zoom in on DC, though no rain.
Right now, we've been drive through
the second half of your Saturday,
but more rain to our West is going to
be heading in overnight tonight and
this is what futurecast is showing.
You can see that rain overspreading tonight,
maybe some moderate to heavy
rain down towards Fredericksburg,
but then it quickly gets out of here.
We dry out by your Sunday afternoon
but we keep it cloudy and mild.
Temperatures will be in the 60s
once again and then futurecast.
This is our in-house computer model.
This is not the European and
this is not the GFS.
That I showed you earlier,
this is a different forecast model.
This has snow similar to
what the European has.
Getting close to DC, but not quite.
This will be more of an Eastern Shore snow
system according to this forecast model.
So again a lot to discuss and
a lot to analyze here,
but my gut is saying this will
be mostly a South of DC system,
but things could change and then the
sun comes out quickly late Monday.
Tomorrow very warm, well above average,
mid 60s with morning rain and then cloudy.
Through the rest of the day,
we're talking highs near 66 in
DC Dale City 66 Laurel.
64 for Sunday.
Alright,
your Sunday or your forecast for
your 7 day forecast chilly by
Tuesday 50 on Wednesday and then
we could be tracking another system
that could bring us rain and snow
Thursday into Friday.
So it seems like 2022 is turning
active and potentially wintry.