right now put you on the record microchip
president obama
does he really
the it's related to the israel at the byline
by a lot gimme gimme the electoral college number i think he wins this
thing three thirteen two two fifty
while three thirteen fax and i think that's a twenty-three three twenty three
twenty three have every right now
prices at the table you went down but is there is a little holes on flat what
god's obverse
god no i do i think uh... uh... actually now thinking i've revised the same
alfred
the presents then went for the political to implore
things i've read about florida uh... wilson sometimes in you take risks and
sometimes you say things that may or may not happen
uh... but but truth be told that i don't see a state that we consider a swing
state
other than colorado with the president's that'll so that's really interesting
because by of course said a long time ago present no bomb i was gonna win this
race that was so right yeah
process of people disagree with that girl
from baghdad
now i've spoke about a hundred percent throughout the night stick with it today
you know
couple days before the election uh... m
very popular president obama's gonna get re-elected
having said that
i'm actually going to be on the lower end of the electoral college vote
they knew why i think they're ranges two seventy seventy two ninety that that's
five c five c two ninety and i see two ninety four i mean two ninety four
i gives the president new hampshire doesn't give in florida
what what i see happening on election day and now as a as i look at this and
as i see the sort of trend and i see
listen you know we we talk about sandy having an effect on the election i think
it does and i'm not in barracks that it does i think when you
things happen to when when you're president so they're going to happen
when your presidential candidate to that's just the that's the way it
happened
me it is the safest was slightly wrong in the last couple days to go down to
seventy seven
but the most likely double probably is too many for as the president is likely
to win fire one of our
wisconsin all high over new hampshire and and and the states he's likely to
win gets into about two ninety four
facing the same ait i'd probably i think he's problems for and and there's a
reason the fact that i i i am going out little bit of a limb by saying presence
that went florida
that's but that's what makes my number takes whenever from two ninety four to
to three twenty three
uh... the twenty nine in florida but i do think that
that what happens on election night uh... e is is very is not waived like
cousin arnold is the way of election
but when you see typical behavior in other states and we see the state polls
and then we see the national polls the state polls
sometimes become part of the national elections like
psyche as well
and i think that the uh... that sounds convoluted but what i mean is
the people if they see ohio going for
the president you know there's a chance florida's too did the same sentiments
are happening there that are happening for such so let me ask specificity to
that point
if people see the president bomb is already one ohio and maybe even written
virginia in which case
that central time zone florida might be more discouraged from voting central
time zone is romney area which then could swing a really tight election in
florida bulb on the scampering an enhanced a fact now come now these are
all incredibly specialist secular singer and what we what we often fall into the
trap of doing is
okay so the polls close in virginia the polls close in ohio it's gonna affect
the
the outcome and uh...
just as the polls close doesn't mean they have results of the time i don't
think you're going to know what do you regret you remember exactly seven six
other waiting for numbers to come in ohio and virginia way after hawaii
calypso i mean
their their there there's a reason to
to think that yes the polls miracles but european we don't know what's happening
virginia we don't know about them your richmond or what what's coming in
we don't we don't know what's happening a higher which can guide on as we know
will be waiting for
terribly child if you had a little over there so that something so we can tell
you take all its
assistant of that but we don't know the results of just as the clothes doesn't
mean you know then you you get the interesting result where an electrical
bill put the statement say we are now projecting is the winner with zero point
zero percent of the votes counted
right so it's not one that's a reliance on on exit polls n
and and traditionally had been good
and then i went through a bad period will see that we'll see how it worked
out before we finish up on a roll
but no more electoral college i would probably go for the two ninety four
uh... politeness and that i don't have
pergola contacts in the states and this isn't an adult sometimes those work
against you two guys here is a lot of faded away but it is about to other also
actually i think that i think what is going on when they love it was
interesting stuff isn't yet over three hundred yeah so i don't know gators
degenerated more since it's going to be a sweet but we're all in one reason in
over three hundred is a gingrich tsunami
until he was going to get out of it is the nominee
fit but only that i think the reason you saying that really fast is just so that
if by chance from the witness stand does get three hundred
and gingriches of filled the good about yourself is a failure thingy to get my
prediction yeah i think
the bizarre twist that it's too bad that we don't have time i know that it's
unlikely to happen but i've been seeing articles about what will happen if
there's a tight in the electoral college it is a very interesting
political maneuvering the goes like that without a breakdown for you in about six
to seven days of the captain sixty seconds if there's a tight electoral
college for four one thing here do you mind is the left or all colleges in
actual entity that votes it's on december seventeenth they gather they
vote
uh... that
those both are somewhat malleable between the time the election and and
the time they involve their balance you wouldn't but
on these sort of historically
so it is real quick with any surface to cincinnati sixty-nine tickets and the
republicans will spend an insane amount of money transfer liberal obama vowed
they will then the house of representatives which is republican will
elect a president of the senate which is democratic
will elect of ice president so that's why people talk about the idea of romney
biden being
uh... an office in indicates the time
as you look at the electoral map now and you but you look you go across a lot of
the states
you're not seeing the kind of uh... you're not seen the kind of map that
would create that time without being sort of an outlandish
cover those thirty away is that you could or another thirty or is that the
other like thirty ways they can do it i mean they're done many ways you can come
up with it but in terms of watchable reasonable ways to come up with it
those are are falling off the off the map and i think virginia's a big part of
that remembers the portents david the president so well
i wonder what ron you would give biden is attached isn't it
yeah maybe keep talking
yes but
known