Reed
was at the facility.
We had like the meetings like the top 30 visits and so that
was the first time I really met them. I'm going to give you
the inside. Scoop
Matt. Nagy, who was our quarterback coach? Now was
the offensive coordinator, then he really liked me. So he gave me
the plays are going to go go over the night before. So no
treats find out here live from New Heights podcast
and so
let's go. So
yeah, so of course, I crush the meeting. I stayed up all night
studying those plays and so this kid is locked and we got
ourselves back
that was Patrick Mahomes getting the answers to the test
tonight. Before, by the way, that's the greatest coaching
Matt nagy's. Done in his career. It's a great
rifle movies ever made. That's the great 1000%.
That's is my home is just
actually Rose the stock of
Matt Nagy. I didn't need that much.
Very nice thing to do.
Very nice thing to do you
love and that's from the the Kelsey Brothers new podcast. We
should it's a but give credit there for people that are just
listening. So that was Patrick homes in the Kelsey Brothers
new podcast and
Yeah, that is the that's the best thing Matt nagy's ever done.
And who else? Could you you're you know, you're always a draft
Nick. I forget to Mahomes I think was 10th overall that
year. They traded up they traded up to get them but who
are the quarterbacks were taking ahead of him
too risky to Biscay? That's right, that's the big one. They
traded up for. Yep, they locked it up. Watson was that year
water biscuit was gonna want to go in the top five Watson 112.
Yes, Watson 112 but my home but in terms of who went
up who went ahead of him,
true Biscay, they traded up to get him at at two or three
moved from 32 to it. Because Mi Garrett was the number one
overall mi get was the number one overall. So yeah, they took
the risky when Mahomes was sitting there. Yep. And when
I would argue, I have this, I have this argument and then we
can move on as brilliant as Mahomes is,
and he is brilliant.
You know, and everyone knew coming out of college and
Canada an arm, but he wasn't like amazing at Texas Tech.
When his coach was, Kliff Kingsbury eye patch of Mahomes
does not become Patrick my home's. If Andy Reid's, not as
coach, absolutely is my take
and he got to sit the year. They were one of the rare teams
that was willing to City quarterback in a narrow work
teams, don't sit there. They write it up into the
antenna to learn from Alex Smith, who's in who's a classy
garbage and not a, you know, oh
sorry, Rook, I don't look at you know, good luck out there.
I mean Alex Smith is a good dude and so
yeah I mean
and obviously then you know, Holmes has made the most of
that amazing opportunity but I think that when you think about
what Andy Reid's done with quarterbacks over the years,
you know we made a Jay Feely relevant relevant, you know,
we're Jeff Garcia like you know, look at Donovan McNabb on
any other team. Other than Philadelphia. I mean like
just whatever. You know,
Kevin Cobb member Kevin Cobb like I mean we could just go
through obscure Eagles quarterback so it worked out
well for both sides? Yes, Patrick Mahomes linking up with
Andy Reid. Thanks to
Matt. And Rach, not learn something every day. All right,
it is time for Fantasy. Rich, fantasy, poor, and who better
to kick it off with then? Patrick Mahomes is Chiefs, who
are favored by two points, traveling to a tough.
Cincinnati Bengals team, the highest total for the week pack
crane over under is
At 53, why though is this a fantasy Rich environment? Well,
Matthew just set it up. I mean this is an offense that's built
to maximize Patrick Mahomes. They're not afraid to you know,
like just lean into the passing game and go really pass heavy.
