THE NORTH WESTERN BAHAMAS. >>> AND WE’RE STARTING TO SEE TO IMPACT FROM NICOLE, HOLLYWOOD
BEACH STARTING TO FLOOD.
WE’RE TAKING A LIVE LOOK FROM
THE BAHAMAS, YOU’RE LOOKING AT
MARSH HARBOR WHERE THE WINDS ARE
STARTING TO PICK UP AND WE START
WITH OUR TEAM COVERAGE WITH OUR
WEATHER AUTHORITY TEAM.
>> METEOROLOGISTS BRANDON ORR
AND LUKE DOOR ARE HERE SO WHERE
DO WE STAND?
>> THE 11:00 A.M. ADVISORY IS
THE LATEST ADVISORY WE HAVE, MAX
WINDS ARE AT 70 MILES PER HOUR,
ANY SLIGHT BUMP IN STRENGTH AND
THIS WILL BECOME HURRICANE
NICOLE BUT AS FOR NOW IT IS A
TROPICAL STORM, BUT NOTICE THE
LATEST CONE HAS IT REACHING
HURRICANE STATUS AT SOME POINT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON, SO IT IS
WITHIN MOMENTS OF MAKING ITS
FIRST LANDFALL WHICH IS CLOSE TO
WHERE WE SHOWED YOU THAT LIVE
CAMERA.
IN THE VICINITY OF MARSH HARBOR
AND THEN CONTINUING WEST ON TOP
OF GRAND BAHAMA, IN THE VICINITY
OF FREEPORT AND MAKING LANDFALL
NORTH OF US HERE IN SOUTH
FLORIDA, LIKELY NORTH OF WEST
PALM BEACH.
SO THIS GIVES US A ROUGH IDEA OF
WHY THE CENTER WILL TRACK, CAN
IT’S IMPORTANT TO KEEP IN MIND
THESE THINGS DON’T STAY IN A
STRAIGHT LINE,.
AND ANY FARTHER SOUTH WILL BRING
IN TO THE COASTLINE.
LANDFALL IS GOING TO BE
SOMEWHERE NEAR MID NIGHT,
BETWEEN JUPITER AND FORT PIERCE
FOR THE LANDFALL AREA AND THE
WORST OF THE IMPACT, SO IT’S
REAL HURRICANE FORSWEARSES WILL
BE AROUND AND NORTH OF WHERE IT
MAKES LANDFALL, THAT’S WHERE WE
HAVE THAT HURRICANE WARNING THIS
PLACE, TESTIFY A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IN PLACE FOR BROWARD
COUNTY AND A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR MIAMI-DADE.
AND LAWMAKER, WE HAVE THAT
HURRICANE WATCH THAT HAS BEEN IN
EFFECT FOR PARTS OF BROWARD
COUNTY BUT YET OUR FORECAST FOR
WIND GUSTS ARE NOT REACHING
HURRICANE FORCE SO IT’S A LITTLE
DIFFICULT TO EXPLAIN.
>> IT CAN BE CONFUSING, THE
HURRICANE WINDS ARE LOOKING TO
BE UP BY LANDFALL POINT.
WHY DO WE HAVE IT IN BROWARD?
WELL THE CONE, THE BOTTOM IS
RIGHT ABOUT THERE, RIGHT ABOUT
LAKE WORTH OR SO BETWEEN BOCA
AND WEST PALM.
THE IDEA IF TWO THINGS WERE TO
HAPPEN.
IF WE HAD THE HURRICANE FORM
WITH A CLOSED EYE WALL OR AN EYE
WALL THAT COULD PIVOT TO THE
SOUTH SIDE IT’S POSSIBLE YOU
COULD BRUSH NORTHERN BROWARD
COUNTY WITH BRIEF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.
THAT IS NOT FORECAST, IT IS JUST
NOT COMPLETELY IMPOSSIBLE, NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION, THAT’S WHY
WE HAVE THE HURRICANE WATCH.
SIMILAR STORY FOR MIAMI-DADE,
ODDS ARE HIGHER THAT WE GET
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDs
THERE.
AND WE DID HAVE A LAND FALL IN
ABBACO.
BIG WIND FIELD, IT’S 400 SOME
MILES WIDE AND WE’RE ALREADY
GETTING A TASTE OF THAT IN
BROWARD COUNTY AS WE ARE UNDER
THAT ENVELOPE NOW, SO WATCH,
I’LL SHOW YOU THE TIMING, WE’LL
GO THROUGH THE DAY.
WATCH THE STORM ADVANCE,
FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE BY
SEVEN O’CLOCK AS IT MAKES A
FINAL APPROACH TOWARD THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA AND NOTICE IT
IS ALL OVER BROWARD AND NOSING
ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF
MIAMI-DADE.
NOW WE GO INTO MIDNIGHT, NOTICE
THE STORM IS LOP SIDE TO THE
NORTH WHERE THE STRONGEST
IMPACTS WILL BE AND A STRONG
FIST OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL BE NEAR HOPE SOUND,
JUPITER, FORT PIERCE.
THAT WILL BE THE CLOSEST
APPROACH THAT THE STORMING MAKE
TO SOUTH FLORIDA AND THAT’S WHEN
OUR WINDS WILL LIKELY PEAK AND
THAT WILL BE GUSTS 50, 60 MILES
PER HOUR AND THAT LEFTS OUT BY
SUNRISE TOMORROW.
BY 9 O’CLOCK IT’S WAY UP HERE TO
THE NORTH.
SO HOPEFULLY THAT HELPS YOU WITH
TIMING.
WE HAVE SOME OUTER BANDS
ESCAPING THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA.
WITHIN THESE BANDS THAT’S WHEN
YOU’RE GOING TO GET YOUR GUSTY
WINDS, 25, 35, AND WHEN WHEN
THOSE BANDERS COME THROUGH THEY
GRAB THE WARE WHAT’S WHIPPING UP
STAIRS AND THEY FORCE THAT DOWN
TO THE GROUND WHERE YOU GET YOUR
WIND GUST.
I’VE HAD SEVERAL QUESTIONS ON
FACEBOOK AND TWITTER ABOUT HEY
THIS IS COMING ACROSS THE GULF
STREAM, COULD IT RAMP UP AND WE
HAVE A STRONG HURRICANE OUT OF
THIS, ANSWER IS NO.
WE HAVE DRY AIR DOWN HERE AND
THAT LEVELED OFF THE STORM’S
INTENSITY AND THAT’S WHY IT HAS
NOT BECOME A HURRICANE YET AND
THAT LIMITS THE STRENGTH.
THIS ONE HERE IS THE LINE
BETWEEN CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM.
NOTICE THE MODELS ARE ALMOST
ALL -- A STRONG TROPICAL STORM
LOW END HURRICANE IMPACTS ARE
BAKED THIS IN, THEY’RE GOING TO
BE ABOUT THE SAME, BUT I WANTED
TO ADDRESS THAT.