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>> Katie: DEMOCRATS ARE BULL
OFFICIAL ON CHANCES IN 018.
ACCORDING TO THE HILL THEY
ARE BANKING ON THE
PRESIDENT'S APPROVAL
NUMBERS.
HISTORICALLY LOSES SEATS IN
THE MID TERMS AND WHAT THEY
SEE IS THE G.O.P.'S THIN
LEGISLATIVE RECORD.
MINORITY LEADER NANCY PELOSI
SAYS REPUBLICANS KNOW
THEY'RE GOING TO LOSE AND
YEAR SHOW THEY ARE GETTING
DESPERATE.
>> THEY ARE ACTING LIKE
PEOPLE WHO KNOW THAT THEIR
POWER IS SHORT LIVED.
THIS IS REALLY A BIG
OPENING, THE DOOR IS OPEN.
I THINK PROBABLY HIS NUMBERS
AND THE SUPPORT FOR THE TAX
DEMOCRATS THAT HAVE A RECORD
TO RUN ON.
>> LET'S LOOK AT THE RECORDS
RECORD OF REPUBLICANS
UNEMPLOYMENT 17 YEAR LOW.
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT
RECORD HIGH.
YOU LOOK AT THE DOW.
YOU LOOK AT THESE TAX CUTS,
WHAT IT IS GOING TO MEAN FOR
THE MIDDLE CLASS GET MORE
PROMISES THAT WE MADE.
WE HAVE ACCOMPLISHMENT
COLUMN THAT IS VERY LARGE
AND THE DEMOCRATS HAVE
NOTHING TO RUN ON.
THEY HAVE DONE NOTHING THIS
YEAR.
AND I JUST DON'T THINK
THAT'S GOING TO RESONATE IN
2018.
>> Katie: MARIE, ARE
DEMOCRATS REALLY GOING TO
ARGUE THAT REPUBLICANS
PUSHED THROUGH TAX REFORM
FOR 81 TO 83% OF THE MIDDLE
CLASS BECAUSE THEY WERE
WORRIED ABOUT LOSING
ELECTIONS?
IS THAT GOING TO BE THEIR
AVERAGEMENT?
>> Maria: I DON'T THINK THAT
WILL BE AN ARGUMENT IN THIS
ELECTION.
MOST PEOPLE AGREE THEY
NEEDED TO GET THIS DONE
BECAUSE THEY COULDN'T FINISH
YOU MENTIONED THE
HISTORICALLY LOW APPROVAL
RATING FOR PRESIDENT TRUMP.
AND GENERIC BALLOT RIGHT NOW
ACROSS THE POLLS.
A GENERAL NATURE DEMOCRAT IS
BEATING A GENERIC REPUBLICAN
BY OVER 10 POINTS.
I THAT I REPUBLICANS WOULD
BE WRONG TO BE OVERCONFIDENT
GOING INTO THE MID TERMS.
DEMOCRATS WERE OVERCONFIDENT
IN 2010 AND WE LOST BECAUSE
IT.
>> Katie: 2016, TOO.
>> Maria: WE LOST BECAUSE OF
IT.
>> Katie: HAVE YOU RUN A FEW
CAMPAIGNS AND BEEN ON
STRATEGY HERE?
DEMOCRATS HAVE IT OUT FOR
THE PRESIDENT.
THEY DON'T HAVE A LOT OF
THINGS TO RUN ON.
HOW CAN THEY CAPITALIZE ON
>> A LOT OF IT DEPENDS ON
THE CANDIDATE AND
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT.
WE ARE GOING TO SEE SOME
REPUBLICANS THAT ARE
DISTANCING THEMSELVES FROM
PRESIDENT TRUMP.
DEMOCRATS DID THAT WITH
PRESIDENT OBAMA AS WELL.
THAT HILLARY CLINTON WON IN
2016.
WE ARE GOING TO SEE THAT
MARIA, TO YOUR POINT ABOUT
TAX REFORM, REPUBLICANS HAVE
BEEN TALKING ABOUT THIS FOR
30 YEARS, DECADES NOW.
>> Maria: THEY KNEW THEY HAD
TO DO IT.