They understand that Mahomes is going to be the engine of their
offense and that's what the way they've built their offense
to otago by Lowell leads the NFL, and EPA per play, which
is, you know, an efficiency metric. But Patrick Mahomes
leads the NFL and EPA per game, because he's able to drop back
more often and that's a skill to be
able to drop back that
And still be highly efficient and the Chiefs
lead, the NFL with a 13 percent pass rate over expected. So
although some teams have shifted to the run against
the Bengals, I don't expect the Chiefs to do that. I think
they're going to play this
through. Pat Mahomes they're going to play this
like a shootout. They're going to know that Joe Burrus gonna
be throwing on the other side and Joe burrow will be throwing
on the other side they've been extremely past heavy over their
last six games with a 12 percent pass rate over expected
right behind where the Chiefs are. There also prioritizing
the past on first down
which helps out jobber.
Keeps the offense, very efficient, and then, of course,
they have reinforcements coming with Jamar Chase, and Joe
Mixon? I think both guys, obviously they can help
the offense overall, but they're gonna help the offense
specifically in the quick game. Jamar, Chase is used on wide
receiver screens at a much higher rate
than the other wide receivers,
which could help against the Chiefs pass rush. That's pretty
good. And then you'll mix has been used, frequently is
an outlet, which I also think will help against the Chiefs
defense. So it's sort of interesting here
just while you were talking.
So got an alert from the Fantasy Life app which is great
must-have.
And this is a tweet from Jeff Hobson who covers A cover.
Cincinnati does a really good job. Zach mean exact Taylor had
coached the Bangles.
Zach says, mix instill in protocol and decision pending
if he's cleared, he should be good to go. He has worked in
limited fashion. So we expect Joe Mixon back but it doesn't
sound like it's 100%. Definitely going to be back. He
did also say by the way
that you know,
Zach. Taylor says, Jamar Chase has indicated that he feels
comfortable to play against the Chiefs. That is hashtag Bangles
and that's from Kelsey Conway. Who also covers the team For
The Enquirer. So
anyway, so yes, we should get chased back but I just as long
as you talk about this game, just mentioned like, hey don't
get out of.
Don't be dropping some igp Rangers. Yeah. Magic. Because
there's there's, there's a nonzero chance that he has
a significant role in a high-scoring game. Yeah. And
I think he'd be used similarly, in the passing game, so that
I mix in is
getting away from some of the stars in this game, the flex
players, Pat, when you look at the Bangles side of things,
with Tyler boy, who's had some huge weeks here and there. But
Chase is back Hayden her.
Who's had a nice year at tight end taking over from CJ was AMA.
Who was there last year? Did these guys get a bump at all?
I think Hearst does
just partly because we desperately need tight ends.
You know like Tyler higbee is now and start herbal like we're
losing guys that we were start. So
Jamar Chase being back. I think obviously he's going to get his
targets but he also draws a ton of defensive coverage, so
I think he should help open up things for other receivers and
you know,
Hearst in particular with that tight end eligibility, jumps
out to me, Barry on the cheap side of things. Is this a JuJu
week or we scared of start in June,
Somewhere in between, I don't know that I'm scared of
starting Juju but I'm not ready to sit there and plant my flag
and say, oh yeah, this is going to be a big juji week. I mean,
like I'm at wide receiver 34 so I'm sort of right there. Look
prior to the last game, we saw him play,
right? Juju had at least 85 yards in three straight games.
Now, he was
the last game, we saw him play, he was coming off that brutal.
Hit the coming out of concussion protocol saw only
three targets, which is his tied for a season low.
They just didn't involve him very much
in that game. So The expectation here is that he
plays more snaps, he runs more routes, he gets more Targets in
this
in a high scoring game
but it's the Chiefs.
Again, the Chiefs won last week and JuJu had three targets like
they can they can you know,
they can function without him shake it. Yeah,
right exactly. The only must have in the Chiefs, offense is
Travis Kelce. They can beat you in so many ways and it's just,
you know, random. Let this offensive, lineman caught two
touchdowns,
you know, it's like oh wow, it's a big Noah gray game like
so Somewhere in between, I think he is a risk-reward wide
receiver three in this matchup.
And I'm probably, and for me, by the way, I am probably on
the more reward side like when you're in those kind of flexi,
sort of decisions.
