>> Dana: MIDTERM MANIA AS BOTH
PARTIES ARE WORKING TO GET
CONTROL OF CAPITOL HILL AFTER
NOVEMBER 37 -- 26 RACES ALL
MOVING IN FAVOR OF THE
DEMOCRATS.
LET'S BRING IN FORMER WHITE
HOUSE DEPUTY CHIEF OF STAFF KARL
ROVE.
LARRY SABATO DOESN'T TAKE THESE
THINGS LIGHTLY.
NEITHER DO YOU.
DO YOU THINK HE'S RIGHT IN
TRYING TO MAKE SOME OF THESE
PREDICTIONS THAT THE DEMOCRATS
LOOK IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE IN A
LOT OF DISTRICTS FOR THE HOUSE?
>> WELL, FIRST OF ALL, HE MOVED
ALL 26 RACES IN THE DIRECTION OF
THE DEMOCRATS.
LET'S BE A LITTLE BIT CAREFUL.
THERE WERE FIVE RACES THAT WERE
LEAN REPUBLICANS THAT HE MOVED
TO TOSSUP OUT OF THOSE 26.
THAT'S NOT A LOT.
DANGEROUS, YES, BUT NOT A LOT.
AND THEN HE HAD SIX THAT HE
MOVED FROM LIKELY REPUBLICAN TO
LEAD REPUBLICAN.
I DISAGREE WITH HIM ABOUT MOVING
SOME OF THESE.
THERE ARE 26 TOTAL.
BUT THE LIKELIHOOD IS THAT WE'RE
REALLY FOCUSED ON THESE FIVE AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT ON THESE.
THREE OF THEM IN THE MIDWEST,
TWO IN THE MID-ATLANTIC AND THE
NORTHEAST FOR THE REPUBLICANS.
AND THEN ON THE LANES, THREE IN
THE SOUTH, TWO IN THE MIDWEST
AND ONE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC
NORTHEAST.
NOW, I THINK IT MAY BE A LITTLE
OVERSTATED.
I WOULDN'T RING A LOT OF ALARM
BELLS ON THIS.
HE SORT OF TOOK THIS AS A CHANCE
TO THROW IT ALL OUT THERE.
FOR EXAMPLE, ONE OF THE THINGS
HE MOVES FROM LIKELY REPUBLICAN
TO -- EXCUSE ME.
FROM SOLID REPUBLICAN TO LIKELY
REPUBLICAN, IT'S THE SPEAKER'S
SEAT PAUL RYAN IN WISCONSIN.
ON THE BASIS THAT HE'S HEARD
CONVERSATION THAT RYAN MAY NOT
RUN BY NOVEMBER.
I FIND THAT HIGHLY UNLIKELY.
>> Dana: SPEAKER PAUL RYAN IS
RAISING A TON OF MONEY FOR THE
CONGRESSIONAL MEMBERS.
HE'S ALSO -- HE'S IN ATLANTA
TODAY AT HOME DEPOT WHERE HE IS
TOUTING THE TAX REFORM AND TAX
CUT, SO MAKING SURE TO GET THAT
MESSAGE OUT.
LET ME ASK YOU ABOUT SOMEBODY
ELSE.
THAT'S ELIZABETH WARREN.
APPARENTLY, SHE'S GOING TO GIVE
$5,000 TO EACH STATE, DEMOCRATIC
PARTY.
WHAT DO YOU THINK SHE'S TRYING
TO SIGNAL THERE?
THAT'S NOT A TON OF MONEY, BUT
IT'S CERTAINLY AN INVESTMENT.
>> SHE'S GOING TO GIVE OUT THAT
$250,000 PLUS.
SHE'S GOING TO DO SOME OTHER
THING.
THE GRAND TOTAL IS $365,000.
LET'S PUT THIS IN PER SPEBIVE.
IN THE LAST TWO YEARS, SHE'S
RAISED $12 MILLION AND SHE HAS
$14 MILLION IN THE BANK.
THOUGH SHE'S UP FOR ELECTION
THIS YEAR, SHE'S GOT PLENTY OF
MONEY TO RUN AND ABILITY TO
RAISE MORE.
SO I THINK THIS IS SORT OF BACK
TO THE FUTURE.
1966, RICHARD NIXON DECIDED TO
GET READY TO RUN FOR PRESIDENT
IN 1968 BY GOING AROUND THE
COUNTRY AND HELPING STATE
PARTIES AND CANDIDATES RAISE
MONEY AND CAMPAIGN ON BEHALF OF
THEIR CANDIDATES.
HE WAS DEFEATED FOR GOVERNOR IN
'62, DEFEATED FOR PRESIDENT IN
'60.
SINCE THAT TIME A LOT OF PEOPLE
HAVE TAKEN THAT MODEL AND
WORKING HARD TO HELP OTHERS IN
THEIR PARTY AS A WAY TO BEGIN
THEIR CANDIDACY.
I THINK THIS IS A CLEAR EVIDENCE
THAT ELIZABETH WARREN HAS HER
EYES ON 2020.
>> Dana: A QUICK WORD ON
VULNERABLE DEMOCRATS IN THE
SENATE LOOKING AS VULNERABLE AS
THEY WERE BEFORE, RIGHT?
>> YEAH.
BOY, GREAT POLL THIS MORNING.
PARTICULARLY IN THE FIVE STATES
THAT TRUMP WON BY DOUBLE DIGITS.
MONTANA, NORTH DAKOTA, INDIANA,
MISSOURI AND WEST VIRGINIA.
FOUR OF FIVE STATES THEY MATCHED
THE CITY DEMOCRAT AGAINST A
GENERIC REPUBLICAN.
ONLY IN MISSOURI DID THEY MATCH
MCHASKELL AGAINST JOSH HOLLY.
REPUBLICAN WERES WINNING IN ALL
THAT.
I THINK THAT'S INDICATIVE OF THE
PROBLEMS DEMOCRATS HAD.
NOT SINCE 1940 HAVE WE HAD AN
ELECTION IN WHICH THE PARTY
HOLDING THE WHITE HOUSE HAS HAD
SUCH FAVORABLE LANDSCAPE IN THE
SENATE.
>> Dana: ONLY YOU WOULD KNOW
THAT ABOUT 1914, KARL.
BUT WE APPRECIATE THAT.
>> I WENT THROUGH IT MYSELF.