For UFC on ESPN 22: Whittaker versus Gastelum, Iíve got 10 betting picks for you in this
video! Iím Professor MJ and I teach statistics to university students in Canada. The following
picks are provided by my collaborator that goes by the name Viceroy MMA.
Pick #1 involves the main fight between Robert Whittaker and Kelvin Gastelum. Whittaker has
not lost a step. He is just a bit more cautious after losing a poor stylistic matchup in the
Adesanya fight. This adaptation will not be a factor in this fight against Kelvin Gastelum.
If Whittaker wants to execute an outside fencing game or wants to put on the pressure, either
option should win him the fight. He breaks down opponents with poor footwork and Gastelum's
footwork is not great.
In the Darren Till fight, Gastelum really struggled finding a way in. He seems to struggle
a lot when his opponents can control the pace and range. Gastelum has succeeded because
he is a southpaw that throws 1-2's and not just 2's. But Whittaker has faced many south
paws in his career. Gastelum has a solid chin but has shown signs of decreased speed. He
is going to eat a lot of jabs in this 5-round matchup.
For these reasons, pick #1 is Robert Whittaker to win by decision at +150 odds.
Letís move on to the Drakkar Klose versus Jeremy Stephens fight. Klose is a big, grinding,
and consistent fighter. Stephens is a lot of the same things BUT has more experience!
Stephens is taller and has a longer reach. Even though he moved up to lightweight for
this fight, he is still the bigger fighter.
You cannot get into a firefight with Stephens and hope to win, and thatís generally what
Klose does. To win a brawl with him you must either match or exceed his punching power
or be way more technical. The other way his opponents have beaten him is taking him down
and controlling him. Klose only has 4 finishes, and they were all super early in his career
outside of the UFC.
So, pick #2 suggests grabbing Jeremy Stephens to win by TKO or KO at +310 odds. Itís a
long shot with high odds, but worth taking a stab, in my opinion!
The third pick concerns the Arlovski versus Sherman
showdown. Chase Sherman has poor defense and is easy to counter. Andrei Arlovski counters
with hard shots. Sherman's recent KO losses were not from very hard punchers. But Arlovski
is 42 now. If he does not get that one shot KO, he will most likely get overwhelmed.
So, pick #3 goes to Chase Sherman to win by decision at +380 odds. Letís cross our fingers
that we can win this one!
Letís now discuss the Justine Kish versus Tracy Cortez fight. Cortez is a developing
fighter. She is a little small even though she moved from bantamweight to flyweight.
But size and strength has not been an issue yet. She is a good wrestler. She will setup
the shot, create the opening and persist after connecting on the shot and attack in layers.
As for Kish, she does not have good take down defense. Cortez will be the best wrestler
Kish has faced. Cortez wins by decision has -120 odds with William Hill; I donít see
much value there. Instead, letís take a long shot on submission at +610 odds. Thatís the
4th UFC pick for you!
As for the remaining 6 picks, they are appearing on your screen right now. I wish you the best
of luck with those plays. I want to take this opportunity to remind you that I also provide
Major League Baseball picks, and also NHL picks. Go ahead and check those videos out!
And better yet, make sure you subscribe to this sports betting YouTube channel, where
the main goal is to help you grow your bankroll! Iím Professor MJ, Iíll see you again soon!