Give me the guy that's got, Patrick homes throwing to him
and I was, as, you know, a fantasy Rich matchup as Pat
calls it. Yeah, I'm I'm on the reward side to it's definitely
risky because he didn't run all the routes last week, but
I'm kind of assuming that's related to the concussion and
him coming back from the concussion. They don't really
have other guy. Guys stepping up in a big way and if JuJu's
kind of the volume PPR Play,
What a better is not a better environment than this for
volume. PPR, this me a ton of passing volume on both sides
are other fantasy Rich match up with the week is Jaguars at
Detroit. The lions are given a point in this game, so it's
essentially
almost down to a pick them. The over-under though, more
important here guys, 51 points. It's crazy. When you hear
Jacksonville and to Troy almost as the same over under as
Cincinnati.
Kansas City Pat. But how did we get here with
Two teams. Well, the Lions they generally prefer to lean on
the Run game, which you know, can sometimes lead to less volume
in a game, but
they prefer to prioritize the pass on first down even though
there are run first team overall and that helps set
Jared Jared Goff up for success and then they also sort of they
seem aware of like what's happening in terms of their
opponents.
They went past first against the bills, even though
the bills defense is actually a little weaker against the run.
I assume they did that because they understand that Josh album
is going to score points against them. And, you know,
this is another game where You would expect the Jacksonville
offensive, be able to put up points, obviously not to
the level of the bills, but they also have the fact working for
them that the Jaguars are very weak against the pass.
So it makes all the sense in the world, not for the
lines, go like super past, have you here?
But to be balanced with a lean to the Past, keeping volume up
in this game and I think they'll be efficient through
the air which would really help you know,
keep scoring high and then on the Jaguar side
they are a balanced offense but that's a great fit against
the Lions because the lines are bad against the Run, they're bad
against the pass. So balanced offense is going to be very
efficient in both phases of the game. We're looking like we're
getting eats
And back here. So
we also have Lawrence running very hot recently since week
nine, he ranks 10th and EPA per play. Leads the league in
completion percentage over expected,
he's been efficient and accurate. Now, gets a great matchup.
This is going to be a fun game.
Yeah, I agree. Barry for you to players in golf, both me my
lovely. That's where I was going with this. Yeah, two
players on your love, listen, this one. So you're obviously
pretty high on the
bump. That Lawrence, who's had a great three weeks stretch
here and even Zeta-Jones, did you know that since week six,
he's the eighth best. Quarterback and fantasy Trevor
Lawrence like I mean like you were expected if you just if
you're not looking at any stats and you're just watching
the game film, you just sort of like,
you know, there's
been some up and come down
with him, but yeah. Like by hook, or by crook,
he's gotten there as well. This is on a points per game basis
since week 6. And so, obviously, it's a great matchup
against Detroit where we going to say, Connor, no. I just
wanted to ask about Jay Jones in this matchup. When you talk
about Trevor Lawrence
being on the love list and say Jones kind of coming to life
right yet almost a 40 percent Target are last week, right?
He's now had double-digit Targets in two straight games.
I was in three of the last five. He's Z Jose, good player,
right? There is a guy that was drafted very high. He's had
kind of a weird career. They paid
it. Like a good guy.
Exactly. I mean, he went to he went to Buffalo that didn't
work out, then sort of revitalize his career in with
the Raiders. And then, yet the, you know, the Christian current
contract had all the, all the attention, but they went on and
they made it,
they made an investment in Zay Jones. And so you think about
the fact that the lines allow the third most fantasy points
to two opposing wide receivers
and that we expect a lot of scoring
after Cristian, Kirk Zeta-Jones to me is pretty interesting as
well. He's also a risk-reward wide receiver, three much like
Juju is but I'm in Anze Jones this week. He also,
like I said, made the love lists
are fantasy. Poor matchup of the week, berries. Commanders
favored by two and a half points going to MetLife Stadium
to take on the Giants. The over-under here, Pat only at 40
and a half. We've seen worse Point totals this year. We've
seen plenty in the 30s.