>> Lisa: THAT'S WHY THEY GOT
IT DONE.
IT WASN'T ABOUT ELECTIONS.
IT WAS SIMPLY ABOUT
FULFILLING A PROMISE.
ONE LAST POINT ON THAT.
IN THE HOUSE I THINK THINGS
ARE GOING TO BE MUCH TOUGHER
FOR REPUBLICANS.
IN THE SENATE THERE IS ONLY
ONE STATE THAT A REPUBLICAN
INCUMBENT IS RUNNING IN THAT
HILLARY CLINTON WON.
THAT'S THE STATE OF NEVADA.
FIVE HE WON BY DOUBLE
DIGITS.
>> Katie: ADDRESS THE POINT
NANCY PELOSI BECAUSE
REPUBLICANS FEEL LIKE THEY
ARE GOING TO LOSE POWER AND
HOLDING ONTO THE LAST GRIPS
OF IT WASN'T IT THE
PRESIDENT WHO SET A
CHRISTMAS DEADLINE NOT
REPUBLICANS?
>> David: YEAH.
BY THE WAY, THE FACT IS, IT
PASSED IT HE KEPT HIS
PROMISE.
NANCY PELOSI TALKING ABOUT
RUSSIA AND EVERYONE SHOULD
LAUGH AND WALK AWAY.
HERE ARE SOME OF THE
REALITIES IN THE VOTING AND
THE CHANGES IN THE LAST
SEVERAL YEARS BETWEEN 2010,
1 AND NOW.
THE CHANGE IN ELECTORATE.
THIS IS WHAT MATTERS.
WE HAVE SEEN THE CHANGE IN
STATE LEGISLATURES.
WE HAVE SEEN THE CHANGE IN
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS.
WE DO HAVE TO BE CONCERNED
ABOUT THE JERRY MAN TERRING
AND RIGGING THAT BOTH SIDES
HOWEVER, REPUBLICANS ARE NOT
IN ANY DANGER IN THE HOUSE
FOR A SIMPLE REASON.
THEY HAVE SUCCESS COMING.
AND THE LAGGING INDICATOR OF
THIS WILL COME IN THE
SUMMER, IF THE ECONOMY
CONTINUES TO GO, AND ON THE
OTHER SIDE YOU GET A DNC
THAT IN 10 YEARS HAS HAD
THEIR LOWEST FUND RAISING
QUARTER AND DECLINING
NUMBERS.
THE MONEY IS NOT THERE.
>> WE HEAR A LOT ABOUT THE
PRESIDENT'S BASE AND HOW IT
IS STILL VERY SOLID.
WE DON'T HEAR A LOT ABOUT
HOW INDEPENDENTS ARE
FEELING.
TYPICALLY THEY TEND TO VOTE
LESS IN MIDTERM ELECTIONS.
WHAT DO YOU THINK THEY ARE
OUT TO VOTE?
>> Kennedy: THAT'S GREAT
NEWS FOR THE PRESIDENT.
DEMOCRATS HAVE TO BE CAREFUL
TO NOT ONLY RELY ON THE
PRESIDENT'S LOW APPROVAL
NUMBERS.
THAT'S NOT ENOUGH AND THAT
DOESN'T DICTATE ABOUT HOW
PEOPLE FEEL ABOUT THEIR
LOCAL POLITICIANS, EVEN
RUN ON LOCAL ISSUES.
DAVID IS RIGHT.
IF THE N.I.E. ECONOMY
CONTINUES TO DO WELL AND YOU
THE G.D.P.
IF THOSE NUMBERS CONTINUE TO
IMPROVE, THEN YOU ARE NOT
GOING TO SEE THIS AGITATED
PASSION TO SWITCH PARTIES
AND POSITIONS OF POWER.
ON THE OTHER HAND,
REPUBLICANS SHOULDN'T BE TOO
CONFIDENT BECAUSE THE ONLY
THING REPUBLICANS HAVE DONE
RIGHT THIS YEAR IS TAX
REFORM.
REGULATORY ISSUES ARE --
HAVE MOSTLY TO DO
HISTORICALLY NOT NECESSARILY