From News 19, I'm meteorologist Daniel Bonds.
Temperature has been running above normal
so far for the month of January, and so
that would entail the whole year so far.
At least 11 days into the year,
67 degrees yesterday.
We haven't had any rain since Wednesday.
January 4th will pick up
66 hundredths of an inch.
That will likely change later today
as showers and thunderstorms will be
moving into the Midlands 10 years ago.
Hard to believe 10 years ago was 2013,
but ten years ago we did pick up.
Some very warm conditions, 82 degrees,
I don't guess we picked it up.
We made it up to 82 record lows, 11 set 1981.
We did pick up over an inch of snow in 1968,
so very warm conditions today.
Showers and thunderstorms developing
in the afternoon and evening hours.
We'll go anywhere from about
four to maybe 8:00 o'clock.
Main time frame may last a little
bit later into the evening,
but as of right now, 4 to 8,
possibly a little bit later.
This particular forecast model brings
the activity later into the Midlands.
Organic can kind of vary an
hour or two here or there,
but here's 4:00 o'clock.
Here's 5:00 o'clock.
Showers and thunderstorms start to
move into portions of the Midlands and
the Palmetto State and notice a pretty
good line of storms there. 7 again.
Could it be a little bit earlier?
Of course. Could it be a little bit later?
It could be 8:00 o'clock.
That line starts to move through
the Central Midlands and continues
to move from West to east.
There's 9:00 o'clock.
And then as this line of main line
of storms kind of moves into the
low country of South Carolina,
it does weaken.
A little bit of rain will be kind of
lingering behind that main line of storms.
And then our weather does improve on Friday,
although it's going to be breezy on Friday.
With those winds coming out of the northwest,
we'll see anywhere from about 10 to 15 mph.
Bringing in some cooler air.
We are under a risk for severe weather.
Marginal risk for a large portion
of the Midlands, slight risk for.
Parts of Richland maybe a sliver of Richland,
Lexington, Saluda,
Newberry and parts of Fairfield County.
So what does that mean?
There will be that chance for
damaging wind gusts.
That appears to be the main
threat at this point.
Damaging wind gusts can't
totally rule out though.
Maybe an isolated tornado warning?
We'll have to watch that for the majority
of the Midlands and small chance for.
Large hail,
so the severe risk categories we're
talking about slight and marginal.
Slight means short lived and or not
widespread isolated intense storms
possible and that marginal risk
is a little bit lower than that
limited duration and our coverage
and intensity for those storms.
So slight risk in a marginal
risk for the Midlands.
So we're going to have the moisture,
we've got the lifting mechanism
in the form of a cold front.
We have plenty of wind shear.
The question right now will
we have the instability.
If we do get the instability.
Could be a busy afternoon.
No watches in place as of now.
But know the difference
between a watch and a warning.
Watch means conditions are favorable.
No where to go when severe weather hits.
So you do want to have a
plan if a watch is issued,
issued and you do want to have
multiple ways to receive those
weather watches and or warnings.
A warning means bad weather is
happening or likely happening.
Severe thunderstorm warning,
tornado warning if you'd
get a tornado warning,
you only get to the Lewis floor of your
house, away from windows and doors,
and be alert even when you
don't see danger outside.
Short term, no danger,
but temperature is going to be
warming up to spring like conditions.
Upper 60s,
low 70s could be even warmer for
at least portions of the Midlands
showers and thunderstorms likely
especially early this evening as
that cold front moves on through.
Our weather does improve
breezy conditions tomorrow.
Rise in the middle 50s,
so closer to normal for tomorrow.
We'll go about 50 degrees on Saturday,
Mid 50s on Sunday after morning,
low in the mid 20s,
so cold start to your Sunday and
then looking ahead towards them,
OK, holiday,
mid 50s,
a little bit of rain possible Tuesday and
then we're back up to about 70 on Wednesday.
And we're still expecting warmer
than normal conditions across most
of the South in our 8 to 14 day
temperature outlook that would include
January 19th through January 25th.