It's a 40 and a half, not the war.
But why are you down on this game? It's actually because I think
Matthews commanders have a very good defense
take command. They really do? I their Fifth and EP allow per
Rush their ninth and EPL out per drop back. So they're
they're good against out. Chase you out
with that chase Chung of
just literally just
Chase young just listed as questionable for this game. So
there's a chance. Yeah, there's a chance that we see, at least
some limited snaps from him. Anyway,
as you were saying, right, you think this will be a
low scoring game I do because they have a well-rounded defense.
The Giants want to run the ball but they're all
Already struggling with efficiency.
Berkeley in particular the last three weeks. He's produced,
thirty six fewer, rushing yards than expected / NFL next-gen.
And then on the Commander's side
since week seven only the Titans Panthers Falcons and
bears have been more run-heavy than the Commander's
that isn't necessarily a bad thing in this matchup because
the Giants are weak against the Run, they rank rank just 26th
and PFS run grade. So, I think the Commander's will be
efficient with a run heavy game plan.
But when you have two teams that are going to be running
the ball, the Giants probably. Efficiently the commanders will
probably do so fairly efficiently but there's just
not going to be a ton of volume in this game.
Great. So Brian Robinson like it. So Antonio Gibson,
practicing in a limited fashion today. He's officially listed
as questionable for the game. So we'll see. I've hoped there
but certainly
feels like that. Even if he's active, maybe he takes a little
bit of a backseat here to Brian Robinson who last year. Last
week, I should say, had his first career 100-yard game.
Had his fourth straight game with over 13 touches
had 20, receiving yards. Like, they actually started to use
them a little bit in the passing game, like, which is
not a lot. I mean, I think you got like three balls but still
like, that's more than he normally gets. And so,
in a game against the Giants, who
struggle somewhat
against the run over the last
month or 24th against the run in terms of most rushing yards
allowed per game?
I think Brian Robinson is real good chance.
You're nervous about the passing game usage. And
certainly if Gibson were to miss that, Would improve his
prospects but I still think Gibson.
Still think Robinson
is a must start against the Giants, given the volume,
even if he's not the most efficient guy.
And honestly, I like Gibson as a flex, if he's active as well.
I'm more excited about Brian Robinson than Terry McLaren here
just because I think it fits the game script. Yeah, a little
bit better. This does feel like an NFC East December.
Grind-it-out kind of game between these two
as long as we're talking this game though. I think this is
interesting to your point about the how good the Commander's
defense is.
This is a tweet from Ryan Dunleavy who covers the team
for. I believe the New York Post like, does a does a good
job? And so
this is what he tweeted,
Dairy Slayton isn't going to practice still ill. He's
virtually Irreplaceable on this roster without major
adjustments day ball, still hopeful, he can play on Sunday
again, that is Ryan Deal
Dunleavy. Who's a
NFL reporter for the post
for the New York Post and so
that's what will becomes interesting. If you know and
I'm assuming I just read the Tweet verbatim But I assuming
that's what he's inferring, or that's what they ball.
Basically said that he is,
they would need, if they don't have dairy sleep, they're going
to do major adjustments to this offense,
not an offense. That has a lot of other places to go might be
1940s football for the New York Giants. They are running out of
wine. Yeah, kids can say quite played a wildcat, you know,
like I mean
3033 carries on deck for SE Kwang Berkeley
work or so. Anyway, we're going to take a yeah,
I was always going to say, is that if Gibson were to miss,
I don't think there's a one for one replacement either. Their
you
See some courtesy meals for Jonathan Williams, Etc, like
you just be really excited about Brian Robinson.
We're taking a break, but when we're back, what's on tap, as
we look into some of the top matchups, for wings are
including, that's what
that's what's on tap, because we're in a bar.